Tip WON  ·  Como 1-0 Parma
🏆 Serie A 📅 Sunday, 17th May 2026
C
Como
W D W L L
1-0
VS
P
Parma
L L W W D
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Como to win in this fixture.
Predicted Score
1-0
12.5% probability
Odds
1.34
17/50
-294
Confidence
42%
Value Play
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⚔ Head to Head
Como2W
Draw5
Parma3W
Against Como won 2 of the last 10 meetings (5 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Como wins5/10
Parma wins2/10
Goals per game2.6
H2H avg goals2.4
Mixed Como: 5W 2D 3L from 10 games.
5-2-3
Como form
2-4-4
Parma form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
2.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Como
Overall
5.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.3
Parma
Overall
3.2
Scoring
2.7
Defence
5.3
Key Analytics
Como
1.8
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Parma
0.8
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
1-0
12.5% probability
Alternative
1-1
11.9% probability
Alternative
2-0
10% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
Stake Calculator
Return
13.40
Net profit: 3.40
Match History
Head to Head
25.10.25
SA
Parma
Como
0
0
03.05.25
SA
Parma
Como
0
1
19.10.24
SA
Como
Parma
1
1
24.02.24
SB
Como
Parma
1
1
20.10.23
SB
Parma
Como
2
1
18.03.23
SB
Como
Parma
2
0
29.10.22
SB
Parma
Como
1
0
06.04.22
SB
Parma
Como
4
3
28.11.21
SB
Como
Parma
1
1
09.02.03
SA
Como
Parma
2
2
Recent Results
Como
10.05.26
SA
Verona
Como
0
1
W
02.05.26
SA
Como
Napoli
0
0
D
26.04.26
SA
Genoa
Como
0
2
W
21.04.26
COP
Inter
Como
3
2
L
17.04.26
SA
Sassuolo
Como
2
1
L
12.04.26
SA
Como
Inter
3
4
L
06.04.26
SA
Udinese
Como
0
0
D
22.03.26
SA
Como
Pisa
5
0
W
15.03.26
SA
Como
AS Roma
2
1
W
07.03.26
SA
Cagliari
Como
1
2
W
Parma
10.05.26
SA
Parma
AS Roma
2
3
L
03.05.26
SA
Inter
Parma
2
0
L
25.04.26
SA
Parma
Pisa
1
0
W
18.04.26
SA
Udinese
Parma
0
1
W
12.04.26
SA
Parma
Napoli
1
1
D
04.04.26
SA
Lazio
Parma
1
1
D
21.03.26
SA
Parma
Cremonese
0
2
L
13.03.26
SA
Torino
Parma
4
1
L
08.03.26
SA
Fiorentina
Parma
0
0
D
27.02.26
SA
Parma
Cagliari
1
1
D
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Expert Analysis

The Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia is the venue for a compelling Serie A week 37 clash as Como takes on Parma. The narrative surrounding Como this season is nothing short of a fairytale. Defying all pre-season expectations, they sit comfortably in 6th place, actively hunting down European football. Their home form has been electric, driven by a highly organized defensive structure and a lethal counter-attacking system. Como’s metrics show they are perfectly comfortable allowing the opposition to have the ball, because their transition from defense to attack is blindingly fast. Every home game feels like a cup final right now, and the “must-win” pressure to cement a European spot is palpable.

Parma, languishing in 13th place, effectively have nothing to play for but pride. They are safe from the drop but far removed from any meaningful contention. This lack of jeopardy often translates to a lack of intensity on the pitch. Statistically, Parma’s away form has been dreadful, defined by a leaky defense that struggles against teams with high-paced wingers. Furthermore, Parma has looked completely disinterested in matches where the opposition shows more hunger. The historical weight of the fixture matters less than the current trajectory of these two clubs. Como has everything to gain and the tactical discipline to exploit a disjointed Parma side. Expect Como to absorb whatever light pressure Parma applies before ruthlessly exposing them on the break to secure a massive three points.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Como vs Parma?
Our top pick is 1 — Como to win at around 1.34. Confidence: 42%.
What is Como's recent form?
Como have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Parma been performing?
Parma: 2W 4D 4L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record for Como vs Parma?
Como 2 wins vs Parma's 3, with 5 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.