Sports Mole Predictions

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29th Oct 2026

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💬 Got Questions About Today's Picks?

Tap a question to see the numbers behind each pick

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 1.5 tips have hit 71.7% for us across the last 90 days (53 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 71.7% against a site average of 75.1%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Vestri vs Qarabag
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 61.9% for us across the last 90 days (63 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 61.9% against a site average of 75.1%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Astana vs Dinamo Tirana
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. 1X tips have hit 80.9% for us across the last 90 days (47 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1X has actually run ahead of our overall 75.1% average, landing at 80.9% across 47 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk
We've put this at a 60% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 75.5% for us across the last 90 days (416 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.1% average, landing at 75.5% across 416 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Levadia vs Caernarfon
We've put this at a 60% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 75.5% for us across the last 90 days (416 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.1% average, landing at 75.5% across 416 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Shkendija vs Europa FC
We've put this at a 60% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 75.5% for us across the last 90 days (416 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.1% average, landing at 75.5% across 416 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 75.5% for us across the last 90 days (416 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.1% average, landing at 75.5% across 416 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
RFS vs Glentoran
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 75.5% for us across the last 90 days (416 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 75.1% average, landing at 75.5% across 416 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.

📈 Today's Confidence Ladder

Thu 16 Jul · ranked by our stated win probability, highest first

Locked In
Derry City vs CSKA Sofia
Over 1.5 Europa League Qualifier
80%
Locked In
Vestri vs Qarabag
Over 2.5 Europa League Qualifier
80%
Locked In
Astana vs Dinamo Tirana
1X Conference League Qualifier
80%
Fancied
Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk
1 Conference League Qualifier
60%
Fancied
Levadia vs Caernarfon
1 Conference League Qualifier
60%
Fancied
Shkendija vs Europa FC
1 Conference League Qualifier
60%
Fancied
Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina
1 Europa League Qualifier
50%
Fancied
RFS vs Glentoran
1 Conference League Qualifier
50%
Fancied
Zalgiris vs Petrovac
1 Conference League Qualifier
50%
Fancied
50%

🔍 Pick Breakdown

Why we like each pick, in plain terms · site average sits at 75.1%

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia
Over 1.5 Europa League Qualifier
Strong lean · 76/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 1.5 has been a slower burner for us at 71.7% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Vestri vs Qarabag
Over 2.5 Europa League Qualifier
Worth a look · 71/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 61.9% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Astana vs Dinamo Tirana
1X Conference League Qualifier
Strong lean · 80/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. 1X tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 80.9% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk
1 Conference League Qualifier
Worth a look · 68/100
This one sits at 60% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 75.5% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Levadia vs Caernarfon
1 Conference League Qualifier
Worth a look · 68/100
This one sits at 60% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 75.5% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Shkendija vs Europa FC
1 Conference League Qualifier
Worth a look · 68/100
This one sits at 60% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 75.5% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina
1 Europa League Qualifier
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 75.5% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
RFS vs Glentoran
1 Conference League Qualifier
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 75.5% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Zalgiris vs Petrovac
1 Conference League Qualifier
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 75.5% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 75.5% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.

Just our read of the numbers -- not betting advice. Always gamble responsibly.


Latest Winnings

14/07/26
Club Friendly
LASK vs Fenerbahce
Over 2.5
@1.45
1-2
14/07/26
World Cup 2026
France vs Spain
Over 1.5
@1.26
0-2
14/07/26
China Super League
Zhejiang Professional vs Qingdao Hainiu
Over 2.5
@1.38
3-2
14/07/26
Bolivia Division Profesional
Real Oruro vs Always Ready
Over 2.5
@1.41
0-6
14/07/26
UCL Qualifiers
Levski Sofia vs Borac Banja Luka
1
@1.36
4-0
14/07/26
UCL Qualifiers
Larne vs Tre Flori
1
@1.16
2-1
14/07/26
UCL Qualifiers
Riga vs Ararat Armenia
Over 1.5
@1.25
3-2
14/07/26
UCL Qualifiers
Iberia 1999 vs Flora
Over 2.5
@1.49
2-2
13/07/26
Russia FNL Round 1
Chelyabinsk vs SKA Khabarovsk
Over 1.5
@1.30
3-1
13/07/26
Paraguay Division Intermedia
Dep Capiata vs Atl Tembetary
Over 1.5
@1.30
1-3
13/07/26
Iceland Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Keflavik
1X
@1.18
2-1
13/07/26
China League One
Ningbo Professional vs Foshan Nanshi
1X
@1.14
1-0
13/07/26
Brazil Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Carlos Renaux U20
1
@1.28
3-1
13/07/26
Argentina Primera Women
San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W
1
@1.36
1-0
13/07/26
Argentina Primera Women
Gimnasia L.P. W vs Huracan W
1X
@1.18
2-1
13/07/26
Argentina Primera Women
River Plate W vs Social Atletico Television W
1X
@1.15
3-0
11/07/26
Estonia Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Kuressaare
Over 2.5
@1.47
3-2
11/07/26
2026 World Cup
Norway vs England
Over 1.5
@1.19
1-2
11/07/26
Lithuania Toplyga
Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
1
@1.34
3-0
11/07/26
Finland Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs Mariehamn
1
@1.33
4-2
View All Winnings

Stats are currently being built in the background. Please check back shortly.


🏒 Win Rate Grid

Tip type × day of week · last 180 days

Tip TypeMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
1 73% 88% 81% 70% 74% 77% 70%
1X 65% 100% 82% 82% 88% 67% —
2 61% 71% 82% 75% 68% 73% 81%
Over 1.5 69% 68% 60% 78% 100% 100% —
Over 2.5 67% 71% 79% 65% 50% — 83%
X2 — — — — — — —


📈 Reliability Tracker

Comparing win rate across three rolling 30-day windows -- steadiest markets rise to the top

1 Rock Steady
73.9%
0-30d
75.7%
30-60d
76.3%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1X Rock Steady
78.9%
0-30d
83.3%
30-60d
80%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

X2 Rock Steady
75%
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
—
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Over 2.5 Rock Steady
66.7%
0-30d
56.5%
30-60d
61.5%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

2 A Bit Choppy
83.3%
0-30d
68.6%
30-60d
80.6%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

Over 1.5 A Bit Choppy
75%
0-30d
70%
30-60d
60%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

Rock Steady = ≤12pp swing · A Bit Choppy = 13–25pp · Streaky = >25pp. Min. 5 tips/window.


📚 Betting Terms, Explained

BTTS
Short for Both Teams To Score -- wins if each side nets at least once, whatever the final score.
Over 1.5 Goals
Needs 2+ total goals in the match to land, regardless of which side scores them.
Over 2.5 Goals
Needs 3+ total goals in the match -- a step up in risk from Over 1.5.
Double Chance
Covers two of the three possible results in one bet (e.g. Home win or Draw), trading some odds for extra safety.
Asian Handicap
A goal head-start or deficit applied to a team before kickoff, used to level out mismatched sides.
Correct Score
A bet on the exact final scoreline -- long odds, low hit rate, high reward.

SEE MORE TIPS FOR TODAY

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Match: Manchester United vs. Liverpool

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  • First Goal Scorer: Mohamed Salah

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