🏆 Europa League Qualifier 📅 Thursday, 16th July 2026 ⏰ 6:30 pm 📍 The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry) ⏳ —
DC
Derry City
L L W D L
VS
CS
CSKA Sofia
W W W L W
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
Over 1.5
We're backing over 1.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.19
15/79
-526
Confidence
★★★★★
77%
Strong Pick
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⚔ Head to Head
Derry City0W
Draw1
CSKA Sofia2W
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 67% of H2H meetings (avg 2.7).
📈 Recent Form
Derry City wins2/10
CSKA Sofia wins5/9
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals2.7
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 79% of recent games.
2-4-4
Derry City form
5-1-3
CSKA Sofia form
67%
H2H BTTS rate
2.7
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Derry City
Overall
3.2 —
Scoring
5.0 —
Defence
5.0 —
CSKA Sofia
Overall
5.9 ▼
Scoring
4.8 —
Defence
5.2 —
Key Analytics
Derry City
1.5
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
CSKA Sofia
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
22%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 12%
Home Win & Under 2.5 8%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
Stake Calculator
Return
11.90
Net profit: 1.90
Match History
Head to Head
09.07.26
EL
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
3
2
06.08.09
EL
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
1
1
30.07.09
EL
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
1
0
Recent Results
Derry City
09.07.26
EL
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
3
2
L
03.07.26
PD
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
L
26.06.26
PD
Derry City
Drogheda
2
0
W
22.06.26
PD
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
1
D
19.06.26
PD
Galway
Derry City
2
1
L
12.06.26
PD
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
29.05.26
PD
Dundalk
Derry City
2
1
L
25.05.26
PD
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
PD
Derry City
St. Patricks
0
0
D
15.05.26
PD
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
CSKA Sofia
09.07.26
EL
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
3
2
W
03.07.26
CF
CSKA Sofia
Marek
3
0
W
28.06.26
CF
Odra Opole
CSKA Sofia
2
3
W
24.06.26
CF
CSKA Sofia
Polissya Zhytomyr
0
4
L
20.06.26
CF
Grosuplje
CSKA Sofia
1
2
W
25.05.26
1L
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
0
L
16.05.26
1L
Levski Sofia
CSKA Sofia
2
0
L
13.05.26
1L
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948 Sofia
1
1
D
08.05.26
1L
CSKA 1948 Sofia
CSKA Sofia
0
1
W
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Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 16th July 2026, Derry City host CSKA Sofia at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry) in Europa League Qualifier. Our analysis points to over 1.5 goals as the standout bet.

Derry City come into this going through a difficult run, with 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

CSKA Sofia are inconsistent on the road — 5W 1D 3L in 9 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 per match.

Historically, Derry City have won 0 of the last 3 meetings against CSKA Sofia, who have taken 2 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 67% of those games, and the meetings average 2.7 goals.

With all factors considered, over 1.5 goals at 1.19 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Check line-ups before placing any bet.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Derry City vs CSKA Sofia?
Our top pick is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals at around 1.19. Confidence: 77%.
What is Derry City's recent form?
Derry City have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 — poor form.
How has CSKA Sofia been performing?
CSKA Sofia: 5W 1D 3L from 9 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record for Derry City vs CSKA Sofia?
Derry City 0 wins vs CSKA Sofia's 2, with 1 draws in 3 meetings. Avg 2.7 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 67%.