Tip WON  ·  Hearts 3-0 Falkirk
🏆 Scotland Premiership 📅 Wednesday, 13th May 2026
H
Hearts
D W W W D
3-0
VS
F
Falkirk
L W L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Hearts to win in this fixture.
Predicted Score
1-1
10.3% probability
Odds
1.40
2/5
-250
Confidence
58%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1  —  Hearts to win @1.40
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 70%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Hearts7W
Draw0
Falkirk3W
Supports Tip Hearts won 7 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Hearts wins6/10
Falkirk wins4/10
Goals per game3.2
H2H avg goals2.8
Supports Tip Hearts: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Hearts form
4-1-5
Falkirk form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Hearts
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.3
Falkirk
Overall
4.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
3.3
Key Analytics
Hearts
1.5
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Falkirk
1.8
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
1-1
10.3% probability
Alternative
2-1
9.1% probability
Alternative
1-2
7.5% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
Stake Calculator
Return
14.00
Net profit: 4.00
Match History
Head to Head
21.02.26
PRE
Hearts
Falkirk
1
0
17.01.26
SC
Hearts
Falkirk (aet)
1
2
13.12.25
PRE
Falkirk
Hearts
0
2
27.09.25
PRE
Hearts
Falkirk
3
0
17.08.24
LC
Falkirk
Hearts
2
0
08.02.20
SC
Falkirk
Hearts
0
1
21.03.15
CHA
Falkirk
Hearts
0
3
24.01.15
CHA
Hearts
Falkirk
2
3
15.11.14
CHA
Falkirk
Hearts
1
2
30.08.14
CHA
Hearts
Falkirk
4
1
Recent Results
Hearts
09.05.26
PRE
Motherwell
Hearts
1
1
D
04.05.26
PRE
Hearts
Rangers
2
1
W
26.04.26
PRE
Hibernian
Hearts
1
2
W
11.04.26
PRE
Hearts
Motherwell
3
1
W
05.04.26
PRE
Livingston
Hearts
2
2
D
21.03.26
PRE
Hearts
Dundee FC
1
0
W
14.03.26
PRE
Kilmarnock
Hearts
1
0
L
28.02.26
PRE
Hearts
Aberdeen
1
0
W
21.02.26
PRE
Hearts
Falkirk
1
0
W
15.02.26
PRE
Rangers
Hearts
4
2
L
Falkirk
09.05.26
PRE
Falkirk
Hibernian
1
3
L
02.05.26
PRE
Falkirk
Motherwell
1
0
W
25.04.26
PRE
Celtic
Falkirk
3
1
L
18.04.26
SC
Dunfermline
Falkirk
1
0
L
12.04.26
PRE
Falkirk
Rangers
3
6
L
04.04.26
PRE
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
W
21.03.26
PRE
Falkirk
St. Mirren
1
2
L
14.03.26
PRE
Aberdeen
Falkirk
1
1
D
06.03.26
SC
Falkirk
Dundee Utd
2
1
W
28.02.26
PRE
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
5
1
W
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Expert Analysis

This right here is the biggest story in European football that not enough people are talking about. Look at the Scottish Premiership table right now: Hearts are sitting in first place with 70 points after 33 games. They are one point ahead of Rangers and three points ahead of Celtic. The Jambos are on the verge of doing the unthinkable, breaking the iron-clad Old Firm duopoly. Tynecastle is going to be an absolute cauldron of noise and nervous energy for this fixture. The pressure is immense; it is the ultimate “must-win” scenario. Every single dropped point now could cost them a historic title.

Standing in their way is Falkirk, who have had a very respectable season themselves, sitting in sixth place with 46 points. However, the gap in quality and current momentum is vast. Hearts boast a remarkable record of 21 wins, scoring 58 goals and conceding just 28. Falkirk has a negative goal difference, having conceded 48 times. Earlier in the month, Falkirk was easily dispatched 3-1 by Hibernian, showing obvious defensive frailties against high-pressing, aggressive teams.

When you factor in the sheer desperation and historical weight on the shoulders of the Hearts players, you can expect them to fly out of the traps. They know Rangers and Celtic are breathing down their necks, ready to capitalize on a single slip-up. Hearts will rely on their robust midfield to win the physical battles early, turning the game into a fast-paced, high-octane affair that Falkirk will struggle to match. The sheer will of the Tynecastle crowd, combined with Hearts’ superior statistical profile and rock-solid defense, makes a home victory the only logical outcome in this monumental title push.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Hearts vs Falkirk?
Our top pick is 1 — Hearts to win at around 1.40. Confidence: 58%.
What is Hearts's recent form?
Hearts have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Falkirk been performing?
Falkirk: 4W 1D 5L from 10 games — up and down.
What is the H2H record for Hearts vs Falkirk?
Hearts 7 wins vs Falkirk's 3, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.