🏆 Copa Do Brasil 📅 Thursday, 23rd April 2026
AM
Atletico MG
L W L L W
VS
C
Ceara
D W W W W
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1X
We're backing Atletico MG to win or draw in this fixture.
Odds
1.10
1/10
-1000
Confidence
78%
Strong Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1X  —  Atletico MG to win or draw @1.10
Goals Under 2.5 70%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Atletico MG6W
Draw3
Ceara1W
Supports Tip Atletico MG unbeaten in 9 of 10 H2H meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Atletico MG wins5/10
Ceara wins4/10
Goals per game2.1
H2H avg goals2.1
Mixed Atletico MG unbeaten in 5 of 10 recent games.
5-0-5
Atletico MG form
4-5-1
Ceara form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.1
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Atletico MG
Overall
5.0
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.7
Ceara
Overall
5.5
Scoring
4.3
Defence
7.7
Key Analytics
Atletico MG
1.1
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Ceara
1.3
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 25%
Stake Calculator
Return
11.00
Net profit: 1.00
Match History
Head to Head
25.10.25
SA
Atletico-MG
Ceara
1
0
01.06.25
SA
Ceara
Atletico-MG
0
1
09.10.22
SA
Atletico-MG
Ceara
0
0
15.06.22
SA
Ceara
Atletico-MG
0
0
09.10.21
SA
Atletico-MG
Ceara
3
1
24.06.21
SA
Ceara
Atletico-MG
2
1
22.11.20
SA
Ceara
Atletico-MG
2
2
16.08.20
SA
Atletico-MG
Ceara
2
0
29.09.19
SA
Atletico-MG
Ceara
2
1
05.05.19
SA
Ceara
Atletico-MG
1
2
Recent Results
Atletico MG
19.04.26
SA
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
2
0
L
16.04.26
COP
Atletico-MG
Juventud
2
1
W
12.04.26
SA
Santos
Atletico-MG
1
0
L
09.04.26
COP
Puerto Cabello
Atletico-MG
2
1
L
05.04.26
SA
Atletico-MG
Athletico-PR
2
1
W
02.04.26
SA
Chapecoense-SC
Atletico-MG
0
4
W
21.03.26
SA
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
0
L
19.03.26
SA
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
14.03.26
SA
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
L
11.03.26
SA
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
Ceara
19.04.26
SB
Londrina
Ceara
0
0
D
15.04.26
COP
Ceara
Jacuipense
4
1
W
12.04.26
SB
Ceara
Nautico
1
0
W
09.04.26
COP
Ceara
Fortaleza
2
0
W
04.04.26
SB
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
W
02.04.26
SB
Ponte Preta
Ceara
1
1
D
28.03.26
COP
Retro
Ceara
3
1
L
25.03.26
COP
Ceara
ABC
1
1
D
21.03.26
SB
Ceara
Sao Bernardo
1
1
D
17.03.26
COP
Sao Bernardo
Ceara (2 - 3 Pens)
0
0
W
Share This Tip
Expert Analysis

The stakes are palpable as Atletico MG prepares to host Ceara in this Copa do Brasil clash. Atletico MG comes into this fixture carrying the heavy expectations of their passionate fanbase, demanding nothing short of dominance at home. However, their recent form has been a mixed bag, marked by a frustrating 2-0 defeat to Coritiba that exposed a few cracks in their usually solid defensive setup. The pressure to bounce back immediately is intense, and the home side will be desperate to re-assert their authority and take control of this tie early on.

Ceara, on the other hand, arrives with a quiet confidence. They have strung together a resilient run of form, shutting out opponents in recent league outings and showing they can grind out results when necessary. Looking at the head-to-head data, Ceara has occasionally been a thorn in Atletico’s side, securing hard-fought 0-0 draws and even snatching a 2-1 victory back in 2021. They know how to frustrate stronger opponents, dropping deep and closing down the central channels to force errors.

Despite Ceara’s stubbornness, betting against Atletico MG on their home turf remains a massive risk. The hosts possess superior individual quality in the final third, and the sheer volume of possession they are expected to command means they will relentlessly test the visitors’ resolve. Ceara will likely play for a tight result, aiming to keep the aggregate score manageable, which plays right into a scenario where Atletico avoids defeat. The home side has the firepower to win, but even if Ceara executes a perfect defensive masterclass, a draw is the most realistic ceiling for the visitors.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Atletico MG vs Ceara?
Our top pick is 1X — Atletico MG to win or draw at around 1.10. Confidence: 78%.
What is Atletico MG's recent form?
Atletico MG have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Ceara been performing?
Ceara: 4W 5D 1L from 10 games — up and down.
What is the H2H record for Atletico MG vs Ceara?
Atletico MG 6 wins vs Ceara's 1, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.