Sports Mole Predictions

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30th Jul 2026

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Tips Updating Soon...


💬 Got Questions About Today's Picks?

Tap a question to see the numbers behind each pick

Unterhaching vs Regensburg
We've put this at a 90% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 64.9% for us across the last 90 days (57 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 64.9% against a site average of 76.4%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Kalju vs Linfield
We've put this at a 90% chance of landing. Over 1.5 tips have hit 70.8% for us across the last 90 days (48 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 70.8% against a site average of 76.4%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
France vs Morocco
We've put this at a 90% chance of landing. Over 1.5 tips have hit 70.8% for us across the last 90 days (48 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 70.8% against a site average of 76.4%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Musa vs Grlfk
We've put this at a 90% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 64.9% for us across the last 90 days (57 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 64.9% against a site average of 76.4%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Dyn. Kyiv vs U. Cluj
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 75.7% for us across the last 90 days (436 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 75.7% against a site average of 76.4%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 75.7% for us across the last 90 days (436 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 75.7% against a site average of 76.4%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
CSKA Sofia vs Derry City
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 75.7% for us across the last 90 days (436 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 75.7% against a site average of 76.4%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Hafnarfjordur W vs Throttur W
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 75.7% for us across the last 90 days (436 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 75.7% against a site average of 76.4%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.

📈 Today's Confidence Ladder

Thu 9 Jul · ranked by our stated win probability, highest first

Locked In
Unterhaching vs Regensburg
Over 2.5 Club Friendly
90%
Locked In
Kalju vs Linfield
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier
90%
Locked In
France vs Morocco
Over 1.5 World Cup 2026
90%
Locked In
Musa vs Grlfk
Over 2.5 Finland Kakkonen C
90%
Fancied
Dyn. Kyiv vs U. Cluj
1 Europa League Qualifier
50%
Fancied
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij
1 Europa League Qualifier
50%
Fancied
CSKA Sofia vs Derry City
1 Europa League Qualifier
50%
Fancied
Hafnarfjordur W vs Throttur W
1 Iceland Besta deild Women
50%
Longshot
Independiente W vs Racing Club W
2 Argentina Primera Women
20%

🔍 Pick Breakdown

Why we like each pick, in plain terms · site average sits at 76.4%

Unterhaching vs Regensburg
Over 2.5 Club Friendly
Strong lean · 77/100
We're giving this a 90% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 64.9% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Kalju vs Linfield
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier
Strong lean · 80/100
We're giving this a 90% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 1.5 has been a slower burner for us at 70.8% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
France vs Morocco
Over 1.5 World Cup 2026
Strong lean · 80/100
We're giving this a 90% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 1.5 has been a slower burner for us at 70.8% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Musa vs Grlfk
Over 2.5 Finland Kakkonen C
Strong lean · 77/100
We're giving this a 90% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 64.9% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Dyn. Kyiv vs U. Cluj
1 Europa League Qualifier
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 has been a slower burner for us at 75.7% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij
1 Europa League Qualifier
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 has been a slower burner for us at 75.7% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
CSKA Sofia vs Derry City
1 Europa League Qualifier
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 has been a slower burner for us at 75.7% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Hafnarfjordur W vs Throttur W
1 Iceland Besta deild Women
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 has been a slower burner for us at 75.7% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Independiente W vs Racing Club W
2 Argentina Primera Women
Speculative · 48/100
This one sits at 20% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 2 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.9% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.

Just our read of the numbers -- not betting advice. Always gamble responsibly.


Latest Winnings

08/07/26
Club Friendly
Dinamo Zagreb vs Koper
Over 2.5
@1.40
2-2
08/07/26
Club Friendly
Heracles vs Groningen
Over 2.5
@1.40
2-1
08/07/26
USA USL League Two
Cleveland Force vs Steel City
2
@1.22
0-1
08/07/26
USA USL League Two
Delaware vs Eagle FC
1
@1.18
4-1
08/07/26
Morocco Coupe Du Trone
FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain
1
@1.18
2-1
08/07/26
Argentina Primera Women
Union de Santa Fe W vs San Lorenzo W
2
@1.18
1-2
08/07/26
Euro U19
Spain U19 vs Croatia U19
1
@1.21
3-0
08/07/26
UCL Qualifiers
Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska
1
@1.26
2-1
07/07/26
Club Friendly
Roskilde vs AB Copenhagen
Over 1.5
@1.14
1-1
07/07/26
Club Friendly
PAOK vs AEK Larnaca
Over 1.5
@1.17
3-2
07/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
UNA Strassen vs La Florita
1
@1.30
1-0
07/07/26
Club Friendly
Legia vs Beer Sheva
Over 2.5
@1.47
3-1
07/07/26
Club Friendly
Hvidovre vs F Amager
Over 2.5
@1.40
3-2
07/07/26
Australia NPL ACT
Monaro Panthers vs Queanbeyan City
1X
@1.14
2-1
07/07/26
World Cup 2026
Argentina vs Egypt
1
@1.37
3-2
07/07/26
Euro U19 Women
Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
1
@1.15
3-0
06/07/26
Club Friendly
Colwyn Bay vs Rhyl
Over 2.5
@1.55
3-2
06/07/26
Latvia Virsliga
Super Nova vs Ogre United
Over 1.5
@1.20
1-2
06/07/26
World Cup 2026
USA vs Belgium
Over 1.5
@1.18
1-4
04/07/26
China Super League
Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port
Over 1.5
@1.19
2-1
View All Winnings

Performance by Tip Type

7d30d90dAll
1 78.2%
97W  /  27L  · 124 tips
1X 77.8%
14W  /  4L  · 18 tips
2 76.9%
30W  /  9L  · 39 tips
X2 75%
3W  /  1L  · 4 tips
Over 1.5 70.8%
17W  /  7L  · 24 tips
Over 2.5 70%
14W  /  6L  · 20 tips

🏒 Win Rate Grid

Tip type × day of week · last 180 days

Tip TypeMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
1 74% 88% 81% 71% 76% 78% 70%
1X 56% 100% 82% 82% 86% 67% —
2 61% 71% 82% 74% 65% 73% 81%
Over 1.5 64% 65% 60% 81% 100% — —
Over 2.5 67% 65% 79% 67% 67% — 83%
X2 — — — — — — —

⚖️ Market Depth Index

How often we publish each market vs how often it lands · last 90 days

1
1
Volume436 tips
Accuracy75.7%
330W / 106L
2
2
Volume108 tips
Accuracy76.9%
83W / 25L
3
Over 2.5
Volume57 tips
Accuracy64.9%
37W / 20L
4
Over 1.5
Volume48 tips
Accuracy70.8%
34W / 14L
5
1X
Volume46 tips
Accuracy78.3%
36W / 10L
6
X2
Volume8 tips
Accuracy75%
6W / 2L

Minimum 3 settled tips required to show up here.


📈 Reliability Tracker

Comparing win rate across three rolling 30-day windows -- steadiest markets rise to the top

Over 1.5 Rock Steady
70.8%
0-30d
70.6%
30-60d
71.4%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1 Rock Steady
78.2%
0-30d
75.2%
30-60d
74.7%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1X Rock Steady
77.8%
0-30d
81.3%
30-60d
75%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Over 2.5 Rock Steady
70%
0-30d
58.3%
30-60d
69.2%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

2 A Bit Choppy
76.9%
0-30d
70.3%
30-60d
85.3%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

Rock Steady = ≤12pp swing · A Bit Choppy = 13–25pp · Streaky = >25pp. Min. 5 tips/window.


📚 Betting Terms, Explained

BTTS
Short for Both Teams To Score -- wins if each side nets at least once, whatever the final score.
Over 1.5 Goals
Needs 2+ total goals in the match to land, regardless of which side scores them.
Over 2.5 Goals
Needs 3+ total goals in the match -- a step up in risk from Over 1.5.
Double Chance
Covers two of the three possible results in one bet (e.g. Home win or Draw), trading some odds for extra safety.
Asian Handicap
A goal head-start or deficit applied to a team before kickoff, used to level out mismatched sides.
Correct Score
A bet on the exact final scoreline -- long odds, low hit rate, high reward.

📊
76.4%
30-day accuracy · 229 tips
72.3%
7-Day Rate
175
Won (30d)
@1.27
Avg Odds
-2.9%
ROI
Full Record →

SEE MORE TIPS FOR TODAY

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Match: Manchester United vs. Liverpool

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