Tip LOST  ·  Paide 0-1 Tammeka
🏆 Estonia Meistriliiga 📅 Friday, 1st May 2026
P
Paide
L D W W W
0-1
VS
T
Tammeka
L L D L L
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Paide to win in this fixture.
Predicted Score
2-1
9.9% probability
Odds
1.46
23/50
-217
Confidence
63%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1  —  Paide to win @1.46
Goals Over 2.5 65%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Paide9W
Draw0
Tammeka1W
Supports Tip Paide won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Paide wins6/10
Tammeka wins2/10
Goals per game3.2
H2H avg goals2.7
Supports Tip Paide: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Paide form
2-2-6
Tammeka form
30%
H2H BTTS rate
2.7
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Paide
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
6.3
Tammeka
Overall
2.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.0
Key Analytics
Paide
2.3
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Tammeka
1.1
Goals
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
2-1
9.9% probability
Alternative
1-1
9.7% probability
Alternative
2-0
9% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 39%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
Stake Calculator
Return
14.60
Net profit: 4.60
Match History
Head to Head
12.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
29.10.25
CUP
Paide
Tammeka
3
0
18.10.25
ML
Paide
Tammeka
5
0
23.08.25
ML
Tammeka
Paide
0
1
28.06.25
ML
Tammeka
Paide
0
2
05.04.25
ML
Paide
Tammeka
1
0
26.10.24
ML
Paide
Tammeka
2
0
24.08.24
ML
Tammeka
Paide
1
3
18.05.24
ML
Tammeka
Paide
1
2
20.04.24
ML
Paide
Tammeka
0
1
Recent Results
Paide
26.04.26
ML
Paide
Flora
1
2
L
22.04.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Paide
2
2
D
19.04.26
ML
Paide
Kalju
1
0
W
12.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
W
08.04.26
ML
Paide
Nomme Utd
3
1
W
03.04.26
ML
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
W
22.03.26
ML
Levadia
Paide
2
2
D
15.03.26
ML
Paide
Narva
1
0
W
11.03.26
CUP
Paide
Tallinna Kalev
6
0
W
07.03.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Paide
3
2
L
Tammeka
25.04.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
L
22.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Levadia
1
2
L
18.04.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Tammeka
0
0
D
12.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
07.04.26
ML
Narva
Tammeka
3
0
L
03.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Flora
3
1
W
21.03.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Tammeka
2
3
W
14.03.26
ML
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
L
08.03.26
ML
Tammeka
Kalju
0
1
L
27.02.26
CF
Riga Mariners
Tammeka
1
1
D
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Expert Analysis

The Estonian Meistriliiga presents a heavily lopsided matchup this week as Paide Linnameeskond host Tammeka Tartu. Paide have their eyes locked on European qualification, so dropping points against a bottom-half side at home is completely out of the question. The statistical gap between these two squads is vast. Paide ranks among the league leaders in attacking output, big chance creation, and penalty area touches. They utilize a dynamic, attacking philosophy that routinely overwhelms technically inferior teams right from the opening whistle.

Tammeka Tartu travels with a sense of trepidation, well aware of their dismal historical record in this exact fixture. Their season has been characterized by defensive fragility, particularly a worrying inability to defend crosses and set-pieces. Away from home, Tammeka’s numbers take an even steeper dive; they struggle to maintain possession in the midfield third and frequently isolate their attacking players, rendering them virtually harmless on the counter. The pressure on their backline is usually relentless when visiting top-three opposition.

Head-to-head dominance is firmly entrenched in Paide’s favor. They have a well-documented habit of scoring early against Tammeka, effectively killing the game off before the visitors can even establish a defensive rhythm. Tammeka’s only realistic strategy involves sitting extremely deep and hoping for a miraculous defensive performance, but their structural weaknesses make this highly unlikely. Driven by the critical need to secure maximum points for their European ambitions, Paide will undoubtedly dictate the pace, control the territory, and ruthlessly exploit Tammeka’s defensive gaps. This fixture has all the hallmarks of a routine win for the hosts.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Paide vs Tammeka?
Our top pick is 1 — Paide to win at around 1.46. Confidence: 63%.
What is Paide's recent form?
Paide have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Tammeka been performing?
Tammeka: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record for Paide vs Tammeka?
Paide 9 wins vs Tammeka's 1, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.7 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.