Tip WON  ·  Marseille 3-1 Metz
🏆 Ligue 1 📅 Friday, 10th April 2026
M
Marseille
L L W W L
3-1
VS
M
Metz
D D L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Marseille to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.28
7/25
-357
Confidence
44%
Value Play
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
⚔ Head to Head
Marseille4W
Draw6
Metz0W
Against Marseille won 4 of the last 10 meetings (6 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Marseille wins4/10
Metz wins0/10
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals3
Caution Marseille: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games.
4-2-4
Marseille form
0-3-7
Metz form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Marseille
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.3
Metz
Overall
0.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
3.3
Key Analytics
Marseille
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.7
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Metz
0.6
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 23%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 23%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
Stake Calculator
Return
12.80
Net profit: 2.80
Match History
Head to Head
04.10.25
Ligue 1: Metz
Marseille
0
3
09.02.24
Ligue 1: Marseille
Metz
1
1
18.08.23
Ligue 1: Metz
Marseille
2
2
13.02.22
Ligue 1: Metz
Marseille
1
2
07.11.21
Ligue 1: Marseille
Metz
0
0
23.05.21
Ligue 1: Metz
Marseille
1
1
26.09.20
Ligue 1: Marseille
Metz
1
1
14.12.19
Ligue 1: Metz
Marseille
1
1
02.02.18
Ligue 1: Marseille
Metz
6
3
29.11.17
Ligue 1: Metz
Marseille
0
3
Recent Results
Marseille
05.04.26
Ligue 1: AS Monaco
Marseille
2
1
L
22.03.26
Ligue 1: Marseille
LOSC Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Ligue 1: Marseille
AJ Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Ligue 1: Toulouse FC
Marseille
0
1
W
04.03.26
Coupe de France: Marseille
Toulouse FC - L (4-5 pens)
2
2
01.03.26
Ligue 1: Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Ligue 1: Brest
Marseille
2
0
L
14.02.26
Ligue 1: Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Ligue 1: PSG
Marseille
5
0
L
03.02.26
Coupe de France: Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
Metz
05.04.26
Ligue 1: Metz
FC Nantes
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ligue 1: Stade Rennais
Metz
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ligue 1: Metz
Toulouse FC
3
4
L
08.03.26
Ligue 1: RC Lens
Metz
3
0
L
01.03.26
Ligue 1: Metz
Stade Brestois
0
1
L
21.02.26
Ligue 1: PSG
Metz
3
0
L
15.02.26
Ligue 1: Metz
AJ Auxerre
1
3
L
06.02.26
Ligue 1: Metz
LOSC Lille
0
0
D
01.02.26
Ligue 1: Angers SCO
Metz
1
0
L
25.01.26
Ligue 1: Metz
Olympique Lyonnais
2
5
L
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Expert Analysis

The Stade Vélodrome is never a quiet place, but when Olympique de Marseille steps onto the pitch needing all three points, the atmosphere transforms into an absolute cauldron. This upcoming clash against Metz is the textbook definition of a must-win scenario for the home side. Marseille has been fighting tooth and nail to solidify their standing near the top of the table, and dropping points against a team currently battling the harsh realities of the lower half is simply not an option for their notoriously demanding fanbase. Metz arrives with their backs against the wall, fighting for every single point to ensure their survival, but their away record paints a rather grim picture.

Historically, the head-to-head narrative heavily favors Marseille, especially down in the south of France. Metz has rarely found joy at the Vélodrome, often buckling under the relentless pressure that rains down from both the stands and the pitch. Marseille’s attacking unit knows exactly how to exploit the spaces left behind by a desperate, disjointed defense. When you look at the sheer technical quality in the final third, the home side holds all the cards.

The pressure is undoubtedly on Marseille to deliver a statement performance, but that specific type of pressure usually brings out the best in them when playing in front of their own impassioned supporters. Expect Marseille to dictate the tempo from the opening whistle, suffocating Metz in the midfield and forcing critical errors. While the visitors will naturally try to park the bus, waste time, and play for a gritty, low-scoring draw, the relentless offensive firepower of the hosts will eventually break them down.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Marseille vs Metz?
Our top pick is 1 — Marseille to win at around 1.28. Confidence: 44%.
What is Marseille's recent form?
Marseille have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 — up and down.
How has Metz been performing?
Metz: 0W 3D 7L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record for Marseille vs Metz?
Marseille 4 wins vs Metz's 0, with 6 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.