Tip WON  ·  Neftchi Fargona 4-0 Kokand 1912
🏆 Uzbekistan Super League 📅 Wednesday, 29th April 2026
NF
Neftchi Fargona
W W W L W
4-0
VS
K1
Kokand 1912
L D D D D
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Neftchi Fargona to win in this fixture.
Predicted Score
1-0
16.5% probability
Odds
1.24
6/25
-417
Confidence
57%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1  —  Neftchi Fargona to win @1.24
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet Home CS 70%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Neftchi Fargona3W
Draw3
Kokand 19124W
Against Neftchi Fargona won 3 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Neftchi Fargona wins9/10
Kokand 1912 wins2/10
Goals per game2.3
H2H avg goals2.4
Supports Tip Neftchi Fargona: 9W 0D 1L from 10 games.
9-0-1
Neftchi Fargona form
2-5-3
Kokand 1912 form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Neftchi Fargona
Overall
9.0
Scoring
7.3
Defence
9.0
Kokand 1912
Overall
3.5
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.3
Key Analytics
Neftchi Fargona
2.2
Goals
scored/game
0.3
Goals
conceded/game
70%
Clean
sheets
Kokand 1912
1
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
1-0
16.5% probability
Alternative
2-0
13.6% probability
Alternative
1-1
10.8% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
Stake Calculator
Return
12.40
Net profit: 2.40
Match History
Head to Head
07.08.25
SL
Kokand 1912
Neftchi Fargona
1
2
14.03.25
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Kokand 1912
0
0
02.08.22
SL
Kokand 1912
Neftchi Fargona
3
3
02.03.22
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Kokand 1912
1
0
29.11.18
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Kokand 1912
0
2
24.10.18
SL
Kokand 1912
Neftchi Fargona
2
0
17.08.18
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Kokand 1912
1
0
30.05.18
CUP
Kokand 1912
Neftchi Fargona (1 - 1)
2
1
10.05.18
SL
Kokand 1912
Neftchi Fargona
1
1
26.08.17
SL
Kokand 1912
Neftchi Fargona
3
1
Recent Results
Neftchi Fargona
24.04.26
SL
Xorazm Urganch
Neftchi Fargona
0
2
W
18.04.26
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Nasaf Qarshi
2
1
W
14.04.26
SL
Bunyodkor
Neftchi Fargona
0
1
W
09.04.26
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Pakhtakor
0
1
L
04.04.26
SL
Qizilqum
Neftchi Fargona
0
4
W
20.03.26
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Lok. Tashkent
3
1
W
15.03.26
SUC
Neftchi Fargona
Pakhtakor
1
0
W
10.03.26
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Andijan
3
0
W
05.03.26
SL
Termez Surkhon
Neftchi Fargona
0
3
W
28.02.26
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Mashal Muborak
3
0
W
Kokand 1912
24.04.26
SL
Qizilqum
Kokand 1912
2
1
L
19.04.26
SL
Kokand 1912
Andijan
0
0
D
14.04.26
SL
Xorazm Urganch
Kokand 1912
2
2
D
08.04.26
SL
Kokand 1912
Nasaf Qarshi
1
1
D
02.04.26
SL
Sogdiana
Kokand 1912
2
2
D
18.03.26
SL
Kokand 1912
Navbahor Namangan
2
1
W
11.03.26
SL
Lok. Tashkent
Kokand 1912
0
0
D
04.03.26
SL
Kokand 1912
Pakhtakor
1
2
L
27.02.26
SL
Buxoro
Kokand 1912
1
0
L
06.02.26
CF
Kokand 1912
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1
0
W
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Expert Analysis

Neftchi Fargona welcomes Kokand 1912 to the stadium for a compelling Uzbekistan Super League encounter that promises high intensity and significant tactical battles. For the hosts, the pressure to secure maximum points on home soil is palpable. Neftchi Fargona has built a reputation for being a tough team to break down in front of their own supporters, and the fans will demand nothing less than a commanding performance. The “must-win” narrative is driven by their need to establish dominance early in this part of the campaign, ensuring they stay relevant in the upper echelons of the league table. Dropping points at home to a team they historically rival is not an option if they want to meet their seasonal objectives.

Kokand 1912 arrives knowing they face a hostile environment and a highly motivated squad. They have shown flashes of brilliance this season, but consistency remains their biggest hurdle. When examining the historical head-to-head matchups, the margins are often incredibly tight. However, in their most recent decisive clashes, Neftchi Fargona has managed to outmuscle Kokand 1912 when playing at home. Their ability to leverage set-pieces and quick transitions has historically caught Kokand off guard. Even when matches end in a stalemate, Neftchi controls the tempo and shot count.

Statistically, the home team holds the upper hand in terms of expected goals and possession retention when playing in their own stadium. Kokand 1912 will likely try to disrupt the rhythm by committing numbers to the midfield, trying to turn the game into a scrappy affair. Yet, Neftchi’s attacking players have a knack for finding pockets of space against physical defenses. The sheer necessity for Neftchi to send a message to the rest of the league, combined with their historical comfort in this specific fixture, points heavily toward one outcome. The visitors will put up a fight, but the sustained pressure from the home attack should ultimately yield goals.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Neftchi Fargona vs Kokand 1912?
Our top pick is 1 — Neftchi Fargona to win at around 1.24. Confidence: 57%.
What is Neftchi Fargona's recent form?
Neftchi Fargona have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 — in very good form.
How has Kokand 1912 been performing?
Kokand 1912: 2W 5D 3L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record for Neftchi Fargona vs Kokand 1912?
Neftchi Fargona 3 wins vs Kokand 1912's 4, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.