Tip LOST  ·  Sabah Baku 0-1 Kapaz
🏆 Azerbaijan Premier League 📅 Friday, 8th May 2026
SB
Sabah Baku
W W W W D
0-1
VS
K
Kapaz
W L L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Sabah Baku to win in this fixture.
Predicted Score
2-0
10.3% probability
Odds
1.29
9/31
-345
Confidence
69%
Strong Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1  —  Sabah Baku to win @1.29
Goals Over 1.5 85%
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Sabah Baku7W
Draw1
Kapaz2W
Supports Tip Sabah Baku won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Sabah Baku wins8/10
Kapaz wins3/10
Goals per game3.3
H2H avg goals3.7
Supports Tip Sabah Baku: 8W 2D 0L from 10 games.
8-2-0
Sabah Baku form
3-2-5
Kapaz form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
3.7
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Sabah Baku
Overall
8.6
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.0
Kapaz
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.0
Key Analytics
Sabah Baku
3.1
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Kapaz
1
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
2-0
10.3% probability
Alternative
2-1
9.7% probability
Alternative
1-0
8.9% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
Stake Calculator
Return
12.90
Net profit: 2.90
Match History
Head to Head
22.02.26
PL
Sabah Baku
Kapaz
1
0
09.11.25
PL
Kapaz
Sabah Baku
1
3
06.04.25
PL
Sabah Baku
Kapaz
0
1
31.01.25
PL
Kapaz
Sabah Baku
3
2
09.11.24
PL
Sabah Baku
Kapaz
2
2
31.08.24
PL
Kapaz
Sabah Baku
2
3
21.04.24
PL
Kapaz
Sabah Baku
1
2
17.02.24
PL
Sabah Baku
Kapaz
3
2
18.12.23
CUP
Kapaz
Sabah Baku
3
4
03.12.23
PL
Kapaz
Sabah Baku
0
2
Recent Results
Sabah Baku
03.05.26
PL
Shamakhi
Sabah Baku
0
3
W
27.04.26
PL
Sabah Baku
Karvan
2
0
W
22.04.26
CUP
Sabah Baku
Qarabag
2
1
W
18.04.26
PL
Qarabag
Sabah Baku
0
1
W
11.04.26
PL
Sabah Baku
Zira
2
2
D
07.04.26
PL
Araz
Sabah Baku
2
4
W
03.04.26
CUP
Qarabag
Sabah Baku
2
2
D
19.03.26
PL
Sabah Baku
Sumqayit
3
1
W
14.03.26
PL
Imisli FK
Sabah Baku
0
5
W
10.03.26
PL
Sabah Baku
Gabala
7
1
W
Kapaz
02.05.26
PL
Kapaz
Sumqayit
2
1
W
26.04.26
PL
Shamakhi
Kapaz
2
0
L
19.04.26
PL
Kapaz
Imisli FK
0
1
L
10.04.26
PL
Karvan
Kapaz
4
1
L
05.04.26
PL
Kapaz
Gabala
0
2
L
20.03.26
PL
Kapaz
Qarabag
1
0
W
15.03.26
PL
Kapaz
Turan Tovuz
1
1
D
09.03.26
PL
Zira
Kapaz
2
2
D
05.03.26
CUP
Kapaz
Turan Tovuz
0
2
L
27.02.26
PL
Kapaz
Sumqayit
3
0
W
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Expert Analysis

This matchup in the Azerbaijan Premier League is the definition of a David versus Goliath scenario, but Goliath has no intention of showing mercy. Sabah Football Club is sitting comfortably at the absolute top of the table with a staggering 75 points from 30 matches, boasting 23 wins and a massive +51 goal difference. They host a Kapaz Professional Football Club side that is languishing at the bottom, managing only 24 points and suffering 20 defeats so far this season.

The statistical gap between these two clubs is wider than a canyon. Sabah Football Club has scored 72 goals while Kapaz Professional Football Club has conceded 58. The narrative here writes itself. Sabah Football Club views this as a routine “must-win” to maintain their dominant march toward the title. For Kapaz Professional Football Club, this is purely about damage limitation. Looking at the head-to-head form, Sabah Football Club has routinely dismantled this opposition, pulling them out of shape with quick passing networks and clinical finishing inside the box. Kapaz Professional Football Club will inevitably park the bus, putting eleven men behind the ball and praying for the final whistle. The home side doesn’t even need to force the issue; their natural style of play will create dozens of shooting opportunities. The only question is how many goals Sabah Football Club will decide to score. Backing the home side here is arguably the most secure prediction on the board, given their relentless form and the visitors’ dismal defensive record.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Sabah Baku vs Kapaz?
Our top pick is 1 — Sabah Baku to win at around 1.29. Confidence: 69%.
What is Sabah Baku's recent form?
Sabah Baku have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 — in very good form.
How has Kapaz been performing?
Kapaz: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games — up and down.
What is the H2H record for Sabah Baku vs Kapaz?
Sabah Baku 7 wins vs Kapaz's 2, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.7 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.