Tip LOST  ·  Bournemouth 1-1 Man City
🏆 Premier League 📅 Tuesday, 19th May 2026
B
Bournemouth
W W D W W
1-1
VS
MC
Man City
W W W D W
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Predicted Score
0-1
13.4% probability
Odds
1.40
2/5
-250
Confidence
81%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 2.5  —  over 2.5 goals @1.40
Man City Clean Sheet Away CS 70%
H2H Over 2.5 90%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Bournemouth1W
Draw0
Man City9W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 90% of H2H meetings (avg 3.7).
📈 Recent Form
Bournemouth wins4/10
Man City wins9/10
Goals per game2.5
H2H avg goals3.7
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 60% of recent games.
4-6-0
Bournemouth form
9-1-0
Man City form
80%
H2H BTTS rate
3.7
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Bournemouth
Overall
5.8
Scoring
4.3
Defence
7.7
Man City
Overall
9.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
8.3
Key Analytics
Bournemouth
1.3
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Man City
2.4
Goals
scored/game
0.5
Goals
conceded/game
70%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
0-1
13.4% probability
Alternative
1-1
12% probability
Alternative
0-2
10.4% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 33%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 33%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
Stake Calculator
Return
14.00
Net profit: 4.00
Match History
Head to Head
02.11.25
PL
Manchester City
Bournemouth
3
1
20.05.25
PL
Manchester City
Bournemouth
3
1
30.03.25
FAC
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
2
02.11.24
PL
Bournemouth
Manchester City
2
1
24.02.24
PL
Bournemouth
Manchester City
0
1
04.11.23
PL
Manchester City
Bournemouth
6
1
25.02.23
PL
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
4
13.08.22
PL
Manchester City
Bournemouth
4
0
24.09.20
EFL
Manchester City
Bournemouth
2
1
15.07.20
PL
Manchester City
Bournemouth
2
1
Recent Results
Bournemouth
09.05.26
PL
Fulham
Bournemouth
0
1
W
03.05.26
PL
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
22.04.26
PL
Bournemouth
Leeds
2
2
D
18.04.26
PL
Newcastle
Bournemouth
1
2
W
11.04.26
PL
Arsenal
Bournemouth
1
2
W
20.03.26
PL
Bournemouth
Manchester Utd
2
2
D
14.03.26
PL
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
03.03.26
PL
Bournemouth
Brentford
0
0
D
28.02.26
PL
Bournemouth
Sunderland
1
1
D
21.02.26
PL
West Ham
Bournemouth
0
0
D
Man City
16.05.26
FAC
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
W
13.05.26
PL
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
09.05.26
PL
Manchester City
Brentford
3
0
W
04.05.26
PL
Everton
Manchester City
3
3
D
25.04.26
FAC
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
W
22.04.26
PL
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
W
19.04.26
PL
Manchester City
Arsenal
2
1
W
12.04.26
PL
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
W
04.04.26
FAC
Manchester City
Liverpool
4
0
W
22.03.26
EFL
Arsenal
Manchester City
0
2
W
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Expert Analysis

The narrative surrounding Manchester City at this stage of the Premier League season is always the same: absolute, unwavering necessity to win. Whether they are chasing down a title or securing their statistical dominance, Pep Guardiola’s side arrives at the Vitality Stadium with a mandate to score goals and secure three points. Bournemouth, to their credit, have evolved under Andoni Iraola into a fearless side that refuses to park the bus, even against the reigning champions. The Cherries want to press high, entertain their home support, and disrupt City’s rhythm, which makes this an incredibly compelling fixture.

Bournemouth’s high-risk, high-reward pressing system is admirable, but against Manchester City, it borders on suicidal. When you press City’s backline, you leave vast expanses of space for players like Kevin De Bruyne and Phil Foden to orchestrate transitions. Erling Haaland thrives when opponents leave space in behind, and Bournemouth’s defensive line is notoriously aggressive. Conversely, Bournemouth possesses enough attacking talent and the tactical bravery to actually hurt City in transition. City’s defense, while elite, can occasionally be caught out by rapid counter-attacks, especially when their fullbacks invert and commit high up the pitch.

This game has all the structural components of a classic Premier League shootout. Bournemouth will not sit back and defend a 0-0 draw; they will attempt to throw punches, which will inevitably leave their chin exposed. Manchester City has the clinical ruthlessness to score three goals on their own, but Bournemouth’s tactical bravery suggests they could easily contribute to the scoreline as well. Expect an open, fast-paced game loaded with chances on both ends of the pitch.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Bournemouth vs Man City?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.40. Confidence: 81%.
What is Bournemouth's recent form?
Bournemouth have won 4, drawn 6 and lost 0 of their last 10 — up and down.
How has Man City been performing?
Man City: 9W 1D 0L from 10 games — in very good form.
What is the H2H record for Bournemouth vs Man City?
Bournemouth 1 wins vs Man City's 9, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.7 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 80%.