Tip WON  ·  Grotta 1-3 Afturelding
🏆 Iceland Division 1 📅 Monday, 18th May 2026
G
Grotta
W W L L W
1-3
VS
A
Afturelding
W W D L W
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Predicted Score
1-1
8.1% probability
Odds
1.40
2/5
-250
Confidence
76%
Strong Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 2.5  —  over 2.5 goals @1.40
Goals Over 2.5 70%
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Grotta2W
Draw4
Afturelding4W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 60% of H2H meetings (avg 3.9).
📈 Recent Form
Grotta wins5/10
Afturelding wins6/10
Goals per game3.8
H2H avg goals3.9
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 70% of recent games.
5-0-5
Grotta form
6-1-3
Afturelding form
80%
H2H BTTS rate
3.9
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Grotta
Overall
5.0
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.0
Afturelding
Overall
6.3
Scoring
8.3
Defence
2.7
Key Analytics
Grotta
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Afturelding
2.5
Goals
scored/game
2.2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
1-1
8.1% probability
Alternative
1-2
8.1% probability
Alternative
2-1
7.2% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Away Win & BTTS No 27%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 37%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
Stake Calculator
Return
14.00
Net profit: 4.00
Match History
Head to Head
06.02.26
CUP
Afturelding
Grotta
2
0
18.07.24
D1
Grotta
Afturelding
1
4
03.05.24
D1
Afturelding
Grotta
1
1
02.08.23
D1
Afturelding
Grotta
1
1
26.05.23
D1
Grotta
Afturelding
2
3
25.02.23
CUP
Grotta
Afturelding
1
1
12.08.22
D1
Grotta
Afturelding
4
2
03.06.22
D1
Afturelding
Grotta
2
2
15.09.21
D1
Grotta
Afturelding
8
0
01.07.21
D1
Afturelding
Grotta
2
1
Recent Results
Grotta
14.05.26
CUP
Vestri
Grotta
0
4
W
09.05.26
D1
Aegir
Grotta
0
1
W
01.05.26
D1
Grotta
Leiknir
1
2
L
25.04.26
D1
Kopavogur
Grotta
4
1
L
06.04.26
CUP
Grotta
Alftanes
1
0
W
26.03.26
CUP
Grotta
Ulfarnir
2
1
W
14.03.26
CUP
Throttur Vogar
Grotta
0
2
W
14.02.26
CUP
Thor Akureyri
Grotta
3
1
L
11.02.26
CUP
Grotta
Akranes
1
3
L
06.02.26
CUP
Afturelding
Grotta
2
0
L
Afturelding
13.05.26
CUP
Afturelding
Njardvik
5
2
W
08.05.26
D1
Leiknir
Afturelding
0
3
W
01.05.26
D1
Afturelding
Volsungur
0
0
D
24.04.26
D1
Afturelding
IR Reykjavik
4
7
L
03.04.26
CUP
Afturelding
Ymir
6
1
W
29.03.26
CUP
IR Reykjavik
Afturelding
2
3
W
25.02.26
CUP
Afturelding
Thor Akureyri
0
5
L
21.02.26
CUP
Valur
Afturelding
4
0
L
06.02.26
CUP
Afturelding
Grotta
2
0
W
29.01.26
CUP
Akranes
Afturelding
1
2
W
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Expert Analysis

The 2026 1. deild karla season in Iceland brings us an intriguing battle as Íþróttafélagið Grótta hosts Afturelding. This fixture is already shaping up to be a pivotal moment for both clubs as they look to establish their credentials early in the league campaign. Grótta, playing on their home turf, will be eager to dictate the pace and put on a show for their passionate supporters. They are known for an aggressive, forward-thinking approach at home, prioritizing attacking width and getting multiple bodies into the penalty area. Afturelding, however, is a team perfectly built to exploit exactly that kind of expansive setup. They are comfortable absorbing pressure, defending deep, and springing lethal counter-attacks, making them a very dangerous opponent on their travels.

The statistical data and recent history between these two sides suggest a high-scoring affair is on the horizon. In their group stage meeting earlier this year in February, Afturelding secured a 2-0 victory. While that specific result fell just short of a massive goal tally, the tactical blueprint it revealed is crucial for this matchup. Grótta was routinely exposed when pushing forward, a structural flaw they have historically struggled to correct against quick-transition teams. Now, with vital league points on the line and Grótta operating as the home side, their offensive commitment will be even greater. Afturelding’s ability to transition rapidly from defense to attack against a high defensive line practically guarantees they will create significant scoring chances. Furthermore, early-season matches in Iceland often feature a lack of defensive cohesion, leading to higher-scoring games as teams scramble to find their rhythm.

The psychological pressure in this matchup is distinct and heavy. Grótta cannot afford to drop points at home if they harbor any serious ambitions of competing at the top end of the table. They must attack and secure a victory. Afturelding knows that a win on the road against a potential rival is a massive statement of intent. This mutual necessity for three points creates an environment where neither team will settle for a conservative draw. The combination of Grótta’s attacking philosophy at home and Afturelding’s proven ability to score against them sets the stage for an open, end-to-end game of football. The offensive urgency from both sides makes expecting a minimum of three goals a highly educated forecast.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Grotta vs Afturelding?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.40. Confidence: 76%.
What is Grotta's recent form?
Grotta have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Afturelding been performing?
Afturelding: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record for Grotta vs Afturelding?
Grotta 2 wins vs Afturelding's 4, with 4 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.9 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 80%.