Tip WON  ·  Lens 1-0 Nantes
🏆 Ligue 1 📅 Friday, 8th May 2026
L
Lens
D D W W W
1-0
VS
N
Nantes
W L L D D
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Lens to win in this fixture.
Predicted Score
1-1
10.7% probability
Odds
1.45
9/20
-222
Confidence
53%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1  —  Lens to win @1.45
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 80%
H2H Over 2.5 80%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Lens5W
Draw2
Nantes3W
Mixed Lens won 5 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Lens wins6/10
Nantes wins2/10
Goals per game3.1
H2H avg goals3.3
Supports Tip Lens: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Lens form
2-3-5
Nantes form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
3.3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Lens
Overall
6.6
Scoring
8.3
Defence
4.7
Nantes
Overall
2.9
Scoring
3.0
Defence
6.3
Key Analytics
Lens
2.5
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Nantes
0.9
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
1-1
10.7% probability
Alternative
2-1
9.6% probability
Alternative
1-0
8.5% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
Stake Calculator
Return
14.50
Net profit: 4.50
Match History
Head to Head
06.12.25
L1
Nantes
Lens
1
2
23.02.25
L1
Nantes
Lens
3
1
09.11.24
L1
Lens
Nantes
3
2
03.02.24
L1
Nantes
Lens
0
1
28.10.23
L1
Lens
Nantes
4
0
01.03.23
CDF
Nantes
Lens
2
1
19.02.23
L1
Lens
Nantes
3
1
18.09.22
L1
Nantes
Lens
0
0
30.04.22
L1
Lens
Nantes
2
2
10.12.21
L1
Nantes
Lens
3
2
Recent Results
Lens
02.05.26
L1
Nice
Lens
1
1
D
24.04.26
L1
Brest
Lens
3
3
D
21.04.26
CDF
Lens
Toulouse
4
1
W
17.04.26
L1
Lens
Toulouse
3
2
W
11.04.26
CF
Lens
Rouen
2
1
W
04.04.26
L1
Lille
Lens
3
0
L
20.03.26
L1
Lens
Angers
5
1
W
14.03.26
L1
Lorient
Lens
2
1
L
08.03.26
L1
Lens
Metz
3
0
W
05.03.26
CDF
Lyon
Lens
2
3
W
Nantes
02.05.26
L1
Nantes
Marseille
3
0
W
26.04.26
L1
Rennes
Nantes
2
1
L
22.04.26
L1
PSG
Nantes
3
0
L
19.04.26
L1
Nantes
Brest
1
1
D
11.04.26
L1
Auxerre
Nantes
0
0
D
05.04.26
L1
Metz
Nantes
0
0
D
22.03.26
L1
Nantes
Strasbourg
2
3
L
07.03.26
L1
Nantes
Angers
0
1
L
01.03.26
L1
Lille
Nantes
1
0
L
22.02.26
L1
Nantes
Le Havre
2
0
W
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Expert Analysis

The electric atmosphere at Stade Bollaert-Delelis will be fully charged as Racing Club de Lens hosts Football Club de Nantes in Week 33 of Ligue 1. With only one game remaining after this, it is absolute crunch time. Racing Club de Lens is fighting furiously for European qualification spots, making this a non-negotiable “must-win” scenario. The data clearly backs the home side, giving them a 64.6% probability of securing the victory. Football Club de Nantes, while always a tricky opponent, simply does not carry the same level of attacking threat or structural solidity as the hosts.

Looking at recent form and underlying metrics, Racing Club de Lens has been exceptional at home, utilizing their wing-backs to stretch the opposition and create high-quality chances in the box. Football Club de Nantes often struggles to track these wide runners, which usually results in them getting pinned deep in their own half. The head-to-head history at this venue heavily favors Racing Club de Lens, who feed off the incredible energy of their fans.

The visitors will try to hit on the counter, but the defensive transition of Racing Club de Lens is usually quick enough to smother those opportunities before they develop. The sheer desperation and motivation of Racing Club de Lens to secure European football is the driving force behind this prediction. They have the superior squad, the better tactical manager, and the backing of a ferocious crowd. Expect Racing Club de Lens to impose their will early and cruise to a vital three points.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Lens vs Nantes?
Our top pick is 1 — Lens to win at around 1.45. Confidence: 53%.
What is Lens's recent form?
Lens have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Nantes been performing?
Nantes: 2W 3D 5L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record for Lens vs Nantes?
Lens 5 wins vs Nantes's 3, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.