Tip WON  ·  Flora 5-0 Harju JK Laagri
🏆 Estonia Meistriliiga 📅 Thursday, 30th April 2026
F
Flora
W W L W W
5-0
VS
HJ
Harju JK Laagri
W D W L L
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Predicted Score
1-1
10.3% probability
Odds
1.38
19/50
-263
Confidence
76%
Strong Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 2.5  —  over 2.5 goals @1.38
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 90%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Flora8W
Draw0
Harju JK Laagri1W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 67% of H2H meetings (avg 3.2).
📈 Recent Form
Flora wins6/10
Harju JK Laagri wins5/10
Goals per game3.2
H2H avg goals3.2
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 65% of recent games.
6-0-4
Flora form
5-1-4
Harju JK Laagri form
44%
H2H BTTS rate
3.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Flora
Overall
6.0
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.7
Harju JK Laagri
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.3
Key Analytics
Flora
1.9
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Harju JK Laagri
1.5
Goals
scored/game
1.7
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
1-1
10.3% probability
Alternative
2-1
9.2% probability
Alternative
1-0
7.3% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
Stake Calculator
Return
13.80
Net profit: 3.80
Match History
Head to Head
22.03.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Flora
2
0
04.10.25
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Flora
1
2
16.08.25
ML
Flora
Harju JK Laagri
3
1
09.05.25
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Flora
0
3
22.04.25
ML
Flora
Harju JK Laagri
4
1
22.10.23
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Flora
2
3
25.08.23
ML
Flora
Harju JK Laagri
2
0
19.05.23
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Flora
0
1
03.03.23
ML
Flora
Harju JK Laagri
4
0
Recent Results
Flora
26.04.26
ML
Paide
Flora
1
2
W
22.04.26
ML
Flora
Narva
6
0
W
19.04.26
ML
Levadia
Flora
4
0
L
12.04.26
ML
Flora
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
0
W
07.04.26
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
2
1
W
03.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Flora
3
1
L
22.03.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Flora
2
0
L
15.03.26
ML
Flora
Kalju
0
1
L
10.03.26
CUP
Flora
Nomme Utd
3
1
W
07.03.26
ML
Flora
Nomme Utd
3
0
W
Harju JK Laagri
25.04.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
W
22.04.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Paide
2
2
D
18.04.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Harju JK Laagri
1
2
W
11.04.26
ML
Kuressaare
Harju JK Laagri
3
2
L
08.04.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Kalju
0
2
L
04.04.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Harju JK Laagri
0
2
W
22.03.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Flora
2
0
W
15.03.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Levadia
1
3
L
07.03.26
ML
Narva
Harju JK Laagri
1
2
W
28.02.26
CF
Metta
Harju JK Laagri
5
1
L
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Expert Analysis

In the Estonian Premium Liiga, the gap in quality between Flora Tallinn and Harju JK Laagri is generally quite vast, and this upcoming fixture perfectly highlights that disparity. Flora operates as one of the undisputed heavyweights of Estonian football. They dominate possession, create a suffocating amount of attacking pressure, and regularly put teams away early, especially when playing at home. Their mandate for this game is simple: secure three points comfortably and improve their overall goal difference without expending unnecessary energy.

Harju JK Laagri steps into this match fully aware of the mountain they have to climb. Their primary objective will be damage limitation. They tend to set up with a low defensive block against top-tier opposition, hoping to frustrate the attackers and scrape a desperate result. However, their defensive record suggests they struggle to maintain that intense concentration for a full ninety minutes. Once the first goal goes in, their defensive structure often collapses entirely, leading to a flurry of chances for the opposition. The pressure on Harju is enormous just to stay competitive, while Flora is fully expected to deliver a dominant, high-scoring performance.

The tactical dynamic here is straightforward. Flora will lay siege to the Harju penalty area right from the first whistle. With the sheer volume of shots, corners, and penalty box entries Flora naturally generates, it is only a matter of time before the defense breaks. If Flora scores early, this could turn into a heavy defeat for the visitors.

Given Flora’s relentless attacking pace and Harju’s documented struggles to keep top teams at bay, a low-scoring game seems highly improbable. Flora alone has the capacity to cover the goal line entirely on their own.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Flora vs Harju JK Laagri?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.38. Confidence: 76%.
What is Flora's recent form?
Flora have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Harju JK Laagri been performing?
Harju JK Laagri: 5W 1D 4L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record for Flora vs Harju JK Laagri?
Flora 8 wins vs Harju JK Laagri's 1, with 0 draws in 9 meetings. Avg 3.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 44%.