Tip WON  ·  Linfield 3-1 Dungannon
🏆 NIFL Premiership 📅 Tuesday, 12th May 2026
L
Linfield
L L L W D
3-1
VS
D
Dungannon
W W L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Linfield to win in this fixture.
Predicted Score
1-1
10.5% probability
Odds
1.40
2/5
-250
Confidence
52%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1  —  Linfield to win @1.40
Goals Over 1.5 85%
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Linfield8W
Draw0
Dungannon2W
Supports Tip Linfield won 8 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Linfield wins3/10
Dungannon wins3/10
Goals per game3.1
H2H avg goals3.2
Caution Linfield: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games.
3-2-5
Linfield form
3-0-7
Dungannon form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
3.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Linfield
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.0
Dungannon
Overall
3.0
Scoring
3.7
Defence
1.3
Key Analytics
Linfield
1
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Dungannon
1.1
Goals
scored/game
2.6
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
1-1
10.5% probability
Alternative
2-1
9.5% probability
Alternative
1-0
8.1% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
Stake Calculator
Return
14.00
Net profit: 4.00
Match History
Head to Head
07.04.26
NIFL
Dungannon
Linfield
1
3
17.02.26
NIFL
Dungannon
Linfield
1
4
10.02.26
NIFL
Linfield
Dungannon
6
0
10.08.25
NIFL
Linfield
Dungannon
3
0
04.07.25
CHA
Linfield
Dungannon
0
1
12.04.25
NIFL
Linfield
Dungannon
2
0
24.03.25
NIFL
Dungannon
Linfield
0
3
17.12.24
NIFL
Dungannon
Linfield
0
1
17.08.24
NIFL
Linfield
Dungannon
3
1
27.01.24
NIFL
Linfield
Dungannon
1
2
Recent Results
Linfield
25.04.26
NIFL
Linfield
Cliftonville
1
2
L
18.04.26
NIFL
Linfield
Coleraine
0
3
L
11.04.26
NIFL
Linfield
Larne
0
2
L
07.04.26
NIFL
Dungannon
Linfield
1
3
W
28.03.26
NIFL
Glentoran
Linfield
1
1
D
20.03.26
NIFL
Carrick Rangers
Linfield
2
0
L
15.03.26
LC
Glentoran
Linfield
0
1
W
10.03.26
NIFL
Linfield
Portadown
3
1
W
01.03.26
NIFL
Cliftonville
Linfield
2
0
L
24.02.26
NIFL
Larne
Linfield
1
1
D
Dungannon
09.05.26
NIFL
Cliftonville
Dungannon
1
2
W
06.05.26
NIFL
Dungannon
Carrick Rangers
3
1
W
02.05.26
CUP
Dungannon
Coleraine
2
3
L
25.04.26
NIFL
Larne
Dungannon
8
0
L
18.04.26
NIFL
Cliftonville
Dungannon
1
0
L
11.04.26
NIFL
Glentoran
Dungannon
5
0
L
07.04.26
NIFL
Dungannon
Linfield
1
3
L
03.04.26
CUP
Cliftonville
Dungannon
1
2
W
28.03.26
NIFL
Dungannon
Coleraine
1
2
L
21.03.26
NIFL
Dungannon
Bangor FC
0
1
L
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Expert Analysis

This NIFL Premiership clash at Windsor Park arrives at a critical juncture for David Healy’s Linfield. Right now, the atmosphere around the club is thick with tension. Linfield has hit a highly concerning rut, managing just one victory in their last five outings across all competitions. That run includes a bitter 2-1 defeat to Cliftonville right in their own backyard, a result that exposed glaring defensive frailties. Conceding six goals in five matches is entirely uncharacteristic for a team with title ambitions, and the pressure on the manager to rectify this immediately is immense. For a club of Linfield’s stature, prolonged slumps are simply not tolerated.

On the other side of the pitch, Rodney McAree’s Dungannon Swifts are riding a wave of quiet confidence. They recently managed a commendable 2-1 victory over the very same Cliftonville side that dismantled Linfield, proving they have the tactical discipline to hurt top-tier opposition. Dungannon will arrive in Belfast looking to exploit the current anxiety permeating the Linfield defense. However, historical precedent paints a very different, much bleaker picture for the visitors.

When you look at the head-to-head records, Linfield exerts total psychological dominance over Dungannon, having won all of their last five encounters. This historical edge cannot be understated. Windsor Park under the floodlights is a daunting venue, and Linfield’s squad knows that a response is non-negotiable. Healy will likely abandon any overly complex tactical experiments and revert to a direct, aggressive attacking style to overwhelm Dungannon early on. The Swifts have improved, but weathering a full-blown storm from a wounded Linfield side desperate to save their season is too steep a mountain to climb. The motivation to bounce back, combined with their historical stranglehold on this fixture, makes a straight home win the only logical play.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Linfield vs Dungannon?
Our top pick is 1 — Linfield to win at around 1.40. Confidence: 52%.
What is Linfield's recent form?
Linfield have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 — up and down.
How has Dungannon been performing?
Dungannon: 3W 0D 7L from 10 games — up and down.
What is the H2H record for Linfield vs Dungannon?
Linfield 8 wins vs Dungannon's 2, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.