Tip WON  ·  NEC FC 1 - 0 UPDF
🏆 Uganda Premier League 📅 Tuesday, 3rd March 2026
NF
NEC FC
D W D W D
1 - 0
VS
U
UPDF
L D L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing NEC FC to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.45
9/20
-222
Confidence
37%
Value Play
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1  —  NEC FC to win @1.45
Goals Under 2.5 75%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 75%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
NEC FC0W
Draw5
UPDF0W
Against NEC FC won 0 of the last 5 meetings (5 draws).
📈 Recent Form
NEC FC wins1/2
UPDF wins0/2
Goals per game2
H2H avg goals1.4
Mixed NEC FC: 1W 1D 0L from 2 games.
1-1-0
NEC FC form
0-0-2
UPDF form
20%
H2H BTTS rate
1.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
NEC FC
Overall
6.5
Scoring
3.3
Defence
8.3
UPDF
Overall
0.0
Scoring
0.0
Defence
1.7
Key Analytics
NEC FC
1
Goals
scored/game
0.5
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
UPDF
0
Goals
scored/game
2.5
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 50%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 25%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 50%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 25%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
Stake Calculator
Return
14.50
Net profit: 4.50
Match History
Head to Head
16.12.25
: UPD
NEC
0
0
04.04.25
: UPD
NEC
0
0
24.09.24
: NEC
UPD
1
0
13.02.24
: UPD
NEC
2
2
20.10.23
: NEC
UPD
2
0
Recent Results
NEC FC
17.02.26
: VIP
NEC
1
1
13.02.26
: NEC
KCC
3
1
31.01.26
: NEC
EXP
0
0
27.01.26
: BUH
NEC
0
1
24.01.26
: NEC
KIT
3
3
UPDF
18.02.26
: LUG
UPD
1
0
13.02.26
: UPD
BUH
0
0
30.01.26
: UPD
BUL
0
1
27.01.26
: KCC
UPD
4
0
21.01.26
: UPD
ENT
0
1
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Expert Analysis

In the Uganda Premier League, NEC FC hosts UPDF at the MTN Omondi Stadium. This fixture has historically been low-scoring, with the last three meetings all producing under 2.5 goals. NEC FC has been particularly solid at home, where five of their last six matches have followed this low-scoring trend. They are a side that prioritizes defensive structure and often looks to score first and then shut down the game.

UPDF finds themselves in a difficult position, having conceded the first goal in each of their last four matches. This slow starting habit has cost them dearly in the standings. When playing away, they struggle to create high-quality chances, which plays right into the hands of a disciplined NEC side. Statistically, NEC FC is the favorite to win, but given the H2H history, a high-scoring blowout is unlikely. A single goal could very well decide the outcome of this encounter.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for NEC FC vs UPDF?
Our top pick is 1 — NEC FC to win at around 1.45. Confidence: 37%.
What is NEC FC's recent form?
NEC FC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 — decent form.
How has UPDF been performing?
UPDF: 0W 0D 2L from 2 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record for NEC FC vs UPDF?
NEC FC 0 wins vs UPDF's 0, with 5 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 1.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 20%.