Tip WON  ·  Man United 3-2 Liverpool
🏆 Premier League 📅 Sunday, 3rd May 2026
MU
Man United
W W L D W
3-2
VS
L
Liverpool
W W L W L
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Predicted Score
0-0
25.9% probability
Odds
1.47
39/83
-213
Confidence
72%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 2.5  —  over 2.5 goals @1.47
Goals Under 2.5 75%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 80%
H2H Over 2.5 90%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Man United0W
Draw7
Liverpool3W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 90% of H2H meetings (avg 3.8).
📈 Recent Form
Man United wins6/10
Liverpool wins4/10
Goals per game1.4
H2H avg goals3.8
Caution Over 2.5 goals in 25% of recent games.
6-2-2
Man United form
4-1-5
Liverpool form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
3.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Man United
Overall
6.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Liverpool
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.3
Key Analytics
Man United
0
Goals
scored/game
0
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Liverpool
1.3
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
0-0
25.9% probability
Alternative
1-0
18.1% probability
Alternative
0-1
16.9% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Home Win & BTTS No 42%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 39%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 26%
Stake Calculator
Return
14.70
Net profit: 4.70
Match History
Head to Head
19.10.25
PL
Liverpool
Manchester Utd
1
2
05.01.25
PL
Liverpool
Manchester Utd
2
2
01.09.24
PL
Manchester Utd
Liverpool
0
3
04.08.24
CF
Manchester Utd
Liverpool
0
3
07.04.24
PL
Manchester Utd
Liverpool
2
2
17.03.24
FAC
Manchester Utd
Liverpool (aet)
4
3
17.12.23
PL
Liverpool
Manchester Utd
0
0
05.03.23
PL
Liverpool
Manchester Utd
7
0
22.08.22
PL
Manchester Utd
Liverpool
2
1
12.07.22
CF
Manchester Utd
Liverpool
4
0
Recent Results
Man United
27.04.26
PL
Manchester Utd
Brentford
2
1
W
18.04.26
PL
Chelsea
Manchester Utd
0
1
W
13.04.26
PL
Manchester Utd
Leeds
1
2
L
20.03.26
PL
Bournemouth
Manchester Utd
2
2
D
15.03.26
PL
Manchester Utd
Aston Villa
3
1
W
04.03.26
PL
Newcastle
Manchester Utd
2
1
L
01.03.26
PL
Manchester Utd
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
23.02.26
PL
Everton
Manchester Utd
0
1
W
10.02.26
PL
West Ham
Manchester Utd
1
1
D
07.02.26
PL
Manchester Utd
Tottenham
2
0
W
Liverpool
25.04.26
PL
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
3
1
W
19.04.26
PL
Everton
Liverpool
1
2
W
14.04.26
CL
Liverpool
PSG
0
2
L
11.04.26
PL
Liverpool
Fulham
2
0
W
08.04.26
CL
PSG
Liverpool
2
0
L
04.04.26
FAC
Manchester City
Liverpool
4
0
L
21.03.26
PL
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
L
18.03.26
CL
Liverpool
Galatasaray
4
0
W
15.03.26
PL
Liverpool
Tottenham
1
1
D
10.03.26
CL
Galatasaray
Liverpool
1
0
L
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Expert Analysis

Old Trafford is rarely a quiet place, but when Liverpool comes to town, the atmosphere shifts into something entirely different. We’re looking at a late-season clash here that has massive implications for both sides. Manchester United are fighting tooth and nail to secure their footing in the European spots, while Liverpool cannot afford a single slip-up if they want to finish this campaign exactly where they expect to be at the top of the table. This is the absolute definition of a must-win game for both camps, and that baseline desperation is going to dictate the tempo from the very first whistle.

Tactically, this matchup practically guarantees chaos. United have shown flashes of lethal brilliance on the counter-attack this season, utilizing the sheer pace of their wide men to exploit high defensive lines. The problem is that their midfield has frequently been bypassed, leaving the back four brutally exposed to transitional attacks. Liverpool, on the other hand, thrives in exactly those chaotic, broken-play moments. Their pressing traps are specifically designed to force turnovers in the middle third, and once they win the ball, they flood the penalty area with runners.

When you look at the recent head-to-head records and expected goals (xG) data for this historic fixture, low-scoring, cagey games are a massive rarity. Both teams possess elite firepower up front but have shown enough defensive vulnerability, whether through individual errors or structural gaps, to give the opposition genuine hope. Liverpool’s ability to sustain heavy pressure will inevitably crack United’s defense at some point, but the visitors’ notoriously high line is prime real estate for a United counter-punch. Given the intense pressure on both sides to take all three points, neither team is going to settle for a draw if the game is tied in the 75th minute. They will throw caution to the wind. Expect an incredibly open, end-to-end game of football where the attackers take center stage.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Man United vs Liverpool?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.47. Confidence: 72%.
What is Man United's recent form?
Man United have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Liverpool been performing?
Liverpool: 4W 1D 5L from 10 games — up and down.
What is the H2H record for Man United vs Liverpool?
Man United 0 wins vs Liverpool's 3, with 7 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 1.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.