🏆 Portugal Liga 📅 Saturday, 16th May 2026
SC
Sporting CP
W W D D D
VS
GV
Gil Vicente
L D W L D
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Sporting CP to win in this fixture.
Predicted Score
1-1
11.8% probability
Odds
1.20
1/5
-500
Confidence
57%
Solid Pick
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⚔ Head to Head
Sporting CP7W
Draw3
Gil Vicente0W
Supports Tip Sporting CP won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Sporting CP wins4/10
Gil Vicente wins2/10
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals2.6
Caution Sporting CP: 4W 4D 2L from 10 games.
4-4-2
Sporting CP form
2-4-4
Gil Vicente form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.6
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Sporting CP
Overall
5.2
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.7
Gil Vicente
Overall
3.2
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.3
Key Analytics
Sporting CP
1.8
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Gil Vicente
1.3
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
1-1
11.8% probability
Alternative
1-0
10.2% probability
Alternative
2-1
9.4% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 24%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 24%
Draw & Under 2.5 16%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
Stake Calculator
Return
12.00
Net profit: 2.00
Match History
Head to Head
02.01.26
LP
Gil Vicente
Sporting CP
1
1
04.05.25
LP
Sporting CP
Gil Vicente
2
1
27.02.25
TP
Gil Vicente
Sporting CP
0
1
22.12.24
LP
Gil Vicente
Sporting CP
0
0
12.04.24
LP
Gil Vicente
Sporting CP
0
4
04.12.23
LP
Sporting CP
Gil Vicente
3
1
05.04.23
LP
Gil Vicente
Sporting CP
0
0
30.09.22
LP
Sporting CP
Gil Vicente
3
1
01.05.22
LP
Sporting CP
Gil Vicente
4
1
18.12.21
LP
Gil Vicente
Sporting CP
0
3
Recent Results
Sporting CP
11.05.26
LP
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
1
4
W
04.05.26
LP
Sporting CP
Vitoria Guimaraes
5
1
W
29.04.26
LP
Sporting CP
Tondela
2
2
D
26.04.26
LP
AFS
Sporting CP
1
1
D
22.04.26
TP
FC Porto
Sporting CP
0
0
D
19.04.26
LP
Sporting CP
Benfica
1
2
L
15.04.26
CL
Arsenal
Sporting CP
0
0
D
11.04.26
LP
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
W
07.04.26
CL
Sporting CP
Arsenal
0
1
L
03.04.26
LP
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
4
2
W
Gil Vicente
11.05.26
LP
Gil Vicente
Arouca
1
3
L
03.05.26
LP
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente
0
0
D
27.04.26
LP
Gil Vicente
Casa Pia
2
1
W
18.04.26
LP
Gil Vicente
Vitoria Guimaraes
0
1
L
13.04.26
LP
Tondela
Gil Vicente
2
2
D
03.04.26
LP
Gil Vicente
AFS
3
0
W
21.03.26
LP
Santa Clara
Gil Vicente
1
0
L
14.03.26
LP
Gil Vicente
Alverca
2
2
D
08.03.26
LP
Estrela
Gil Vicente
2
2
D
02.03.26
LP
Gil Vicente
Benfica
1
2
L
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Expert Analysis

The lights at the José Alvalade Stadium are ready to shine on a Sporting CP squad that knows exactly what is required to cross the finish line. This Primeira Liga clash against Gil Vicente is drenched in contextual pressure for the home side. Back in January, Sporting traveled to Barcelos and found themselves deeply frustrated, walking away with a 1-1 draw after a late Carlos Eduardo equalizer canceled out Luis Suárez’s opener. That dropped point still stings, and Sporting’s tactical setup today will be entirely focused on ensuring lightning doesn’t strike twice. When playing in Lisbon, Sporting’s attacking metrics are completely off the charts. Sporting’s manager knows that tactical flexibility is key, and their ability to transition from a measured build-up to a high-speed vertical assault is what separates them from the rest of the pack.

Gil Vicente deserves credit for their mid-table stability, but their away form against the traditional “Big Three” often exposes a severe lack of depth. Statistically, Gil Vicente struggles to maintain possession under a high press, leading to catastrophic turnovers in highly dangerous areas. Sporting’s midfield engine room is built precisely to exploit those chaotic moments, turning defensive recoveries into immediate scoring opportunities. For Sporting, every single match at this late stage of the season is effectively a cup final. They cannot afford the luxury of complacency, and the dressing room will be acutely aware of the necessity of an early breakthrough to settle the nerves and dictate the tempo. The undeniable revenge narrative from their previous encounter, combined with the sheer necessity of securing all three points for their title ambitions, makes the hosts an unstoppable force here.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente?
Our top pick is 1 — Sporting CP to win at around 1.20. Confidence: 57%.
What is Sporting CP's recent form?
Sporting CP have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 — up and down.
How has Gil Vicente been performing?
Gil Vicente: 2W 4D 4L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record for Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente?
Sporting CP 7 wins vs Gil Vicente's 0, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.6 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.