Tip WON  ·  Sweden 2-2 Greece
🏆 International Friendly 📅 Thursday, 4th June 2026
S
Sweden
L W W D L
2-2
VS
G
Greece
D L D W L
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
Over 1.5
We're backing over 1.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.31
9/29
-323
Confidence
90%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 1.5  —  over 1.5 goals @1.31
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 80%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Sweden3W
Draw1
Greece2W
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 100% of H2H meetings (avg 3.8).
📈 Recent Form
Sweden wins3/10
Greece wins4/10
Goals per game3.4
H2H avg goals3.8
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 80% of recent games.
3-2-5
Sweden form
4-2-4
Greece form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
3.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Sweden
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
3.0
Greece
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.3
Key Analytics
Sweden
1.5
Goals
scored/game
2.1
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Greece
1.8
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
Stake Calculator
Return
13.10
Net profit: 3.10
Match History
Head to Head
12.10.21
WC
Sweden
Greece
2
0
08.09.21
WC
Greece
Sweden
2
1
10.06.08
EUR
Greece
Sweden
0
2
20.08.03
FI
Sweden
Greece
1
2
13.02.02
FI
Greece
Sweden
2
2
28.08.20
OG
Sweden
Greece
9
0
Recent Results
Sweden
01.06.26
FI
Norway
Sweden
3
1
L
31.03.26
WC
Sweden
Poland
3
2
W
26.03.26
WC
Ukraine
Sweden
1
3
W
18.11.25
WC
Sweden
Slovenia
1
1
D
15.11.25
WC
Switzerland
Sweden
4
1
L
13.10.25
WC
Sweden
Kosovo
0
1
L
10.10.25
WC
Sweden
Switzerland
0
2
L
08.09.25
WC
Kosovo
Sweden
2
0
L
05.09.25
WC
Slovenia
Sweden
2
2
D
10.06.25
FI
Sweden
Algeria
4
3
W
Greece
31.03.26
FI
Hungary
Greece
0
0
D
27.03.26
FI
Greece
Paraguay
0
1
L
18.11.25
WC
Belarus
Greece
0
0
D
15.11.25
WC
Greece
Scotland
3
2
W
12.10.25
WC
Denmark
Greece
3
1
L
09.10.25
WC
Scotland
Greece
3
1
L
08.09.25
WC
Greece
Denmark
0
3
L
05.09.25
WC
Greece
Belarus
5
1
W
10.06.25
FI
Greece
Bulgaria
4
0
W
07.06.25
FI
Greece
Slovakia
4
1
W
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Expert Analysis

The Friends Arena in Solna is the stage for a compelling pre-World Cup friendly between Sweden and Greece, and all the underlying metrics point towards a very lively encounter. Sweden has transitioned from the rigid, defensively obsessed teams of the past into a squad that boasts serious attacking flair. With dynamic forwards who ply their trade at the highest levels of European club football, Sweden’s default setting at home is to take the game to the opposition. They create a high volume of chances through wide play and quick, vertical passing. Greece, historically known for their defensive pragmatism, has also been forced to evolve. They have recognized that to compete on the modern international stage, they need to offer more going forward. This tactical shift has left them slightly more vulnerable at the back, but much more dangerous in the final third.

When you analyze the recent statistics for both nations, the trend is clear: they are finding the back of the net, but they are also conceding. This isn’t a competitive qualifier where teams will sit in a low block for 89 minutes to secure a point. It is a preparation match, meaning both managers will be testing offensive patterns and likely making multiple second-half substitutions, which notoriously disrupts defensive cohesion. There is a specific kind of pressure here not necessarily for the points, but for the performance. Players are desperate to cement their roles, and forwards are hungry for goals to boost their confidence. Sweden will push hard in front of their fans, and Greece has the tools to strike back on the counter. With the attacking talent on display and the inherently looser structure of a preparation match, seeing at least two goals is highly probable. Over 1.5 goals is a very secure read for this fixture.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Sweden vs Greece?
Our top pick is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals at around 1.31. Confidence: 90%.
What is Sweden's recent form?
Sweden have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 — up and down.
How has Greece been performing?
Greece: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games — up and down.
What is the H2H record for Sweden vs Greece?
Sweden 3 wins vs Greece's 2, with 1 draws in 6 meetings. Avg 3.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.