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11th Nov 2025

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💬 Got Questions About Today's Picks?

Tap a question to see the numbers behind each pick

Goteborg vs Levadia
We've put this at a 90% chance of landing. Over 1.5 tips have hit 71.7% for us across the last 90 days (53 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 71.7% against a site average of 74.3%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
We've put this at a 90% chance of landing. 1X tips have hit 80.4% for us across the last 90 days (46 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1X has actually run ahead of our overall 74.3% average, landing at 80.4% across 46 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
We've put this at a 90% chance of landing. Over 1.5 tips have hit 71.7% for us across the last 90 days (53 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 71.7% against a site average of 74.3%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 62.3% for us across the last 90 days (69 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 62.3% against a site average of 74.3%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Wuhan Three Lions vs Shandong Taishan
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 62.3% for us across the last 90 days (69 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 62.3% against a site average of 74.3%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Fylkir vs Afturelding
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 62.3% for us across the last 90 days (69 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 62.3% against a site average of 74.3%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze
We've put this at a 60% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 76.6% for us across the last 90 days (414 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 74.3% average, landing at 76.6% across 414 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 76.6% for us across the last 90 days (414 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 74.3% average, landing at 76.6% across 414 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.

📈 Today's Confidence Ladder

Tue 21 Jul · ranked by our stated win probability, highest first

Locked In
Goteborg vs Levadia
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier
90%
Locked In
90%
Locked In
Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5 UCL Qualifiers
90%
Locked In
Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps
Over 2.5 UCL Qualifiers
80%
Locked In
80%
Locked In
Fylkir vs Afturelding
Over 2.5 Icelandic Cup
80%
Fancied
Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze
1 UCL Qualifiers
60%
Fancied
50%
Fancied
Santa Fe vs U. Magdalena
1 Copa Colombia
50%
Fancied
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch
1 Uzbekistan Super League
50%

🔍 Pick Breakdown

Why we like each pick, in plain terms · site average sits at 74.3%

Goteborg vs Levadia
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier
Strong lean · 81/100
We're giving this a 90% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 1.5 has been a slower burner for us at 71.7% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Strong lean · 85/100
We're giving this a 90% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. 1X tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 80.4% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5 UCL Qualifiers
Strong lean · 81/100
We're giving this a 90% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 1.5 has been a slower burner for us at 71.7% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps
Over 2.5 UCL Qualifiers
Worth a look · 71/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 62.3% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Worth a look · 71/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 62.3% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Fylkir vs Afturelding
Over 2.5 Icelandic Cup
Worth a look · 71/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 62.3% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze
1 UCL Qualifiers
Worth a look · 68/100
This one sits at 60% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.6% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.6% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Santa Fe vs U. Magdalena
1 Copa Colombia
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.6% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch
1 Uzbekistan Super League
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.6% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.

Just our read of the numbers -- not betting advice. Always gamble responsibly.


Latest Winnings

18/07/26
Belarusian Cup
Uni X Labs vs Baranovici
2
@1.35
1-4
18/07/26
Belarusian Cup
FC Slonim vs Isloch
2
@1.20
0-1
18/07/26
Norway Eliteserien
Viking vs Sandefjord
1
@1.29
2-1
18/07/26
Lithuania 1 Lyga
FK Minija vs Jonava
1
@1.23
2-1
18/07/26
Lithuania Toplyga
Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
1
@1.22
4-0
18/07/26
Latvia Nakotnes liga
Marupe vs Metta
2
@1.22
0-4
18/07/26
Ireland National League Women
Athlone WFC W vs Bohemians WFC W
1
@1.14
3-0
18/07/26
Iceland Division 1
Throttur vs Volsungor
1
@1.20
1-0
17/07/26
Ireland FA Cup
St Patricks vs Wexford
1
@1.14
2-1
17/07/26
Ireland FA Cup
Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
1
@1.44
4-1
17/07/26
Iceland Division 2
Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
1
@1.31
2-1
17/07/26
Bulgaria EFBET League
Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
1
@1.18
2-1
17/07/26
Australia Victoria PL
Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City
1
@1.40
2-0
16/07/26
Iceland Division 1
Afturelding vs Leiknir
1
@1.38
3-2
16/07/26
Brasileiro U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Corinthians U20
1
@1.36
3-1
16/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
Shkendija vs Europa FC
1
@1.22
1-0
16/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
Zalgiris vs Petrovac
1
@1.40
2-1
16/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
RFS vs Glentoran
1
@1.43
2-0
16/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
Levadia vs Caernarfon
1
@1.18
5-0
16/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk
1
@1.22
1-0
View All Winnings

Performance by Tip Type

7d30d90dAll
2 77.8%
21W  /  6L  · 27 tips
1 75.5%
80W  /  26L  · 106 tips
X2 75%
3W  /  1L  · 4 tips
1X 75%
12W  /  4L  · 16 tips
Over 1.5 75%
21W  /  7L  · 28 tips
Over 2.5 66.7%
22W  /  11L  · 33 tips

🏒 Win Rate Grid

Tip type × day of week · last 180 days

Tip TypeMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
1 73% 88% 82% 72% 73% 78% 70%
1X 65% 100% 82% 82% 88% 67% —
2 61% 71% 82% 75% 68% 76% 81%
Over 1.5 69% 68% 60% 79% 100% 100% —
Over 2.5 67% 71% 78% 67% 46% — 83%
X2 — — — — — — —

⚖️ Market Depth Index

How often we publish each market vs how often it lands · last 90 days

1
1
Volume414 tips
Accuracy76.6%
317W / 97L
2
2
Volume100 tips
Accuracy78%
78W / 22L
3
Over 2.5
Volume69 tips
Accuracy62.3%
43W / 26L
4
Over 1.5
Volume53 tips
Accuracy71.7%
38W / 15L
5
1X
Volume46 tips
Accuracy80.4%
37W / 9L
6
X2
Volume8 tips
Accuracy75%
6W / 2L

Minimum 3 settled tips required to show up here.


📈 Reliability Tracker

Comparing win rate across three rolling 30-day windows -- steadiest markets rise to the top

1 Rock Steady
76.1%
0-30d
78.3%
30-60d
75.5%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

2 Rock Steady
79.3%
0-30d
78.9%
30-60d
75.8%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

X2 Rock Steady
75%
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
—
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1X Rock Steady
75%
0-30d
82.4%
30-60d
84.6%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Over 2.5 Rock Steady
66.7%
0-30d
57.1%
30-60d
60%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Over 1.5 Rock Steady
75%
0-30d
64.7%
30-60d
75%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Rock Steady = ≤12pp swing · A Bit Choppy = 13–25pp · Streaky = >25pp. Min. 5 tips/window.


📚 Betting Terms, Explained

BTTS
Short for Both Teams To Score -- wins if each side nets at least once, whatever the final score.
Over 1.5 Goals
Needs 2+ total goals in the match to land, regardless of which side scores them.
Over 2.5 Goals
Needs 3+ total goals in the match -- a step up in risk from Over 1.5.
Double Chance
Covers two of the three possible results in one bet (e.g. Home win or Draw), trading some odds for extra safety.
Asian Handicap
A goal head-start or deficit applied to a team before kickoff, used to level out mismatched sides.
Correct Score
A bet on the exact final scoreline -- long odds, low hit rate, high reward.

SEE MORE TIPS FOR TODAY

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