Tip WON  ·  Tartu Welco 4-2 Nomme Kalju U21
🏆 Estonia Esiliiga 📅 Thursday, 28th May 2026
TW
Tartu Welco
W D L W D
4-2
VS
NK
Nomme Kalju U21
D W W L W
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Tartu Welco to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.23
20/87
-435
Confidence
63%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1  —  Tartu Welco to win @1.23
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 85%
H2H Over 2.5 90%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Tartu Welco9W
Draw0
Nomme Kalju U211W
Supports Tip Tartu Welco won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Tartu Welco wins6/10
Nomme Kalju U21 wins4/10
Goals per game4
H2H avg goals5
Supports Tip Tartu Welco: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Tartu Welco form
4-2-4
Nomme Kalju U21 form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
5
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Tartu Welco
Overall
6.6
Scoring
8.3
Defence
5.0
Nomme Kalju U21
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
2.3
Key Analytics
Tartu Welco
2.5
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Nomme Kalju U21
1.7
Goals
scored/game
2.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 33%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
Stake Calculator
Return
12.30
Net profit: 2.30
Match History
Head to Head
11.04.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
1
5
23.10.25
ESI
Tartu Welco
Nomme Kalju U21
5
2
19.07.25
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
0
3
19.06.25
ESI
Tartu Welco
Nomme Kalju U21
0
1
01.05.25
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
0
4
24.09.23
ESB
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
3
4
03.07.23
ESB
Tartu Welco
Nomme Kalju U21
4
2
29.05.23
ESB
Tartu Welco
Nomme Kalju U21
5
2
02.04.23
ESB
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
0
4
15.10.22
ESB
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
1
4
Recent Results
Tartu Welco
24.05.26
ESI
Maardu
Tartu Welco
0
1
W
17.05.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Flora U21
3
3
D
09.05.26
ESI
Tallinna Kalev
Tartu Welco
2
0
L
01.05.26
ESI
FC Tallinn
Tartu Welco
0
2
W
27.04.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Elva
3
3
D
23.04.26
ESI
Viimsi JK
Tartu Welco
2
0
L
17.04.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Levadia U21
3
2
W
11.04.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
1
5
W
03.04.26
ESI
Nomme Utd U21
Tartu Welco
1
3
W
21.03.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Maardu
5
1
W
Nomme Kalju U21
16.05.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Viimsi JK
1
1
D
11.05.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Levadia U21
1
0
W
02.05.26
ESI
Elva
Nomme Kalju U21
2
4
W
27.04.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tallinna Kalev
0
4
L
24.04.26
ESI
Nomme Utd U21
Nomme Kalju U21
0
3
W
18.04.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Maardu
3
2
W
11.04.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
1
5
L
04.04.26
ESI
FC Tallinn
Nomme Kalju U21
6
3
L
19.03.26
ESI
Flora U21
Nomme Kalju U21
3
1
L
14.03.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Viimsi JK
0
0
D
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Expert Analysis

Reserve squads competing in professional leagues always present a unique tactical profile, and Nomme Kalju U21’s participation in the Estonian Esiliiga is no exception. Their primary objective is not to grind out ugly results or fight for promotion; it is to develop young talent and provide minutes for prospects. This philosophy inherently leads to a naive style of football. They attempt to play out from the back, commit men forward, and take risks in possession that seasoned professionals would immediately identify as dangerous. While this makes for entertaining football, it leaves them completely exposed against physically mature, pragmatic teams like Tartu Welco, who know exactly how to exploit tactical inexperience.

Tartu Welco approaches this home fixture with a clear, ruthless game plan. They do not need to dominate possession to control the match. Instead, they rely on physical superiority, winning second balls in the midfield, and utilizing set-pieces to overwhelm the younger Kalju defenders. Welco’s attacking line is adept at pressing high, specifically targeting the U21 center-backs who are prone to turning the ball over under heavy pressure. The physical mismatch in aerial duels and 50-50 challenges usually dictates the flow of these specific encounters, pushing the reserve squad deeper and deeper into their own half as the game progresses.

The pressure on Tartu Welco to secure maximum points is significant as they look to maintain their status in the upper tier of the division. They cannot afford to drop points at home against a developmental squad. Kalju U21 might string together some visually pleasing passes in non-threatening areas of the pitch, but they lack the cutting edge in the final third and the defensive grit to survive the physical onslaught. Welco will impose their will early, use their physical advantages to bully the backline, and comfortably take all three points on their home ground.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Tartu Welco vs Nomme Kalju U21?
Our top pick is 1 — Tartu Welco to win at around 1.23. Confidence: 63%.
What is Tartu Welco's recent form?
Tartu Welco have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Nomme Kalju U21 been performing?
Nomme Kalju U21: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games — up and down.
What is the H2H record for Tartu Welco vs Nomme Kalju U21?
Tartu Welco 9 wins vs Nomme Kalju U21's 1, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.