Sports Mole Predictions

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3rd Dec 2026

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Tips Updating Soon...


💬 Got Questions About Today's Picks?

Tap a question to see the numbers behind each pick

Lillestrom vs Viking
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 62.5% for us across the last 90 days (72 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 62.5% against a site average of 74.9%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U
We've put this at a 60% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 76.7% for us across the last 90 days (408 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 74.9% average, landing at 76.7% across 408 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Basaksehir vs Inter Turku
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 76.7% for us across the last 90 days (408 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 74.9% average, landing at 76.7% across 408 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
River Plate 2 vs Barracas Central 2
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 76.7% for us across the last 90 days (408 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 74.9% average, landing at 76.7% across 408 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Tuggeranong Utd vs Canberra White Eagles
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 76.7% for us across the last 90 days (408 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 74.9% average, landing at 76.7% across 408 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 76.7% for us across the last 90 days (408 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 74.9% average, landing at 76.7% across 408 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Braga
We've put this at a 20% chance of landing. 2 tips have hit 77.8% for us across the last 90 days (99 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 2 has actually run ahead of our overall 74.9% average, landing at 77.8% across 99 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Lanus W vs San Lorenzo W
We've put this at a 20% chance of landing. 2 tips have hit 77.8% for us across the last 90 days (99 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 2 has actually run ahead of our overall 74.9% average, landing at 77.8% across 99 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.

📈 Today's Confidence Ladder

Wed 22 Jul · ranked by our stated win probability, highest first

Locked In
Lillestrom vs Viking
Over 2.5 Norway Eliteserien
80%
Fancied
Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U
1 Ecuador Liga Pro
60%
Fancied
Basaksehir vs Inter Turku
1 Conference League Qualifier
50%
Fancied
River Plate 2 vs Barracas Central 2
1 Argentina Reserve League
50%
Fancied
50%
Fancied
Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta
1 Brazil Serie B
50%
Longshot
Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Braga
2 Conference League Qualifier
20%
Longshot
Lanus W vs San Lorenzo W
2 Argentina Primera Women
20%
Longshot
Botafogo W vs Bragantino W
2 Copa Do Brasil Women
20%
Longshot
Queen of South vs Aberdeen
2 Scotland League Cup
20%

🔍 Pick Breakdown

Why we like each pick, in plain terms · site average sits at 74.9%

Lillestrom vs Viking
Over 2.5 Norway Eliteserien
Worth a look · 71/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 62.5% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U
1 Ecuador Liga Pro
Worth a look · 68/100
This one sits at 60% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.7% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Basaksehir vs Inter Turku
1 Conference League Qualifier
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.7% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
River Plate 2 vs Barracas Central 2
1 Argentina Reserve League
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.7% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.7% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta
1 Brazil Serie B
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 76.7% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Braga
2 Conference League Qualifier
Speculative · 49/100
This one sits at 20% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 2 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 77.8% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Lanus W vs San Lorenzo W
2 Argentina Primera Women
Speculative · 49/100
This one sits at 20% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 2 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 77.8% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Botafogo W vs Bragantino W
2 Copa Do Brasil Women
Speculative · 49/100
This one sits at 20% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 2 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 77.8% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Queen of South vs Aberdeen
2 Scotland League Cup
Speculative · 49/100
This one sits at 20% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 2 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 77.8% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.

Just our read of the numbers -- not betting advice. Always gamble responsibly.


Latest Winnings

21/07/26
UCL Qualifiers
Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5
@1.19
1-1
21/07/26
Uzbekistan Super League
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch
1
@1.36
2-1
21/07/26
China FA Cup
Wuhan Three Lions vs Shandong Taishan
Over 2.5
@1.38
2-2
21/07/26
China FA Cup
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu
1
@1.12
4-1
21/07/26
China FA Cup
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1X
@1.12
1-1
21/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
Goteborg vs Levadia
Over 1.5
@1.16
1-2
21/07/26
UCL Qualifiers
Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze
1
@1.19
1-0
21/07/26
UCL Qualifiers
Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps
Over 2.5
@1.44
3-0
18/07/26
Belarusian Cup
Uni X Labs vs Baranovici
2
@1.35
1-4
18/07/26
Belarusian Cup
FC Slonim vs Isloch
2
@1.20
0-1
18/07/26
Norway Eliteserien
Viking vs Sandefjord
1
@1.29
2-1
18/07/26
Lithuania 1 Lyga
FK Minija vs Jonava
1
@1.23
2-1
18/07/26
Lithuania Toplyga
Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
1
@1.22
4-0
18/07/26
Latvia Nakotnes liga
Marupe vs Metta
2
@1.22
0-4
18/07/26
Ireland National League Women
Athlone WFC W vs Bohemians WFC W
1
@1.14
3-0
18/07/26
Iceland Division 1
Throttur vs Volsungor
1
@1.20
1-0
17/07/26
Ireland FA Cup
St Patricks vs Wexford
1
@1.14
2-1
17/07/26
Ireland FA Cup
Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
1
@1.44
4-1
17/07/26
Iceland Division 2
Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
1
@1.31
2-1
17/07/26
Bulgaria EFBET League
Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
1
@1.18
2-1
View All Winnings

Performance by Tip Type

7d30d90dAll
2 77.8%
21W  /  6L  · 27 tips
Over 1.5 76.7%
23W  /  7L  · 30 tips
1X 76.5%
13W  /  4L  · 17 tips
1 76.1%
83W  /  26L  · 109 tips
X2 75%
3W  /  1L  · 4 tips
Over 2.5 66.7%
24W  /  12L  · 36 tips

🏒 Win Rate Grid

Tip type × day of week · last 180 days

Tip TypeMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
1 73% 88% 82% 72% 73% 78% 70%
1X 65% 100% 82% 82% 88% 67% —
2 61% 71% 82% 75% 68% 76% 81%
Over 1.5 69% 71% 60% 79% 100% 100% —
Over 2.5 67% 70% 78% 67% 46% — 83%
X2 — — — — — — —

⚖️ Market Depth Index

How often we publish each market vs how often it lands · last 90 days

1
1
Volume408 tips
Accuracy76.7%
313W / 95L
2
2
Volume99 tips
Accuracy77.8%
77W / 22L
3
Over 2.5
Volume72 tips
Accuracy62.5%
45W / 27L
4
Over 1.5
Volume55 tips
Accuracy72.7%
40W / 15L
5
1X
Volume47 tips
Accuracy80.9%
38W / 9L
6
X2
Volume8 tips
Accuracy75%
6W / 2L

Minimum 3 settled tips required to show up here.


📈 Reliability Tracker

Comparing win rate across three rolling 30-day windows -- steadiest markets rise to the top

2 Rock Steady
77.8%
0-30d
79.5%
30-60d
75.8%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1 Rock Steady
76.1%
0-30d
79.6%
30-60d
74.7%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1X Rock Steady
76.5%
0-30d
82.4%
30-60d
84.6%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

X2 Rock Steady
75%
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
—
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Over 2.5 Rock Steady
66.7%
0-30d
55%
30-60d
62.5%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Over 1.5 Rock Steady
76.7%
0-30d
64.7%
30-60d
75%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Rock Steady = ≤12pp swing · A Bit Choppy = 13–25pp · Streaky = >25pp. Min. 5 tips/window.


📚 Betting Terms, Explained

BTTS
Short for Both Teams To Score -- wins if each side nets at least once, whatever the final score.
Over 1.5 Goals
Needs 2+ total goals in the match to land, regardless of which side scores them.
Over 2.5 Goals
Needs 3+ total goals in the match -- a step up in risk from Over 1.5.
Double Chance
Covers two of the three possible results in one bet (e.g. Home win or Draw), trading some odds for extra safety.
Asian Handicap
A goal head-start or deficit applied to a team before kickoff, used to level out mismatched sides.
Correct Score
A bet on the exact final scoreline -- long odds, low hit rate, high reward.

SEE MORE TIPS FOR TODAY

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One of the most trusted sources for football predictions is Sports Mole Predictions, a platform known for providing accurate, data-driven match previews and betting tips.

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Match: Manchester United vs. Liverpool

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  • First Goal Scorer: Mohamed Salah

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