Tip LOST  ·  FC Gomel 2-3 Baranovici
🏆 Belarus Vysshaya Liga 📅 Thursday, 14th May 2026
FG
FC Gomel
W D W W W
2-3
VS
B
Baranovici
D D L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing FC Gomel to win in this fixture.
Predicted Score
1-0
13.1% probability
Odds
1.37
10/27
-270
Confidence
66%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1  —  FC Gomel to win @1.37
Goals Over 1.5 90%
H2H Over 2.5 75%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
FC Gomel4W
Draw0
Baranovici0W
Supports Tip FC Gomel won 4 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
FC Gomel wins6/10
Baranovici wins0/10
Goals per game2.7
H2H avg goals4.8
Supports Tip FC Gomel: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
FC Gomel form
0-3-7
Baranovici form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
4.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
FC Gomel
Overall
6.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.0
Baranovici
Overall
0.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
3.0
Key Analytics
FC Gomel
1.8
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Baranovici
0.6
Goals
scored/game
2.1
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
1-0
13.1% probability
Alternative
2-0
12.8% probability
Alternative
1-1
9.8% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 39%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 36%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
Stake Calculator
Return
13.70
Net profit: 3.70
Match History
Head to Head
10.09.16
PL
Baranovici
FC Gomel
0
6
15.05.16
PL
FC Gomel
Baranovici
4
1
14.08.10
PL
FC Gomel
Baranovici
5
1
25.04.10
PL
Baranovici
FC Gomel
0
2
Recent Results
FC Gomel
08.05.26
VL
FC Gomel
Isloch
2
0
W
02.05.26
VL
FC Gomel
Zhodino
1
1
D
26.04.26
VL
Belshina
FC Gomel
0
2
W
19.04.26
VL
FC Gomel
Slavia Mozyr
3
1
W
10.04.26
VL
Naftan
FC Gomel
0
2
W
05.04.26
VL
FC Minsk
FC Gomel
2
0
L
20.03.26
VL
Vitebsk
FC Gomel
1
1
D
13.03.26
CF
FC Gomel
BumProm Gomel
3
1
W
07.03.26
CF
FC Gomel
Iskra Smolensk
2
1
W
28.02.26
CF
FC Gomel
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
4
0
W
Baranovici
08.05.26
VL
Baranovici
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1
1
D
02.05.26
VL
Dnepr Mogilev
Baranovici
0
0
D
25.04.26
VL
Baranovici
Din. Minsk
2
3
L
18.04.26
VL
Dynamo Brest
Baranovici
3
0
L
11.04.26
VL
Baranovici
ML Vitebsk
0
4
L
05.04.26
VL
BATE
Baranovici
3
0
L
22.03.26
VL
Isloch
Baranovici
2
0
L
07.03.26
CF
Neman
Baranovici
0
0
D
04.03.26
CF
Baranovici
Niva Dolbizno
1
2
L
28.02.26
CF
Din. Minsk
Baranovici
3
2
L
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Expert Analysis

In the often grueling, uncompromising environment of Belarusian football, fixtures like this one serve as a stark reminder of the definitive gap between the established contenders and the rest of the pack. FC Gomel welcomes FC Baranovichi with a singular, unyielding objective: securing all three points without any unnecessary complications. Gomel represents a massive step up in class, boasting a roster that effectively blends seasoned tactical awareness with genuine attacking flair. They operate with a clear understanding that their season targets rely entirely on maintaining a flawless, dominant record against lower-ranked opposition. Dropping points at home in a match they are universally expected to win easily would be considered a catastrophic failure.

When we evaluate the structural reality of this matchup, Baranovichi faces an incredibly steep, almost insurmountable uphill battle. They lack the sustained offensive firepower required to genuinely threaten Gomel’s highly organized defensive shape. Their most likely strategy will involve deep, entrenched defending, hoping to frustrate the hosts and miraculously drag out a scoreless draw. However, the data reveals that Gomel excels specifically at breaking down these exact types of rigid low-block systems. They utilize aggressive overlapping full-backs to stretch the play, creating numerical overloads in the wide areas that inevitably fracture defensive lines. The head-to-head metrics point toward a long, punishing ninety minutes for the visitors. Gomel’s relentless ball circulation and superior physical conditioning will slowly drain Baranovichi’s resistance, leading directly to a decisive and heavily one-sided victory for the home team.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for FC Gomel vs Baranovici?
Our top pick is 1 — FC Gomel to win at around 1.37. Confidence: 66%.
What is FC Gomel's recent form?
FC Gomel have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Baranovici been performing?
Baranovici: 0W 3D 7L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record for FC Gomel vs Baranovici?
FC Gomel 4 wins vs Baranovici's 0, with 0 draws in 4 meetings. Avg 4.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.7 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.