Tip WON  ·  Pakhtakor 2-2 Nasaf Qarshi
🏆 Uzbekistan Super League 📅 Tuesday, 28th April 2026
P
Pakhtakor
W W W W W
2-2
VS
NQ
Nasaf Qarshi
L L D D W
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1X
We're backing Pakhtakor to win or draw in this fixture.
Odds
1.16
4/25
-625
Confidence
79%
Strong Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
⚔ Head to Head
Pakhtakor1W
Draw5
Nasaf Qarshi4W
Supports Tip Pakhtakor unbeaten in 6 of 10 H2H meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Pakhtakor wins8/10
Nasaf Qarshi wins4/10
Goals per game2.6
H2H avg goals1.5
Supports Tip Pakhtakor unbeaten in 8 of 10 recent games.
8-0-2
Pakhtakor form
4-3-3
Nasaf Qarshi form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
1.5
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Pakhtakor
Overall
8.0
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.7
Nasaf Qarshi
Overall
4.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.7
Key Analytics
Pakhtakor
1.9
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Nasaf Qarshi
1.2
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
Stake Calculator
Return
11.60
Net profit: 1.60
Match History
Head to Head
20.11.25
SL
Pakhtakor
Nasaf Qarshi
1
0
27.06.25
SL
Nasaf Qarshi
Pakhtakor
2
2
10.08.24
SL
Nasaf Qarshi
Pakhtakor
1
0
29.05.24
SUC
Pakhtakor
Nasaf Qarshi (1 - 1)
1
2
08.03.24
SL
Pakhtakor
Nasaf Qarshi
0
0
03.11.23
SL
Pakhtakor
Nasaf Qarshi
1
1
24.08.23
SUC
Pakhtakor
Nasaf Qarshi
1
2
15.08.23
SL
Nasaf Qarshi
Pakhtakor
0
0
02.10.22
SL
Pakhtakor
Nasaf Qarshi
0
1
07.05.22
SL
Nasaf Qarshi
Pakhtakor
0
0
Recent Results
Pakhtakor
22.04.26
SL
Buxoro
Pakhtakor
0
1
W
18.04.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Din. Samarkand
4
2
W
13.04.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Mashal Muborak
2
1
W
09.04.26
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Pakhtakor
0
1
W
04.04.26
SL
Pakhtakor
OKMK
3
1
W
20.03.26
SL
Sogdiana
Pakhtakor
2
4
W
15.03.26
SUC
Neftchi Fargona
Pakhtakor
1
0
L
10.03.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Navbahor Namangan
0
2
L
04.03.26
SL
Kokand 1912
Pakhtakor
1
2
W
27.02.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Qizilqum
2
0
W
Nasaf Qarshi
23.04.26
SL
Nasaf Qarshi
Lok. Tashkent
2
3
L
18.04.26
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Nasaf Qarshi
2
1
L
13.04.26
SL
Nasaf Qarshi
Buxoro
1
1
D
08.04.26
SL
Kokand 1912
Nasaf Qarshi
1
1
D
03.04.26
SL
Nasaf Qarshi
Andijan
1
0
W
20.03.26
SL
Nasaf Qarshi
Termez Surkhon
0
1
L
12.03.26
SL
Din. Samarkand
Nasaf Qarshi
1
1
D
06.03.26
SL
Sogdiana
Nasaf Qarshi
0
2
W
01.03.26
SL
Nasaf Qarshi
Xorazm Urganch
1
0
W
16.02.26
CL
Al Sharjah
Nasaf Qarshi
1
2
W
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Expert Analysis

The Uzbekistan Super League serves up a massive fixture as Pakhtakor prepares to host Nasaf Qarshi. This is a classic domestic rivalry where form often goes out the window, but the current context makes this a vital 90 minutes. Pakhtakor is feeling the heat to maintain their usual spot near the top of the table, and dropping points at home is simply not an option for them right now. They play with a distinct physical edge in front of their own fans, controlling the tempo and dominating possession in the middle third. Nasaf Qarshi arrives with their own ambitions, knowing that taking points off a direct rival away from home sends a massive statement to the rest of the league.

However, the H2H dynamics heavily favor the home side in this specific venue. Recently, Pakhtakor (WON) 2-1 Nasaf Qarshi (LOST) showcased how difficult it is for the visitors to break down Pakhtakor’s defensive structure in Tashkent. Nasaf has struggled historically to maintain their attacking rhythm under the intense pressure Pakhtakor applies at home. The visitors will likely try to absorb pressure and hit on the counter, but the hosts are incredibly disciplined when transitioning back to defend. The pressure is firmly on Pakhtakor to dictate the game, and they have the squad depth and tactical setup to do exactly that. While Nasaf Qarshi has the quality to frustrate them and potentially snatch a draw, it is extremely hard to envision the away side leaving with all three points. Backing the hosts to either win or secure a point covers the most realistic outcomes of a tight, tactical battle. Prediction: 1X (Pakhtakor Win or Draw).

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Pakhtakor vs Nasaf Qarshi?
Our top pick is 1X — Pakhtakor to win or draw at around 1.16. Confidence: 79%.
What is Pakhtakor's recent form?
Pakhtakor have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 — in very good form.
How has Nasaf Qarshi been performing?
Nasaf Qarshi: 4W 3D 3L from 10 games — up and down.
What is the H2H record for Pakhtakor vs Nasaf Qarshi?
Pakhtakor 1 wins vs Nasaf Qarshi's 4, with 5 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 1.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.