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17th Dec 2025

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💬 Got Questions About Today's Picks?

Tap a question to see the numbers behind each pick

Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 63.2% for us across the last 90 days (68 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 63.2% against a site average of 75.8%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
We've put this at a 60% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 76.4% for us across the last 90 days (423 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.8% average, landing at 76.4% across 423 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 76.4% for us across the last 90 days (423 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.8% average, landing at 76.4% across 423 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Coquimbo W vs Huachipato W
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 76.4% for us across the last 90 days (423 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.8% average, landing at 76.4% across 423 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 76.4% for us across the last 90 days (423 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.8% average, landing at 76.4% across 423 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Flora vs Nomme Utd
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 76.4% for us across the last 90 days (423 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.8% average, landing at 76.4% across 423 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 76.4% for us across the last 90 days (423 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.8% average, landing at 76.4% across 423 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 76.4% for us across the last 90 days (423 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.8% average, landing at 76.4% across 423 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.

📈 Today's Confidence Ladder

Fri 17 Jul · ranked by our stated win probability, highest first

Locked In
Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port
Over 2.5 China Super League
80%
Fancied
Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
1 Bulgaria EFBET League
60%
Fancied
Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City
1 Australia Victoria PL
50%
Fancied
Coquimbo W vs Huachipato W
1 Chile Primera Division Women
50%
Fancied
Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren
1 China Super League
50%
Fancied
Flora vs Nomme Utd
1 Estonia Meistriliiga
50%
Fancied
Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
1 Iceland Division 2
50%
Fancied
Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
1 Ireland FA Cup
50%
Fancied
Celje vs Mura
1 Slovenia PRVA Liga
50%
Fancied
St Patricks vs Wexford
1 Ireland FA Cup
50%

🔍 Pick Breakdown

Why we like each pick, in plain terms · site average sits at 75.8%

Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port
Over 2.5 China Super League
Worth a look · 72/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 63.2% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
1 Bulgaria EFBET League
Worth a look · 68/100
This one sits at 60% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.4% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City
1 Australia Victoria PL
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.4% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Coquimbo W vs Huachipato W
1 Chile Primera Division Women
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.4% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren
1 China Super League
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.4% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Flora vs Nomme Utd
1 Estonia Meistriliiga
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.4% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
1 Iceland Division 2
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.4% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
1 Ireland FA Cup
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.4% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Celje vs Mura
1 Slovenia PRVA Liga
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.4% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
St Patricks vs Wexford
1 Ireland FA Cup
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.4% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.

Just our read of the numbers -- not betting advice. Always gamble responsibly.


Latest Winnings

16/07/26
Iceland Division 1
Afturelding vs Leiknir
1
@1.38
3-2
16/07/26
Brasileiro U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Corinthians U20
1
@1.36
3-1
16/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
Shkendija vs Europa FC
1
@1.22
1-0
16/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
Zalgiris vs Petrovac
1
@1.40
2-1
16/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
RFS vs Glentoran
1
@1.43
2-0
16/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
Levadia vs Caernarfon
1
@1.18
5-0
16/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk
1
@1.22
1-0
16/07/26
Europa League Qualifier
Vestri vs Qarabag
Over 2.5
@1.40
0-3
16/07/26
Europa League Qualifier
Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina
1
@1.44
3-0
16/07/26
Europa League Qualifier
Derry City vs CSKA Sofia
Over 1.5
@1.19
1-2
15/07/26
Club Friendly
Patro Eisden vs St Truiden
Over 2.5
@1.35
0-4
15/07/26
Club Friendly
Lyon vs Servette
Over 2.5
@1.50
2-1
15/07/26
Kazakhstan Cup
Ordabasy vs Altai
1
@1.37
3-1
15/07/26
Iceland Besta deild Women
Breidablik W vs Vikingur Reykjavik W
1
@1.20
4-1
15/07/26
Brazil Catarinense U20
Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20
1
@1.37
1-0
15/07/26
Brazil Catarinense 2
Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus
1
@1.22
1-0
15/07/26
Australia NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Bears
Over 2.5
@1.41
0-5
15/07/26
UCL Qualifiers
Univ Craiova vs ML Vitebsk
1
@1.29
1-0
14/07/26
Club Friendly
LASK vs Fenerbahce
Over 2.5
@1.45
1-2
14/07/26
World Cup 2026
France vs Spain
Over 1.5
@1.26
0-2
View All Winnings

Performance by Tip Type

7d30d90dAll
2 81.3%
26W  /  6L  · 32 tips
1X 77.8%
14W  /  4L  · 18 tips
1 76.2%
93W  /  29L  · 122 tips
X2 75%
3W  /  1L  · 4 tips
Over 1.5 75%
21W  /  7L  · 28 tips
Over 2.5 68.8%
22W  /  10L  · 32 tips

🏒 Win Rate Grid

Tip type × day of week · last 180 days

Tip TypeMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
1 73% 88% 82% 72% 74% 77% 70%
1X 65% 100% 82% 82% 88% 67% —
2 61% 71% 82% 75% 68% 73% 81%
Over 1.5 69% 68% 60% 79% 100% 100% —
Over 2.5 67% 71% 78% 67% 50% — 83%
X2 — — — — — — —

⚖️ Market Depth Index

How often we publish each market vs how often it lands · last 90 days

1
1
Volume423 tips
Accuracy76.4%
323W / 100L
2
2
Volume100 tips
Accuracy78%
78W / 22L
3
Over 2.5
Volume68 tips
Accuracy63.2%
43W / 25L
4
Over 1.5
Volume53 tips
Accuracy71.7%
38W / 15L
5
1X
Volume46 tips
Accuracy80.4%
37W / 9L
6
X2
Volume8 tips
Accuracy75%
6W / 2L

Minimum 3 settled tips required to show up here.


📈 Reliability Tracker

Comparing win rate across three rolling 30-day windows -- steadiest markets rise to the top

1 Rock Steady
76.2%
0-30d
78.7%
30-60d
74.9%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1X Rock Steady
77.8%
0-30d
84.2%
30-60d
77.8%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

X2 Rock Steady
75%
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
—
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Over 2.5 A Bit Choppy
68.8%
0-30d
56.5%
30-60d
61.5%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

2 A Bit Choppy
81.3%
0-30d
69.4%
30-60d
84.4%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

Over 1.5 A Bit Choppy
75%
0-30d
71.4%
30-60d
50%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

Rock Steady = ≤12pp swing · A Bit Choppy = 13–25pp · Streaky = >25pp. Min. 5 tips/window.


📚 Betting Terms, Explained

BTTS
Short for Both Teams To Score -- wins if each side nets at least once, whatever the final score.
Over 1.5 Goals
Needs 2+ total goals in the match to land, regardless of which side scores them.
Over 2.5 Goals
Needs 3+ total goals in the match -- a step up in risk from Over 1.5.
Double Chance
Covers two of the three possible results in one bet (e.g. Home win or Draw), trading some odds for extra safety.
Asian Handicap
A goal head-start or deficit applied to a team before kickoff, used to level out mismatched sides.
Correct Score
A bet on the exact final scoreline -- long odds, low hit rate, high reward.

SEE MORE TIPS FOR TODAY

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