Tip WON  ·  Al Merreikh 4-1 Etincelles
🏆 Rwanda Premier League 📅 Thursday, 7th May 2026
AM
Al Merreikh
W W L D W
4-1
VS
E
Etincelles
D D L W L
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Al Merreikh to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.45
9/20
-222
Confidence
60%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1  —  Al Merreikh to win @1.45
Goals Under 2.5 65%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 70%
Al Merreikh Clean Sheet Home CS 70%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Al Merreikh1W
Draw0
Etincelles0W
Supports Tip Al Merreikh won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Al Merreikh wins6/10
Etincelles wins2/10
Goals per game1.7
H2H avg goals3
Supports Tip Al Merreikh: 6W 3D 1L from 10 games.
6-3-1
Al Merreikh form
2-5-3
Etincelles form
100%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Al Merreikh
Overall
6.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
9.0
Etincelles
Overall
3.5
Scoring
2.3
Defence
6.7
Key Analytics
Al Merreikh
1.4
Goals
scored/game
0.3
Goals
conceded/game
70%
Clean
sheets
Etincelles
0.7
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 23%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 33%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 21%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
Stake Calculator
Return
14.50
Net profit: 4.50
Match History
Head to Head
17.12.25
PL
Etincelles
Al-Merreikh
1
2
Recent Results
Al Merreikh
02.05.26
PL
Gicumbi
Al-Merreikh
0
3
W
26.04.26
PL
Al-Merreikh
Bugesera
3
0
W
18.04.26
PL
Mukura Victory Sports
Al-Merreikh
1
0
L
04.04.26
PL
Al-Merreikh
Rutsiro
0
0
D
19.03.26
PL
Al-Merreikh
Muhanga
3
0
W
16.03.26
PL
Rayon Sport
Al-Merreikh
0
0
D
09.03.26
PL
Police
Al-Merreikh
0
1
W
27.02.26
PL
Al-Merreikh
Gasogi United
1
1
D
22.02.26
PL
AS Kigali
Al-Merreikh
0
1
W
17.02.26
PL
Al-Hilal Omdurman
Al-Merreikh
1
2
W
Etincelles
02.05.26
PL
Etincelles
Amagaju
0
0
D
26.04.26
PL
Etincelles
Kiyovu
0
0
D
21.04.26
CUP
Etincelles
APR
1
3
L
18.04.26
PL
Etincelles
APR
2
1
W
04.04.26
PL
Bugesera
Etincelles
3
0
L
22.03.26
PL
Police
Etincelles
1
1
D
18.03.26
CUP
Etincelles
Bugesera
2
0
W
14.03.26
PL
Rutsiro
Etincelles
0
0
D
11.03.26
CUP
Bugesera
Etincelles
1
0
L
08.03.26
PL
Etincelles
Rayon Sport
1
1
D
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Expert Analysis

This fixture in the Rwanda Premier League presents a fascinating clash of styles and ambitions as Al Merreikh prepares to host Etincelles. Al Merreikh has been a revelation this season, integrating their squad seamlessly and playing a brand of football that is both physically imposing and technically sound. Etincelles, conversely, has been scrapping for survival. The visitors are well aware that their defensive vulnerabilities have been their Achilles’ heel all season, particularly when facing teams that press high up the pitch. For Al Merreikh, sitting comfortably higher up the table, this is a prime opportunity to flex their attacking muscles and secure another vital three points.

The statistical narrative paints a stark contrast between the two sides. Al Merreikh has consistently dominated possession metrics in their home fixtures, using the width of the pitch to stretch opposing defenses before delivering incisive balls into the penalty area. Etincelles has one of the leakiest away defenses in the league, often struggling to cope with crosses and set-piece deliveries. The pressure here is a fascinating dynamic: Etincelles is fighting a desperate battle against relegation, which makes them dangerous, but Al Merreikh is under pressure to maintain their elite status and prove that their squad depth can handle the rigors of the long season.

Looking at the tactical breakdown, Al Merreikh’s midfield pivot has been excellent at breaking up play and immediately launching counter-attacks. Etincelles usually attempts to crowd the midfield to disrupt the flow, but they lack the pace at the back to recover when that initial line of engagement is bypassed. The sheer quality gap in the final third is the deciding factor here. Al Merreikh creates high-quality chances, whereas Etincelles relies heavily on hopeful long balls. Expect the hosts to control the tempo from the first whistle and systematically dismantle the visitors’ defense.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Al Merreikh vs Etincelles?
Our top pick is 1 — Al Merreikh to win at around 1.45. Confidence: 60%.
What is Al Merreikh's recent form?
Al Merreikh have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Etincelles been performing?
Etincelles: 2W 5D 3L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record for Al Merreikh vs Etincelles?
Al Merreikh 1 wins vs Etincelles's 0, with 0 draws in 1 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 1.7 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 100%.