Tip WON  ·  Qingdao West Coast 1-1 Beijing Gouan
🏆 China Super League 📅 Tuesday, 19th May 2026
QW
Qingdao West Coast
W D D D D
1-1
VS
BG
Beijing Gouan
W D W D L
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
Over 1.5
We're backing over 1.5 goals in this fixture.
Predicted Score
1-1
11.9% probability
Odds
1.19
15/79
-526
Confidence
84%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 1.5  —  over 1.5 goals @1.19
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 70%
H2H Over 2.5 83%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Qingdao West Coast0W
Draw1
Beijing Gouan5W
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 83% of H2H meetings (avg 4).
📈 Recent Form
Qingdao West Coast wins2/10
Beijing Gouan wins3/10
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals4
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 75% of recent games.
2-7-1
Qingdao West Coast form
3-4-3
Beijing Gouan form
83%
H2H BTTS rate
4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Qingdao West Coast
Overall
4.1
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.0
Beijing Gouan
Overall
4.2
Scoring
6.0
Defence
4.7
Key Analytics
Qingdao West Coast
1
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Beijing Gouan
1.8
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
1-1
11.9% probability
Alternative
0-1
9.1% probability
Alternative
1-2
8.9% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 6%
Draw & BTTS Yes 36%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 9%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 23%
Draw & Under 2.5 29%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
Stake Calculator
Return
11.90
Net profit: 1.90
Match History
Head to Head
16.08.25
SL
Qingdao West Coast
Beijing Guoan
1
3
22.07.25
FAC
Qingdao West Coast
Beijing Guoan (aet)
2
3
17.06.25
SL
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao West Coast
1
0
11.08.24
SL
Qingdao West Coast
Beijing Guoan
2
2
21.04.24
SL
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao West Coast
4
1
26.07.23
FAC
Qingdao West Coast
Beijing Guoan
1
4
Recent Results
Qingdao West Coast
15.05.26
SL
Dalian Yingbo
Qingdao West Coast
2
3
W
10.05.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
05.05.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1
1
D
01.05.26
SL
Shandong Taishan
Qingdao West Coast
1
1
D
26.04.26
SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Qingdao West Coast
1
1
D
22.04.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast
Henan Songshan Longmen
0
0
D
17.04.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu
Qingdao West Coast
0
0
D
11.04.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast
Liaoning Tieren
1
1
D
03.04.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Qingdao West Coast
5
1
L
21.03.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
0
W
Beijing Gouan
15.05.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Hainiu
4
2
W
10.05.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Port
2
2
D
06.05.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Yingbo
3
0
W
02.05.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
25.04.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2
4
L
21.04.26
SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Beijing Guoan
0
1
W
17.04.26
SL
Zhejiang Professional
Beijing Guoan
0
0
D
12.04.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Rongcheng
1
2
L
04.04.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Beijing Guoan
2
1
L
21.03.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
1
1
D
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Expert Analysis

The Chinese Super League is well underway, and this mid-season clash features two teams that have consistently prioritized attacking flair over defensive solidity. Qingdao West Coast, playing in front of their home crowd at the University City Sports Center, are notoriously aggressive on their own turf. They view fixtures against established sides like Beijing Guoan as statement games, pushing their wingers high up the pitch to apply early pressure. Beijing Guoan, meanwhile, brings a squad stacked with technically gifted forwards who are instructed to overload the central channels and force opposing center-backs into uncomfortable decisions.

When you look at the underlying data for both sides, the defensive metrics raise immediate red flags. Qingdao West Coast struggles heavily with defensive transitions. When their initial press is broken, there is a gaping hole between their midfield and backline, a space that Beijing Guoan’s playmakers are specifically trained to exploit. Conversely, Beijing’s commitment to throwing bodies forward frequently leaves their own defenders isolated in one-on-one situations. This creates a chaotic, end-to-end game flow where the midfield becomes virtually nonexistent by the 60th minute. Both teams possess the attacking quality to punish these structural flaws, making clean sheets a rarity.

Neither manager has shown a willingness to compromise their attacking principles for the sake of a 0-0 draw. With Qingdao desperate to entertain their home fans and Beijing Guoan possessing the firepower to score on the road, the conditions are ripe for an open shootout. The tactical setups of both clubs inherently invite scoring opportunities, and historical CSL trends show that matches featuring these specific profiles rarely end without the net bulging a few times.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Qingdao West Coast vs Beijing Gouan?
Our top pick is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals at around 1.19. Confidence: 84%.
What is Qingdao West Coast's recent form?
Qingdao West Coast have won 2, drawn 7 and lost 1 of their last 10 — poor form.
How has Beijing Gouan been performing?
Beijing Gouan: 3W 4D 3L from 10 games — up and down.
What is the H2H record for Qingdao West Coast vs Beijing Gouan?
Qingdao West Coast 0 wins vs Beijing Gouan's 5, with 1 draws in 6 meetings. Avg 4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 83%.