Tip WON  ·  Racing Montevideo 1-1 Progreso
🏆 Liga AUF Uruguaya 📅 Thursday, 26th March 2026
RM
Racing Montevideo
W W W L W
1-1
VS
P
Progreso
L W D D L
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1X
We're backing Racing Montevideo to win or draw in this fixture.
Odds
1.18
9/50
-556
Confidence
83%
Strong Pick
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⚔ Head to Head
Racing Montevideo6W
Draw1
Progreso3W
Supports Tip Racing Montevideo unbeaten in 7 of 10 H2H meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Racing Montevideo wins6/10
Progreso wins4/10
Goals per game2.4
H2H avg goals2.8
Supports Tip Racing Montevideo unbeaten in 7 of 10 recent games.
6-1-3
Racing Montevideo form
4-2-4
Progreso form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Racing Montevideo
Overall
6.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.0
Progreso
Overall
4.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.7
Key Analytics
Racing Montevideo
1.5
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Progreso
1
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
Stake Calculator
Return
11.80
Net profit: 1.80
Match History
Head to Head
29.09.25
LUR: Racing Montevideo
Progreso
0
0
22.06.25
LUR: Racing Montevideo
Progreso
3
0
30.03.25
LUR: Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
1
21.09.24
LUR: Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
0
07.07.24
LUR: Progreso
Racing Montevideo
3
2
10.03.24
LUR: Progreso
Racing Montevideo
4
3
14.08.22
SEG: Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
1
22.05.22
SEG: Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
2
09.10.19
LUR: Progreso
Racing Montevideo
2
1
17.03.19
LUR: Racing Montevideo
Progreso
3
0
Recent Results
Racing Montevideo
21.03.26
LUR: Racing Montevideo
Liverpool M.
1
0
W
14.03.26
LUR: Boston River
Racing Montevideo
0
1
W
08.03.26
LUR: Racing Montevideo
CA Cerro
1
0
W
05.03.26
CS: Boston River
Racing Montevideo
1
0
L
28.02.26
LUR: Albion
Racing Montevideo
1
3
W
21.02.26
LUR: Racing Montevideo
Danubio
4
0
W
15.02.26
LUR: Nacional
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
08.02.26
LUR: Racing Montevideo
Maldonado
2
4
L
20.01.26
COP: Peñarol
Racing Montevideo
1
0
L
15.01.26
COP: Racing Montevideo
CA Cerro
2
1
W
Progreso
22.03.26
LUR: Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
14.03.26
LUR: CA Cerro
Progreso
0
1
W
07.03.26
LUR: Progreso
Albion
2
2
D
28.02.26
LUR: Danubio
Progreso
2
2
D
22.02.26
LUR: Progreso
Nacional
0
1
L
14.02.26
LUR: Maldonado
Progreso
2
0
L
07.02.26
LUR: Progreso
Central Español
0
3
L
30.01.26
COP: Boston River
Progreso
1
2
W
23.01.26
COP: Nacional
Progreso
1
2
W
19.01.26
COP: Juventud
Progreso
0
1
W
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Expert Analysis

The historic Estadio Osvaldo Roberto sets the stage for a fascinating Uruguayan domestic clash that pits high-flying ambition against desperate survival instincts. Racing Montevideo enters this fixture riding a wave of immense confidence, sitting comfortably in the upper echelons of the league table. Their recent run of form has been nothing short of spectacular, built upon a foundation of tactical discipline and a defensive unit that has proven incredibly difficult to breach. For Progreso, the narrative is entirely different. They are mired in a grueling slump, struggling to find any semblance of consistency, and treating every single point as a precious commodity in their fight to climb away from the danger zone.

Statistically, Racing Montevideo holds a significant advantage, particularly when playing in front of their passionate home supporters. Their ability to control possession and limit the opposition’s shots on target has resulted in an impressive string of clean sheets. Progreso’s away form, however, is a major cause for concern for their traveling fans. They have consistently failed to assert themselves on the road, often retreating into a defensive shell that ultimately invites too much pressure. However, in Uruguayan football, matches between teams at opposite ends of the table can often descend into gritty, physical battles, with the underdog fighting tooth and nail for a scrappy point.

  • Tactical Patience: Racing will look to methodically break down a Progreso side that is fully expected to park the bus. The hosts must avoid frustration if an early goal doesn’t materialize, relying on their superior fitness to exploit tired legs in the second half.
  • The H2H Factor: Historically, Racing has dominated this fixture at home, but Progreso has occasionally frustrated them into draws by disrupting the rhythm of the game with tactical fouls and deep defending.
Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Racing Montevideo vs Progreso?
Our top pick is 1X — Racing Montevideo to win or draw at around 1.18. Confidence: 83%.
What is Racing Montevideo's recent form?
Racing Montevideo have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Progreso been performing?
Progreso: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games — up and down.
What is the H2H record for Racing Montevideo vs Progreso?
Racing Montevideo 6 wins vs Progreso's 3, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.