Atletico Madrid enters this Champions League Round of 16 clash in fantastic shape. Diego Simeone’s squad has won four of their last five matches, recently showing their might by hammering Barcelona in domestic cup action.

The Riyadh Air Metropolitano remains an absolute fortress for them, where they heavily outperform their expected goals, scoring 24 times from just 15.6 xG in recent European outings.

They dominate possession at home, sitting around an 86% passing accuracy rate. Tottenham Hotspur, on the other hand, is enduring a nightmare 2025-2026 season. They are stuck in a Premier League relegation battle and have lost five straight matches.

Igor Tudor is still searching for answers as the interim boss, making their domestic form completely disastrous. Tottenham’s defense has actually been somewhat respectable in Europe, keeping several clean sheets during the league phase, but their attack is toothless, generating very few high-quality chances.

The gap in confidence and available personnel is staggering. The home side is fully equipped to dictate the tempo and exploit the visitors’ makeshift defense. A severely depleted Tottenham side traveling to Madrid under a brand-new manager spells disaster for the English club.

A controlled, dominant performance by the Spanish hosts is widely expected as they look to build a comfortable aggregate lead.