🏆 World Cup 2026 📅 Monday, 29th June 2026 ⏰ 6:00 pm 📍 NRG Stadium (Houston, TX)
B
Brazil
W W D W W
VS
J
Japan
D W D W W
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
Over 1.5
We're backing over 1.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.34
17/50
-294
Confidence
86%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 1.5  —  over 1.5 goals @1.34
Goals Over 1.5 85%
Japan Clean Sheet Away CS 60%
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Brazil7W
Draw2
Japan1W
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 80% of H2H meetings (avg 3.2).
📈 Recent Form
Brazil wins6/10
Japan wins7/10
Goals per game3.1
H2H avg goals3.2
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 85% of recent games.
6-2-2
Brazil form
7-3-0
Japan form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
3.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Brazil
Overall
6.6
Scoring
8.0
Defence
6.3
Japan
Overall
7.9
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.7
Key Analytics
Brazil
2.4
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Japan
2
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
60%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
Stake Calculator
Return
13.40
Net profit: 3.40
Match History
Head to Head
14.10.25
FI
Japan
Brazil
3
2
06.06.22
FI
Japan
Brazil
0
1
10.11.17
FI
Japan
Brazil
1
3
14.10.14
FI
Japan
Brazil
0
4
15.06.13
CC
Brazil
Japan
3
0
16.10.12
FI
Japan
Brazil
0
4
22.06.06
WC
Japan
Brazil
1
4
22.06.05
CC
Brazil
Japan
2
2
04.06.01
CC
Brazil
Japan
0
0
30.03.99
FI
Japan
Brazil
0
2
Recent Results
Brazil
24.06.26
WC
Scotland
Brazil
0
3
W
20.06.26
WC
Brazil
Haiti
3
0
W
13.06.26
WC
Brazil
Morocco
1
1
D
06.06.26
FI
Brazil
Egypt
2
1
W
31.05.26
FI
Brazil
Panama
6
2
W
01.04.26
FI
Brazil
Croatia
3
1
W
26.03.26
FI
Brazil
France
1
2
L
18.11.25
FI
Brazil
Tunisia
1
1
D
15.11.25
FI
Brazil
Senegal
2
0
W
14.10.25
FI
Japan
Brazil
3
2
L
Japan
26.06.26
WC
Japan
Sweden
1
1
D
21.06.26
WC
Tunisia
Japan
0
4
W
14.06.26
WC
Netherlands
Japan
2
2
D
31.05.26
FI
Japan
Iceland
1
0
W
31.03.26
FI
England
Japan
0
1
W
28.03.26
FI
Scotland
Japan
0
1
W
18.11.25
FI
Japan
Bolivia
3
0
W
14.11.25
FI
Japan
Ghana
2
0
W
14.10.25
FI
Japan
Brazil
3
2
W
10.10.25
FI
Japan
Paraguay
2
2
D
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Expert Analysis

On Monday, 29th June 2026, Brazil host Japan at NRG Stadium (Houston, TX) in World Cup 2026. Our analysis points to over 1.5 goals as the standout bet.

Brazil come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

Japan are travelling well — 7W 3D 0L in 10 games, scoring 2 and conceding 0.7 per match.

Historically, Brazil have won 7 of the last 10 meetings against Japan, who have taken 1 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, and the meetings average 3.2 goals.

With all factors considered, over 1.5 goals at 1.34 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Check line-ups before placing any bet.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Brazil vs Japan?
Our top pick is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals at around 1.34. Confidence: 86%.
What is Brazil's recent form?
Brazil have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Japan been performing?
Japan: 7W 3D 0L from 10 games — in very good form.
What is the H2H record for Brazil vs Japan?
Brazil 7 wins vs Japan's 1, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.