Tip WON  ·  AEK Athens 1-0 AEL Larissa
🏆 Greece Super League 📅 Saturday, 7th March 2026
AA
AEK Athens
D W D W D
1-0
VS
AL
AEL Larissa
L D D L W
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing AEK Athens to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.22
11/50
-455
Confidence
54%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1  —  AEK Athens to win @1.22
Goals Over 1.5 90%
AEK Athens Clean Sheet Home CS 60%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
AEK Athens3W
Draw2
AEL Larissa0W
Supports Tip AEK Athens won 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
AEK Athens wins2/5
AEL Larissa wins1/5
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals3.2
Caution AEK Athens: 2W 3D 0L from 5 games.
2-3-0
AEK Athens form
1-2-2
AEL Larissa form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
3.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
AEK Athens
Overall
5.8
Scoring
7.3
Defence
8.0
AEL Larissa
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.0
Key Analytics
AEK Athens
2.2
Goals
scored/game
0.6
Goals
conceded/game
60%
Clean
sheets
AEL Larissa
1
Goals
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 23%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 23%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
Stake Calculator
Return
12.20
Net profit: 2.20
Match History
Head to Head
⚽ SL (Sep 21, 2025): AEL Larissa
AEK Athens
1
1
⚽ SL (Feb 15, 2021): AEL Larissa
AEK Athens
2
4
⚽ SL (Nov 22, 2020): AEK Athens
AEL Larissa
4
1
⚽ SL (Jan 19, 2020): AEK Athens
AEL Larissa
3
0
⚽ SL (Oct 5, 2019): AEL Larissa
AEK Athens
0
0
Recent Results
AEK Athens
⚽ SL (Mar 1, 2026): Volos
AEK Athens
2
2
⚽ SL (Feb 22, 2026): AEK Athens
Levadiakos
4
0
⚽ SL (Feb 15, 2026): PAOK
AEK Athens
0
0
⚽ SL (Feb 8, 2026): Panserraikos
AEK Athens
0
4
⚽ SL (Feb 1, 2026): AEK Athens
Olympiacos Piraeus
1
1
AEL Larissa
⚽ SL (Feb 28, 2026): OFI Crete
AEL Larissa
3
0
⚽ SL (Feb 22, 2026): AEL Larissa
PAOK
1
1
⚽ SL (Feb 15, 2026): Panathinaikos
AEL Larissa
1
1
⚽ SL (Feb 7, 2026): AEL Larissa
Panetolikos
1
4
⚽ SL (Jan 31, 2026): Volos
AEL Larissa
0
2
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Expert Analysis

AEK Athens welcomes AEL Larissa to the Greek capital in a game that heavily favors the hosts. AEK is heavily involved in the Greek Super League title race, and dropping points against mid-to-lower-table opposition is simply not an option.

At the OPAP Arena, AEK plays a suffocating brand of attacking football, utilizing their pace on the wings to stretch defenses. Their home record is stellar, having won the majority of their fixtures with multiple goals scored and very few conceded.

AEL Larissa will likely park the bus and hope to snatch something on a rare counter-attack, but their away form has been incredibly poor. They have struggled to score on the road all season and usually crumble when put under sustained pressure.

Historically, AEK has completely dominated this fixture, often winning by two or more goals when playing at home. Larissa lacks the midfield presence to disrupt AEK’s passing rhythm, which means the home side will likely enjoy over 65% possession.

Given the massive gap in squad quality, form, and tactical execution, AEK Athens is practically guaranteed to secure a comfortable home victory.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for AEK Athens vs AEL Larissa?
Our top pick is 1 — AEK Athens to win at around 1.22. Confidence: 54%.
What is AEK Athens's recent form?
AEK Athens have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 — up and down.
How has AEL Larissa been performing?
AEL Larissa: 1W 2D 2L from 5 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record for AEK Athens vs AEL Larissa?
AEK Athens 3 wins vs AEL Larissa's 0, with 2 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 3.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.