Tip WON  ·  Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 Obolon
🏆 Ukraine Premier League 📅 Wednesday, 13th May 2026
SD
Shakhtar Donetsk
W L W L W
3-1
VS
O
Obolon
D D L D L
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Shakhtar Donetsk to win in this fixture.
Predicted Score
1-1
10.2% probability
Odds
1.22
11/50
-455
Confidence
66%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1  —  Shakhtar Donetsk to win @1.22
Goals Over 2.5 70%
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Shakhtar Donetsk10W
Draw0
Obolon0W
Supports Tip Shakhtar Donetsk won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Shakhtar Donetsk wins6/10
Obolon wins1/10
Goals per game3.1
H2H avg goals3.2
Supports Tip Shakhtar Donetsk: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Shakhtar Donetsk form
1-5-4
Obolon form
0%
H2H BTTS rate
3.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Shakhtar Donetsk
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.0
Obolon
Overall
2.5
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.0
Key Analytics
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.1
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Obolon
1
Goals
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
1-1
10.2% probability
Alternative
2-1
9.9% probability
Alternative
1-0
9.2% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 21%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 23%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 3%
Stake Calculator
Return
12.20
Net profit: 2.20
Match History
Head to Head
22.11.25
PL
Obolon
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
6
29.03.25
PL
Obolon
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
2
23.09.24
PL
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon
4
0
30.03.24
PL
Obolon
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
16.09.23
PL
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon
1
0
20.07.21
CF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon
5
0
27.05.20
CF
Obolon
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
4
23.08.14
CUP
Obolon
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
06.11.11
PL
Obolon
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
2
10.07.11
PL
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon
4
0
Recent Results
Shakhtar Donetsk
10.05.26
PL
SC Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
4
W
07.05.26
UECL
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
L
03.05.26
PL
Dyn. Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
W
30.04.26
UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
1
3
L
26.04.26
PL
Kudrivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
3
W
23.04.26
PL
FK Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
W
20.04.26
PL
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polissya Zhytomyr
1
0
W
16.04.26
UECL
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
2
D
13.04.26
PL
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
2
D
09.04.26
UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
W
Obolon
09.05.26
PL
Obolon
Epitsentr
2
2
D
03.05.26
PL
Obolon
Kudrivka
1
1
D
26.04.26
PL
Polissya Zhytomyr
Obolon
3
1
L
17.04.26
PL
Obolon
SC Poltava
1
1
D
11.04.26
PL
Veres-Rivne
Obolon
2
0
L
05.04.26
PL
Obolon
FK Zorya Luhansk
3
3
D
22.03.26
PL
Karpaty Lviv
Obolon
4
0
L
13.03.26
PL
Dyn. Kyiv
Obolon
2
1
L
07.03.26
PL
Obolon
Kryvbas
0
0
D
01.03.26
PL
Obolon
Rukh Lviv
1
0
W
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Expert Analysis

If you want to understand the concept of absolute domestic dominance, just look at Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukrainian Premier League this season. As we look at the late-season standings, Shakhtar sits at the top with 66 points from 27 games. They have recorded 20 wins, 6 draws, and just a single defeat all year. The statistics are frankly terrifying for any opponent: 65 goals scored and only 17 conceded, giving them a mammoth goal difference of +48. They aren’t just beating teams; they are dismantling them with clinical precision.

In stark contrast, Obolon Kyiv is having a dreadful campaign. They are currently 12th in the table with 25 points, nervously looking over their shoulders at the relegation playoff spots. With 45 goals shipped in 26 games and a goal difference of -23, their defensive unit has been porous, to say the least. The mismatch here is enormous. Obolon is coming into this game hoping to miraculously scrape a point, but they simply do not possess the structural integrity to hold off Shakhtar’s relentless attacking waves for a full 90 minutes.

The pressure on Shakhtar is simple: wrap up the league title as quickly as possible. Every game at this stage is a championship point, and the squad is highly motivated to lift the trophy without leaving it to the final day. Shakhtar’s ability to circulate the ball, draw out low blocks, and exploit half-spaces will be far too much for an Obolon side that struggles against basic positional rotation. Given Obolon’s horrific away form against the top five teams in the division, this is a fixture that has “routine home win” written all over it. Shakhtar will control the tempo, dominate the territory, and win by a comfortable margin.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon?
Our top pick is 1 — Shakhtar Donetsk to win at around 1.22. Confidence: 66%.
What is Shakhtar Donetsk's recent form?
Shakhtar Donetsk have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Obolon been performing?
Obolon: 1W 5D 4L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon?
Shakhtar Donetsk 10 wins vs Obolon's 0, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 0%.