Sports Mole Predictions

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5th Jan 2026

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Tips Updating Soon...


💬 Got Questions About Today's Picks?

Tap a question to see the numbers behind each pick

Nyiregyhaza vs Ujpest
We've put this at a 90% chance of landing. Over 1.5 tips have hit 71.9% for us across the last 90 days (57 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 71.9% against a site average of 75.2%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Ibrachina U20 vs Velo Clube U20
We've put this at a 60% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 77.2% for us across the last 90 days (426 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.2% average, landing at 77.2% across 426 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Guarani U20 vs Tanabi U20
We've put this at a 60% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 77.2% for us across the last 90 days (426 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.2% average, landing at 77.2% across 426 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
We've put this at a 60% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 77.2% for us across the last 90 days (426 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.2% average, landing at 77.2% across 426 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Tauras Taurage vs Kauno Zalgiris 2
We've put this at a 60% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 77.2% for us across the last 90 days (426 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.2% average, landing at 77.2% across 426 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Preston Lions vs Bentleigh Greens
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 77.2% for us across the last 90 days (426 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.2% average, landing at 77.2% across 426 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 77.2% for us across the last 90 days (426 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.2% average, landing at 77.2% across 426 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Essendon Royals SC vs Kingston City
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 77.2% for us across the last 90 days (426 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.2% average, landing at 77.2% across 426 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.

📈 Today's Confidence Ladder

Fri 24 Jul · ranked by our stated win probability, highest first

Locked In
Nyiregyhaza vs Ujpest
Over 1.5 Hungary NB 1
90%
Fancied
Ibrachina U20 vs Velo Clube U20
1 Brazil Paulista U20
60%
Fancied
Guarani U20 vs Tanabi U20
1 Brazil Paulista U20
60%
Fancied
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
1 Iceland Besta deild karla
60%
Fancied
60%
Fancied
Preston Lions vs Bentleigh Greens
1 Australia NPL Victoria
50%
Fancied
Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide
1 Australia SA State League
50%
Fancied
Essendon Royals SC vs Kingston City
1 Australia Victoria PL 2
50%
Fancied
Tampere Utd vs Inter Turku 2
1 Finland Ykkonen
50%
Fancied
CSKA Moscow U19 vs Ural U19
1 Russia Youth League
50%

🔍 Pick Breakdown

Why we like each pick, in plain terms · site average sits at 75.2%

Nyiregyhaza vs Ujpest
Over 1.5 Hungary NB 1
Strong lean · 81/100
We're giving this a 90% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 1.5 has been a slower burner for us at 71.9% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Ibrachina U20 vs Velo Clube U20
1 Brazil Paulista U20
Worth a look · 69/100
This one sits at 60% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 77.2% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Guarani U20 vs Tanabi U20
1 Brazil Paulista U20
Worth a look · 69/100
This one sits at 60% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 77.2% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
1 Iceland Besta deild karla
Worth a look · 69/100
This one sits at 60% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 77.2% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Worth a look · 69/100
This one sits at 60% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 77.2% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Preston Lions vs Bentleigh Greens
1 Australia NPL Victoria
Worth a look · 64/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 77.2% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide
1 Australia SA State League
Worth a look · 64/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 77.2% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Essendon Royals SC vs Kingston City
1 Australia Victoria PL 2
Worth a look · 64/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 77.2% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Tampere Utd vs Inter Turku 2
1 Finland Ykkonen
Worth a look · 64/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 77.2% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
CSKA Moscow U19 vs Ural U19
1 Russia Youth League
Worth a look · 64/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 77.2% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.

Just our read of the numbers -- not betting advice. Always gamble responsibly.


Latest Winnings

24/07/26
Hungary NB 1
Nyiregyhaza vs Ujpest
Over 1.5
@1.18
2-1
24/07/26
Russia Youth League
CSKA Moscow U19 vs Ural U19
1
@1.22
4-1
24/07/26
Lithuania 1 Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs Kauno Zalgiris 2
1
@1.30
4-2
24/07/26
Iceland Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
1
@1.25
5-1
24/07/26
Brazil Paulista U20
Guarani U20 vs Tanabi U20
1
@1.23
1-0
24/07/26
Brazil Paulista U20
Ibrachina U20 vs Velo Clube U20
1
@1.23
5-0
24/07/26
Australia Victoria PL 2
Essendon Royals SC vs Kingston City
1
@1.25
4-2
24/07/26
Australia SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide
1
@1.36
5-1
24/07/26
Australia NPL Victoria
Preston Lions vs Bentleigh Greens
1
@1.33
1-0
23/07/26
Conference League Qualifiers
Partizan vs UNA Strassen
1
@1.16
4-0
23/07/26
Conference League Qualifiers
Lugano vs Dukagjini
1
@1.19
1-0
23/07/26
Conference League Qualifiers
Vaduz vs Atletic Escaldes
1
@1.30
4-0
23/07/26
Conference League Qualifiers
FC Santa Coloma vs SK Rapid
2
@1.18
1-3
23/07/26
Conference League Qualifiers
HJK vs Coleraine
1
@1.36
5-0
22/07/26
Norway Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Viking
Over 2.5
@1.50
1-2
22/07/26
Scotland League Cup
Queen of South vs Aberdeen
2
@1.30
1-4
22/07/26
Ecuador Liga Pro
Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U
1
@1.19
3-0
22/07/26
Copa Do Brasil Women
Botafogo W vs Bragantino W
2
@1.45
0-2
22/07/26
Brazil Serie B
Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta
1
@1.37
3-2
22/07/26
Australia NPL ACT
Tuggeranong Utd vs Canberra White Eagles
1
@1.35
2-1
View All Winnings

Performance by Tip Type

7d30d90dAll
X2 100%
3W  /  0L  · 3 tips
1 77.3%
92W  /  27L  · 119 tips
Over 1.5 76.7%
23W  /  7L  · 30 tips
2 75%
24W  /  8L  · 32 tips
1X 71.4%
10W  /  4L  · 14 tips
Over 2.5 66.7%
24W  /  12L  · 36 tips

🏒 Win Rate Grid

Tip type × day of week · last 180 days

Tip TypeMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
1 73% 88% 82% 73% 75% 78% 70%
1X 65% 100% 82% 75% 88% 67% —
2 61% 71% 81% 71% 68% 76% 81%
Over 1.5 69% 71% 60% 75% 100% 100% —
Over 2.5 67% 70% 79% 67% 46% — 83%
X2 — — — — — — —

⚖️ Market Depth Index

How often we publish each market vs how often it lands · last 90 days

1
1
Volume426 tips
Accuracy77.2%
329W / 97L
2
2
Volume103 tips
Accuracy76.7%
79W / 24L
3
Over 2.5
Volume70 tips
Accuracy64.3%
45W / 25L
4
Over 1.5
Volume57 tips
Accuracy71.9%
41W / 16L
5
1X
Volume47 tips
Accuracy78.7%
37W / 10L
6
X2
Volume8 tips
Accuracy75%
6W / 2L

Minimum 3 settled tips required to show up here.


📈 Reliability Tracker

Comparing win rate across three rolling 30-day windows -- steadiest markets rise to the top

2 Rock Steady
75%
0-30d
76.9%
30-60d
78.1%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1 Rock Steady
77.3%
0-30d
81.5%
30-60d
74%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1X Rock Steady
71.4%
0-30d
81%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Over 1.5 A Bit Choppy
76.7%
0-30d
63.2%
30-60d
75%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

Over 2.5 A Bit Choppy
66.7%
0-30d
55%
30-60d
71.4%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

X2 Streaky
100%
0-30d
50%
30-60d
—
60-90d

Big swings between hot and cold spells -- treat any single run with a pinch of salt.

Rock Steady = ≤12pp swing · A Bit Choppy = 13–25pp · Streaky = >25pp. Min. 5 tips/window.


📚 Betting Terms, Explained

BTTS
Short for Both Teams To Score -- wins if each side nets at least once, whatever the final score.
Over 1.5 Goals
Needs 2+ total goals in the match to land, regardless of which side scores them.
Over 2.5 Goals
Needs 3+ total goals in the match -- a step up in risk from Over 1.5.
Double Chance
Covers two of the three possible results in one bet (e.g. Home win or Draw), trading some odds for extra safety.
Asian Handicap
A goal head-start or deficit applied to a team before kickoff, used to level out mismatched sides.
Correct Score
A bet on the exact final scoreline -- long odds, low hit rate, high reward.

SEE MORE TIPS FOR TODAY

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