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6th Mar 2026

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💬 Got Questions About Today's Picks?

Tap a question to see the numbers behind each pick

Norway vs England
We've put this at a 90% chance of landing. Over 1.5 tips have hit 70% for us across the last 90 days (50 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 70% against a site average of 73.4%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 61.3% for us across the last 90 days (62 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 61.3% against a site average of 73.4%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Nomme Utd vs Kuressaare
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 61.3% for us across the last 90 days (62 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 61.3% against a site average of 73.4%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Gnistan vs Mariehamn
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 75.3% for us across the last 90 days (429 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 73.4% average, landing at 75.3% across 429 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 75.3% for us across the last 90 days (429 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 73.4% average, landing at 75.3% across 429 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Spain U19 vs Germany U19
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 75.3% for us across the last 90 days (429 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 73.4% average, landing at 75.3% across 429 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Huachipato W vs Deportes Temuco W
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 75.3% for us across the last 90 days (429 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 73.4% average, landing at 75.3% across 429 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
U Espanola W vs S. Wanderers W
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 75.3% for us across the last 90 days (429 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 73.4% average, landing at 75.3% across 429 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.

📈 Today's Confidence Ladder

Sat 11 Jul · ranked by our stated win probability, highest first

Locked In
Norway vs England
Over 1.5 2026 World Cup
90%
Locked In
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
Over 2.5 China Super League
80%
Locked In
Nomme Utd vs Kuressaare
Over 2.5 Estonia Meistriliiga
80%
Fancied
Gnistan vs Mariehamn
1 Finland Veikkausliiga
50%
Fancied
Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
1 Lithuania Toplyga
50%
Fancied
50%
Fancied
Huachipato W vs Deportes Temuco W
1 Chile Primera Division Women
50%
Fancied
U Espanola W vs S. Wanderers W
1 Chile Primera Division Women
50%
Fancied
50%
Fancied
50%

🔍 Pick Breakdown

Why we like each pick, in plain terms · site average sits at 73.4%

Norway vs England
Over 1.5 2026 World Cup
Strong lean · 80/100
We're giving this a 90% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 1.5 has been a slower burner for us at 70% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
Over 2.5 China Super League
Worth a look · 71/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 61.3% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Nomme Utd vs Kuressaare
Over 2.5 Estonia Meistriliiga
Worth a look · 71/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 61.3% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Gnistan vs Mariehamn
1 Finland Veikkausliiga
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 75.3% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
1 Lithuania Toplyga
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 75.3% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 75.3% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Huachipato W vs Deportes Temuco W
1 Chile Primera Division Women
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 75.3% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
U Espanola W vs S. Wanderers W
1 Chile Primera Division Women
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 75.3% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 75.3% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 75.3% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.

Just our read of the numbers -- not betting advice. Always gamble responsibly.


Latest Winnings

10/07/26
South Korea WK League
Seoul W vs Suwon FC W
X2
@1.15
0-3
10/07/26
Russia Youth League
Chertanovo M. U19 vs Krasnodar U19
2
@1.31
1-3
10/07/26
Argentina Primera B
Arsenal Sarandi vs Defensores Unidos
1
@1.45
3-1
10/07/26
World Cup 2026
Spain vs Belgium
1X
@1.18
2-1
10/07/26
Euro U19 Women
Germany U19 W vs Spain U19 W
2
@1.37
0-1
09/07/26
Iceland Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Throttur W
1
@1.31
7-3
09/07/26
Finland Kakkonen C
Musa vs Grlfk
Over 2.5
@1.38
3-1
09/07/26
Argentina Primera Women
Independiente W vs Racing Club W
2
@1.31
1-3
09/07/26
World Cup 2026
France vs Morocco
Over 1.5
@1.28
2-0
09/07/26
Europa League Qualifier
CSKA Sofia vs Derry City
1
@1.24
3-2
08/07/26
Club Friendly
Dinamo Zagreb vs Koper
Over 2.5
@1.40
2-2
08/07/26
Club Friendly
Heracles vs Groningen
Over 2.5
@1.40
2-1
08/07/26
USA USL League Two
Cleveland Force vs Steel City
2
@1.22
0-1
08/07/26
USA USL League Two
Delaware vs Eagle FC
1
@1.18
4-1
08/07/26
Morocco Coupe Du Trone
FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain
1
@1.18
2-1
08/07/26
Argentina Primera Women
Union de Santa Fe W vs San Lorenzo W
2
@1.18
1-2
08/07/26
Euro U19
Spain U19 vs Croatia U19
1
@1.21
3-0
08/07/26
UCL Qualifiers
Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska
1
@1.26
2-1
07/07/26
Club Friendly
Roskilde vs AB Copenhagen
Over 1.5
@1.14
1-1
07/07/26
Club Friendly
PAOK vs AEK Larnaca
Over 1.5
@1.17
3-2
View All Winnings

Performance by Tip Type

7d30d90dAll
X2 80%
4W  /  1L  · 5 tips
2 77.5%
31W  /  9L  · 40 tips
1X 75%
12W  /  4L  · 16 tips
1 74.8%
89W  /  30L  · 119 tips
Over 1.5 70.8%
17W  /  7L  · 24 tips
Over 2.5 60%
15W  /  10L  · 25 tips

🏒 Win Rate Grid

Tip type × day of week · last 180 days

Tip TypeMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
1 74% 88% 81% 70% 74% 78% 70%
1X 56% 100% 82% 82% 88% 67% —
2 61% 71% 82% 75% 68% 73% 81%
Over 1.5 64% 65% 60% 78% 100% — —
Over 2.5 67% 65% 79% 65% 50% — 83%
X2 — — — — — — —

⚖️ Market Depth Index

How often we publish each market vs how often it lands · last 90 days

1
1
Volume429 tips
Accuracy75.3%
323W / 106L
2
2
Volume106 tips
Accuracy77.4%
82W / 24L
3
Over 2.5
Volume62 tips
Accuracy61.3%
38W / 24L
4
Over 1.5
Volume50 tips
Accuracy70%
35W / 15L
5
1X
Volume47 tips
Accuracy78.7%
37W / 10L
6
X2
Volume9 tips
Accuracy77.8%
7W / 2L

Minimum 3 settled tips required to show up here.


📈 Reliability Tracker

Comparing win rate across three rolling 30-day windows -- steadiest markets rise to the top

Over 1.5 Rock Steady
70.8%
0-30d
70%
30-60d
71.4%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1 Rock Steady
74.8%
0-30d
76.7%
30-60d
75.3%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Over 2.5 Rock Steady
60%
0-30d
59.3%
30-60d
66.7%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1X Rock Steady
75%
0-30d
85%
30-60d
76.9%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

2 A Bit Choppy
77.5%
0-30d
68.4%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

Rock Steady = ≤12pp swing · A Bit Choppy = 13–25pp · Streaky = >25pp. Min. 5 tips/window.


📚 Betting Terms, Explained

BTTS
Short for Both Teams To Score -- wins if each side nets at least once, whatever the final score.
Over 1.5 Goals
Needs 2+ total goals in the match to land, regardless of which side scores them.
Over 2.5 Goals
Needs 3+ total goals in the match -- a step up in risk from Over 1.5.
Double Chance
Covers two of the three possible results in one bet (e.g. Home win or Draw), trading some odds for extra safety.
Asian Handicap
A goal head-start or deficit applied to a team before kickoff, used to level out mismatched sides.
Correct Score
A bet on the exact final scoreline -- long odds, low hit rate, high reward.

📊
73.4%
30-day accuracy · 229 tips
64.3%
7-Day Rate
168
Won (30d)
@1.28
Avg Odds
-6.1%
ROI
Full Record →

SEE MORE TIPS FOR TODAY

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