Tip WON  ·  Man City 3-0 Brentford
🏆 Premier League 📅 Saturday, 9th May 2026
MC
Man City
D W W W W
3-0
VS
B
Brentford
W L D D D
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Man City to win in this fixture.
Predicted Score
1-1
11.3% probability
Odds
1.40
2/5
-250
Confidence
58%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1  —  Man City to win @1.40
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 80%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Man City7W
Draw1
Brentford2W
Supports Tip Man City won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Man City wins6/10
Brentford wins2/10
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals2.2
Supports Tip Man City: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Man City form
2-5-3
Brentford form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Man City
Overall
6.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.3
Brentford
Overall
3.5
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.3
Key Analytics
Man City
1.9
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Brentford
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
1-1
11.3% probability
Alternative
2-1
9.4% probability
Alternative
1-0
9.1% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
Stake Calculator
Return
14.00
Net profit: 4.00
Match History
Head to Head
17.12.25
EFL
Manchester City
Brentford
2
0
05.10.25
PL
Brentford
Manchester City
0
1
14.01.25
PL
Brentford
Manchester City
2
2
14.09.24
PL
Manchester City
Brentford
2
1
20.02.24
PL
Manchester City
Brentford
1
0
05.02.24
PL
Brentford
Manchester City
1
3
28.05.23
PL
Brentford
Manchester City
1
0
12.11.22
PL
Manchester City
Brentford
1
2
09.02.22
PL
Manchester City
Brentford
2
0
29.12.21
PL
Brentford
Manchester City
0
1
Recent Results
Man City
04.05.26
PL
Everton
Manchester City
3
3
D
25.04.26
FAC
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
W
22.04.26
PL
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
W
19.04.26
PL
Manchester City
Arsenal
2
1
W
12.04.26
PL
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
W
04.04.26
FAC
Manchester City
Liverpool
4
0
W
22.03.26
EFL
Arsenal
Manchester City
0
2
W
17.03.26
CL
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1
2
L
14.03.26
PL
West Ham
Manchester City
1
1
D
11.03.26
CL
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
L
Brentford
02.05.26
PL
Brentford
West Ham
3
0
W
27.04.26
PL
Manchester Utd
Brentford
2
1
L
18.04.26
PL
Brentford
Fulham
0
0
D
11.04.26
PL
Brentford
Everton
2
2
D
21.03.26
PL
Leeds
Brentford
0
0
D
16.03.26
PL
Brentford
Wolves
2
2
D
09.03.26
FAC
West Ham
Brentford
3
2
L
03.03.26
PL
Bournemouth
Brentford
0
0
D
28.02.26
PL
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
W
21.02.26
PL
Brentford
Brighton
0
2
L
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Expert Analysis

This is the definition of a title race pressure cooker. Arsenal threw down the gauntlet by hammering Fulham 3-0, extending their lead at the top of the Premier League to 76 points from 35 games. That leaves Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City sitting second on 71 points, with a vital game in hand. Anything less than three points at the Etihad this evening practically hands the trophy to North London.

This is the definition of a title race pressure cooker. Arsenal threw down the gauntlet by hammering Fulham 3-0, extending their lead at the top of the Premier League to 76 points from 35 games. That leaves Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City sitting second on 71 points, with a vital game in hand. Anything less than three points at the Etihad this evening practically hands the trophy to North London.

City knows the math. Win their remaining games, and they win the league. But that kind of pressure does funny things to legs late in the season. Arsenal’s Friday night win means City takes the pitch knowing a draw is fatal.

Despite Brentford’s solid form, breaking down City on their home turf remains one of the hardest tasks in world football. City has scored 69 goals this campaign and will look to pin Brentford in their own third from the opening whistle.

Brentford has the tactical discipline to make this an incredibly frustrating first half for the hosts. But desperation breeds intensity. With the title on the line, City’s sheer depth and attacking quality should eventually crack the defensive shell. Expect a tight, nervy affair until City finds the breakthrough, followed by a controlled finish.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Man City vs Brentford?
Our top pick is 1 — Man City to win at around 1.40. Confidence: 58%.
What is Man City's recent form?
Man City have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Brentford been performing?
Brentford: 2W 5D 3L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record for Man City vs Brentford?
Man City 7 wins vs Brentford's 2, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.