Tip WON  ·  Celta Vigo 1-3 Freiburg
🏆 UEFA Europa League 📅 Thursday, 16th April 2026
CV
Celta Vigo
L L W L W
1-3
VS
F
Freiburg
W W L W W
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
Over 1.5
We're backing over 1.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.26
13/50
-385
Confidence
93%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 1.5  —  over 1.5 goals @1.26
Goals Over 1.5 80%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Celta Vigo0W
Draw0
Freiburg1W
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 100% of H2H meetings (avg 3).
📈 Recent Form
Celta Vigo wins4/10
Freiburg wins5/10
Goals per game3.1
H2H avg goals3
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 80% of recent games.
4-2-4
Celta Vigo form
5-1-4
Freiburg form
0%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Celta Vigo
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.3
Freiburg
Overall
5.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.7
Key Analytics
Celta Vigo
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.7
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Freiburg
1.8
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
Stake Calculator
Return
12.60
Net profit: 2.60
Match History
Head to Head
09.04.26
Europa League
Freiburg
Celta Vigo
3
0
Recent Results
Celta Vigo
12.04.26
La Liga
Celta Vigo
Real Oviedo
0
3
L
09.04.26
Europa League
Freiburg
Celta Vigo
3
0
L
05.04.26
La Liga
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
3
W
22.03.26
La Liga
Celta Vigo
Alaves
3
4
L
19.03.26
Europa League
Lyon
Celta Vigo
0
2
W
15.03.26
La Liga
Betis
Celta Vigo
1
1
D
12.03.26
Europa League
Celta Vigo
Lyon
1
1
D
06.03.26
La Liga
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
1
2
L
01.03.26
La Liga
Girona
Celta Vigo
1
2
W
26.02.26
Europa League
Celta Vigo
PAOK
1
0
W
Freiburg
12.04.26
Bundesliga
Mainz
Freiburg
0
1
W
09.04.26
Europa League
Freiburg
Celta Vigo
3
0
W
04.04.26
Bundesliga
Freiburg
Bayern Munich
2
3
L
22.03.26
Bundesliga
St. Pauli
Freiburg
1
2
W
19.03.26
Europa League
Freiburg
Genk
5
1
W
15.03.26
Bundesliga
Freiburg
Union Berlin
0
1
L
12.03.26
Europa League
Genk
Freiburg
1
0
L
07.03.26
Bundesliga
Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
3
3
D
01.03.26
Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt
Freiburg
2
0
L
22.02.26
Bundesliga
Freiburg
B. Monchengladbach
2
1
W
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Expert Analysis

Estadio de Balaídos is bracing for a monumental European night as Celta Vigo looks to overturn a massive 3-0 deficit against SC Freiburg in the second leg of their UEFA Europa League quarter-final. Much like the AZ Alkmaar fixture, the context of this game heavily points toward a high-scoring affair, making Over 1.5 goals the smartest play. Celta Vigo has its back entirely against the wall. The Spanish outfit is fully aware that only a hyper-aggressive, front-foot approach will give them even a glimmer of hope to salvage their European campaign.

Freiburg, on the other hand, arrives in Spain with a comfortable cushion but knowing full well that an early Celta goal could turn the stadium into a cauldron of pressure.

Tactical Dynamics:

  1. Celta’s Wide Play: Celta will likely push their fullbacks incredibly high up the pitch to overload the wings, essentially abandoning their defensive shape to force the issue in the final third.
  2. Freiburg’s Efficiency: German sides are notoriously well-drilled in punishing over-commitments. Freiburg’s attackers thrive in space, and they will undoubtedly get plenty of it tonight.

Historically, Celta Vigo at home is a team that creates an abundance of chances, backed by a passionate Galician crowd that demands attacking football regardless of the opponent. The head-to-head reality is that Freiburg already dismantled Celta’s defensive structure once, just a week ago. With the must-win pressure forcing Celta to play an open, chaotic brand of football from minute one, the chances of this game ending 0-0 or 1-0 are remarkably slim. Someone is going to score early, and once that dam breaks, the tactical floodgates will follow.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Celta Vigo vs Freiburg?
Our top pick is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals at around 1.26. Confidence: 93%.
What is Celta Vigo's recent form?
Celta Vigo have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 — up and down.
How has Freiburg been performing?
Freiburg: 5W 1D 4L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record for Celta Vigo vs Freiburg?
Celta Vigo 0 wins vs Freiburg's 1, with 0 draws in 1 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 0%.