Liobet Tips

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17th Nov 2026

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💬 Got Questions About Today's Picks?

Tap a question to see the numbers behind each pick

River Plate W vs Social Atletico Television W
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. 1X tips have hit 80.4% for us across the last 90 days (46 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1X has actually run ahead of our overall 73.2% average, landing at 80.4% across 46 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Gimnasia L.P. W vs Huracan W
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. 1X tips have hit 80.4% for us across the last 90 days (46 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1X has actually run ahead of our overall 73.2% average, landing at 80.4% across 46 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Ningbo Professional vs Foshan Nanshi
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. 1X tips have hit 80.4% for us across the last 90 days (46 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1X has actually run ahead of our overall 73.2% average, landing at 80.4% across 46 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Breidablik vs Keflavik
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. 1X tips have hit 80.4% for us across the last 90 days (46 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1X has actually run ahead of our overall 73.2% average, landing at 80.4% across 46 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Dep Capiata vs Atl Tembetary
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 1.5 tips have hit 70.6% for us across the last 90 days (51 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 70.6% against a site average of 73.2%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Chelyabinsk vs SKA Khabarovsk
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 1.5 tips have hit 70.6% for us across the last 90 days (51 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 70.6% against a site average of 73.2%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Honka vs HJS
We've put this at a 60% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 75.7% for us across the last 90 days (432 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 73.2% average, landing at 75.7% across 432 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 75.7% for us across the last 90 days (432 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 73.2% average, landing at 75.7% across 432 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.

📈 Today's Confidence Ladder

Mon 13 Jul · ranked by our stated win probability, highest first

Locked In
80%
Locked In
Gimnasia L.P. W vs Huracan W
1X Argentina Primera Women
80%
Locked In
80%
Locked In
Breidablik vs Keflavik
1X Iceland Besta deild karla
80%
Locked In
Dep Capiata vs Atl Tembetary
Over 1.5 Paraguay Division Intermedia
80%
Locked In
Chelyabinsk vs SKA Khabarovsk
Over 1.5 Russia FNL Round 1
80%
Fancied
Honka vs HJS
1 Finland Kakkonen B
60%
Fancied
San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W
1 Argentina Primera Women
50%
Fancied
Barra FC U20 vs Carlos Renaux U20
1 Brazil Catarinense U20
50%

🔍 Pick Breakdown

Why we like each pick, in plain terms · site average sits at 73.2%

Strong lean · 80/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. 1X tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 80.4% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Gimnasia L.P. W vs Huracan W
1X Argentina Primera Women
Strong lean · 80/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. 1X tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 80.4% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Strong lean · 80/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. 1X tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 80.4% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Breidablik vs Keflavik
1X Iceland Besta deild karla
Strong lean · 80/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. 1X tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 80.4% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Dep Capiata vs Atl Tembetary
Over 1.5 Paraguay Division Intermedia
Strong lean · 75/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 1.5 has been a slower burner for us at 70.6% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Chelyabinsk vs SKA Khabarovsk
Over 1.5 Russia FNL Round 1
Strong lean · 75/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 1.5 has been a slower burner for us at 70.6% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Honka vs HJS
1 Finland Kakkonen B
Worth a look · 68/100
This one sits at 60% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 75.7% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W
1 Argentina Primera Women
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 75.7% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Barra FC U20 vs Carlos Renaux U20
1 Brazil Catarinense U20
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 75.7% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.

Just our read of the numbers -- not betting advice. Always gamble responsibly.


Latest Winnings

11/07/26
Estonia Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Kuressaare
Over 2.5
@1.47
3-2
11/07/26
2026 World Cup
Norway vs England
Over 1.5
@1.19
1-2
11/07/26
Lithuania Toplyga
Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
1
@1.34
3-0
11/07/26
Finland Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs Mariehamn
1
@1.33
4-2
11/07/26
China League One
Guangdong GZ-Power vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1
@1.30
2-0
11/07/26
Chile Primera Division Women
Huachipato W vs Deportes Temuco W
1
@1.18
3-2
11/07/26
Euro U19
Spain U19 vs Germany U19
1
@1.31
2-0
10/07/26
South Korea WK League
Seoul W vs Suwon FC W
X2
@1.15
0-3
10/07/26
Russia Youth League
Chertanovo M. U19 vs Krasnodar U19
2
@1.31
1-3
10/07/26
Argentina Primera B
Arsenal Sarandi vs Defensores Unidos
1
@1.45
3-1
10/07/26
World Cup 2026
Spain vs Belgium
1X
@1.18
2-1
10/07/26
Euro U19 Women
Germany U19 W vs Spain U19 W
2
@1.37
0-1
09/07/26
Iceland Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Throttur W
1
@1.31
7-3
09/07/26
Finland Kakkonen C
Musa vs Grlfk
Over 2.5
@1.38
3-1
09/07/26
Argentina Primera Women
Independiente W vs Racing Club W
2
@1.31
1-3
09/07/26
World Cup 2026
France vs Morocco
Over 1.5
@1.28
2-0
09/07/26
Europa League Qualifier
CSKA Sofia vs Derry City
1
@1.24
3-2
08/07/26
Club Friendly
Dinamo Zagreb vs Koper
Over 2.5
@1.40
2-2
08/07/26
Club Friendly
Heracles vs Groningen
Over 2.5
@1.40
2-1
08/07/26
USA USL League Two
Cleveland Force vs Steel City
2
@1.22
0-1
View All Winnings

Performance by Tip Type

7d30d90dAll
X2 80%
4W  /  1L  · 5 tips
2 79.5%
31W  /  8L  · 39 tips
1 73.8%
90W  /  32L  · 122 tips
1X 73.3%
11W  /  4L  · 15 tips
Over 1.5 70.8%
17W  /  7L  · 24 tips
Over 2.5 60.9%
14W  /  9L  · 23 tips

🏒 Win Rate Grid

Tip type × day of week · last 180 days

Tip TypeMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
1 74% 88% 81% 70% 74% 77% 70%
1X 56% 100% 82% 82% 88% 67% —
2 61% 71% 82% 75% 68% 73% 81%
Over 1.5 64% 65% 60% 78% 100% 100% —
Over 2.5 67% 65% 79% 65% 50% — 83%
X2 — — — — — — —

⚖️ Market Depth Index

How often we publish each market vs how often it lands · last 90 days

1
1
Volume432 tips
Accuracy75.7%
327W / 105L
2
2
Volume103 tips
Accuracy76.7%
79W / 24L
3
Over 2.5
Volume61 tips
Accuracy60.7%
37W / 24L
4
Over 1.5
Volume51 tips
Accuracy70.6%
36W / 15L
5
1X
Volume46 tips
Accuracy80.4%
37W / 9L
6
X2
Volume9 tips
Accuracy77.8%
7W / 2L

Minimum 3 settled tips required to show up here.


📈 Reliability Tracker

Comparing win rate across three rolling 30-day windows -- steadiest markets rise to the top

Over 1.5 Rock Steady
70.8%
0-30d
70%
30-60d
71.4%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Over 2.5 Rock Steady
60.9%
0-30d
60%
30-60d
61.5%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1 Rock Steady
73.8%
0-30d
76.1%
30-60d
76.2%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

2 Rock Steady
79.5%
0-30d
69.4%
30-60d
80%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1X Rock Steady
73.3%
0-30d
84.2%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Rock Steady = ≤12pp swing · A Bit Choppy = 13–25pp · Streaky = >25pp. Min. 5 tips/window.


📚 Betting Terms, Explained

BTTS
Short for Both Teams To Score -- wins if each side nets at least once, whatever the final score.
Over 1.5 Goals
Needs 2+ total goals in the match to land, regardless of which side scores them.
Over 2.5 Goals
Needs 3+ total goals in the match -- a step up in risk from Over 1.5.
Double Chance
Covers two of the three possible results in one bet (e.g. Home win or Draw), trading some odds for extra safety.
Asian Handicap
A goal head-start or deficit applied to a team before kickoff, used to level out mismatched sides.
Correct Score
A bet on the exact final scoreline -- long odds, low hit rate, high reward.

📊
73.2%
30-day accuracy · 228 tips
65.5%
7-Day Rate
167
Won (30d)
@1.28
Avg Odds
-6.2%
ROI
Full Record →

SEE MORE TIPS FOR TODAY

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