Tip WON  ·  Kuressaare 0-2 Kalju
🏆 Estonia Meistriliiga 📅 Sunday, 17th May 2026
K
Kuressaare
L L L L W
0-2
VS
K
Kalju
L W L W L
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
2
We're backing Kalju to win in this fixture.
Predicted Score
0-1
11.6% probability
Odds
1.33
1/3
-303
Confidence
68%
Strong Pick
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⚔ Head to Head
Kuressaare0W
Draw0
Kalju10W
Supports Tip Kalju won 10 of 10 meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Kuressaare wins3/10
Kalju wins7/10
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals3.3
Supports Tip Kalju: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games.
3-0-7
Kuressaare form
7-1-2
Kalju form
20%
H2H BTTS rate
3.3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Kuressaare
Overall
3.0
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.0
Kalju
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
8.0
Key Analytics
Kuressaare
1.1
Goals
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Kalju
2.2
Goals
scored/game
0.6
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
0-1
11.6% probability
Alternative
0-2
11.6% probability
Alternative
1-1
9.8% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Away Win & BTTS No 33%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 40%
Away Win & Under 2.5 26%
Stake Calculator
Return
13.30
Net profit: 3.30
Match History
Head to Head
21.03.26
ML
Kalju
Kuressaare
4
0
25.10.25
ML
Kuressaare
Kalju
0
1
31.08.25
ML
Kalju
Kuressaare
2
0
18.05.25
ML
Kalju
Kuressaare
4
0
12.04.25
ML
Kuressaare
Kalju
0
2
02.11.24
ML
Kuressaare
Kalju
1
2
18.08.24
ML
Kalju
Kuressaare
5
1
18.05.24
ML
Kalju
Kuressaare
3
0
02.03.24
ML
Kuressaare
Kalju
0
6
26.09.23
ML
Kuressaare
Kalju
0
2
Recent Results
Kuressaare
08.05.26
ML
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
L
02.05.26
ML
Kuressaare
Levadia
1
2
L
25.04.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Kuressaare
2
1
L
21.04.26
ML
Kuressaare
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
1
L
18.04.26
ML
Narva
Kuressaare
1
2
W
11.04.26
ML
Kuressaare
Harju JK Laagri
3
2
W
07.04.26
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
2
1
L
03.04.26
ML
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
21.03.26
ML
Kalju
Kuressaare
4
0
L
14.03.26
ML
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
W
Kalju
10.05.26
ML
Flora
Kalju
0
1
L
01.05.26
ML
Narva
Kalju
0
3
W
26.04.26
ML
Kalju
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
ML
Kalju
Nomme Utd
7
1
W
19.04.26
ML
Paide
Kalju
1
0
L
12.04.26
ML
Kalju
Levadia
1
1
D
08.04.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Kalju
0
2
W
03.04.26
ML
Kalju
Narva
2
1
W
21.03.26
ML
Kalju
Kuressaare
4
0
W
15.03.26
ML
Flora
Kalju
0
1
W
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Expert Analysis

In the Estonian Meistriliiga, the coastal town of Kuressaare plays host to Nõmme Kalju in a match defined by stark contrasting ambitions. FC Kuressaare are notorious for being a stubborn, hardworking outfit that occasionally punches above its weight, particularly at home. They rely heavily on a physical brand of football, aiming to disrupt the rhythm of technically superior teams. However, the data tells a sobering story: Kuressaare struggles mightily to create sustained offensive pressure. Their pass completion rate in the opponent’s half ranks near the bottom of the league, meaning they spend the vast majority of their games defending desperately.

On the other side, Nõmme Kalju arrives with the swagger of a legitimate title contender. Kalju simply must win games like this to keep pace at the summit of the Meistriliiga table. They boast a potent attacking line that has consistently shredded deep defensive blocks this season. The head-to-head history is overwhelmingly dominated by Kalju, who routinely monopolize possession and patiently probe until the inevitable mistake occurs in Kuressaare’s backline. Nõmme Kalju’s ability to shift the ball from side to side stretches Kuressaare’s defense, creating gaps in the half-spaces. While the hosts will undoubtedly fight tooth and nail, relying on sheer willpower and long-throw routines, Kalju’s undeniable edge in quality, tactical sophistication, and sheer finishing power makes them the overwhelming favorites. The visitors have the discipline to weather the early physical storm and walk away with all three points.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Kuressaare vs Kalju?
Our top pick is 2 — Kalju to win at around 1.33. Confidence: 68%.
What is Kuressaare's recent form?
Kuressaare have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 — up and down.
How has Kalju been performing?
Kalju: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games — in very good form.
What is the H2H record for Kuressaare vs Kalju?
Kuressaare 0 wins vs Kalju's 10, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 20%.