Tip WON  ·  Super Nova 1-4 Riga
🏆 Latvia Virsliga 📅 Tuesday, 14th April 2026
SN
Super Nova
W W W D L
1-4
VS
R
Riga
D W L W W
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.47
39/83
-213
Confidence
79%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 2.5  —  over 2.5 goals @1.47
Goals Over 2.5 79%
Goals Over 1.5 89%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 79%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Super Nova0W
Draw1
Riga9W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 60% of H2H meetings (avg 4.2).
📈 Recent Form
Super Nova wins4/9
Riga wins6/10
Goals per game3.7
H2H avg goals4.2
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 79% of recent games.
4-2-3
Super Nova form
6-1-3
Riga form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
4.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Super Nova
Overall
5.1
Scoring
4.8
Defence
5.2
Riga
Overall
6.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
5.0
Key Analytics
Super Nova
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
11%
Clean
sheets
Riga
3
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 8%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 40%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
Stake Calculator
Return
14.70
Net profit: 4.70
Match History
Head to Head
30.08.25
Virslīga: Super Nova
Riga FC
2
6
22.06.25
Virslīga: Riga FC
Super Nova
2
0
01.05.25
Virslīga: Super Nova
Riga FC
1
5
06.03.25
Virslīga: Riga FC
Super Nova
2
0
29.10.23
Virslīga: Riga FC
Super Nova
1
1
06.08.23
Virslīga: Super Nova
Riga FC
1
5
31.05.23
Virslīga: Riga FC
Super Nova
5
1
20.04.23
Virslīga: Super Nova
Riga FC
0
4
30.09.22
Virslīga: Super Nova
Riga FC
1
4
17.07.22
Virslīga: Riga FC
Super Nova
1
0
Recent Results
Super Nova
09.04.26
Virslīga: FK Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
W
03.04.26
Virslīga: Ogre United
Super Nova
1
2
W
22.03.26
Virslīga: Tukums 2000
Super Nova
1
2
W
15.03.26
Virslīga: Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
08.03.26
Virslīga: FK Auda
Super Nova
2
1
L
28.02.26
Friendlies: Paide
Super Nova
1
0
L
21.02.26
Friendlies: Kalju
Super Nova
1
1
D
11.02.26
Friendlies: Narva
Super Nova
1
3
W
14.01.26
Friendlies: RFS
Super Nova
5
2
L
Riga
09.04.26
Virslīga: Riga FC
Tukums 2000
3
3
D
04.04.26
Virslīga: FS Jelgava
Riga FC
0
8
W
27.03.26
Friendlies: Legia Warsaw
Riga FC
3
1
L
20.03.26
Virslīga: FK Auda
Riga FC
1
2
W
14.03.26
Virslīga: Riga FC
BFC Daugavpils
4
2
W
07.03.26
Virslīga: FK Liepāja
Riga FC
2
1
L
24.02.26
Friendlies: Flora Tallinn
Riga FC
0
3
W
17.02.26
Winter Cup: Riga FC
FK Auda
4
1
W
12.02.26
Friendlies: LNZ Cherkasy
Riga FC
1
3
W
05.02.26
Friendlies: Shakhtar Donetsk
Riga FC
2
1
L
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Expert Analysis

When Super Nova lines up against Riga in the Latvian Higher League, you can usually throw the form book completely out the window. Though in this specific matchup, the form book heavily points toward an absolute fireworks display. Clashes between these two sides rarely disappoint neutral fans who simply want to see the net bulge repeatedly. Super Nova finds themselves in a highly precarious position where they can absolutely no longer afford to sit back, absorb pressure, and hope for a lucky break. The narrative for the hosts has shifted drastically from merely surviving these tough fixtures to desperately needing points to salvage their flailing campaign.

This intense must-win pressure adds a massive dynamic to the game, forcing Super Nova to push bodies forward and inevitably leave glaring gaps at the back. Riga comes into this fixture fully aware that they possess the elite firepower required to exploit those exact spaces on the counter-attack. Their offensive statistics this season highlight a squad that does not just want to win games; they want to completely dominate their opposition and rack up their goal difference.

Looking at the historical head-to-head records, Riga has consistently found ways to slice through Super Nova’s defensive lines, often scoring multiple goals before the halftime whistle even blows. Super Nova’s recent defensive metrics show a deep vulnerability, particularly in the final thirty minutes of matches when heavy legs and fatigue set in. However, their desperate mentality means they are also far more likely to get on the scoresheet themselves this time around. Both teams have a massive point to prove today.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Super Nova vs Riga?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.47. Confidence: 79%.
What is Super Nova's recent form?
Super Nova have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 9 — up and down.
How has Riga been performing?
Riga: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record for Super Nova vs Riga?
Super Nova 0 wins vs Riga's 9, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 4.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.7 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.