Tip LOST  ·  Nottingham Forest 1-0 Aston Villa
🏆 UEFA Europa League 📅 Thursday, 30th April 2026
NF
Nottingham Forest
W W W D D
1-0
VS
AV
Aston Villa
L W W D W
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
Over 1.5
We're backing over 1.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.30
3/10
-333
Confidence
88%
Strong Pick
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⚔ Head to Head
Nottingham Forest2W
Draw3
Aston Villa5W
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 100% of H2H meetings (avg 3.8).
📈 Recent Form
Nottingham Forest wins5/10
Aston Villa wins6/10
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals3.8
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 75% of recent games.
5-4-1
Nottingham Forest form
6-1-3
Aston Villa form
80%
H2H BTTS rate
3.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Nottingham Forest
Overall
6.2
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.7
Aston Villa
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.3
Key Analytics
Nottingham Forest
2
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Aston Villa
1.9
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
Stake Calculator
Return
13.00
Net profit: 3.00
Match History
Head to Head
12.04.26
PL
Nottingham
Aston Villa
1
1
03.01.26
PL
Aston Villa
Nottingham
3
1
05.04.25
PL
Aston Villa
Nottingham
2
1
14.12.24
PL
Nottingham
Aston Villa
2
1
24.02.24
PL
Aston Villa
Nottingham
4
2
05.11.23
PL
Nottingham
Aston Villa
2
0
08.04.23
PL
Aston Villa
Nottingham
2
0
10.10.22
PL
Nottingham
Aston Villa
1
1
13.03.19
CHA
Nottingham
Aston Villa
1
3
28.11.18
CHA
Aston Villa
Nottingham
5
5
Recent Results
Nottingham Forest
24.04.26
PL
Sunderland
Nottingham
0
5
W
19.04.26
PL
Nottingham
Burnley
4
1
W
16.04.26
EL
Nottingham
FC Porto
1
0
W
12.04.26
PL
Nottingham
Aston Villa
1
1
D
09.04.26
EL
FC Porto
Nottingham
1
1
D
22.03.26
PL
Tottenham
Nottingham
0
3
W
19.03.26
EL
Midtjylland
Nottingham (1 - 2)
1
3
W
15.03.26
PL
Nottingham
Fulham
0
0
D
12.03.26
EL
Nottingham
Midtjylland
0
1
L
04.03.26
PL
Manchester City
Nottingham
2
2
D
Aston Villa
25.04.26
PL
Fulham
Aston Villa
1
0
L
19.04.26
PL
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
EL
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
PL
Nottingham
Aston Villa
1
1
D
09.04.26
EL
Bologna
Aston Villa
1
3
W
27.03.26
CF
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
PL
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
19.03.26
EL
Aston Villa
Lille
2
0
W
15.03.26
PL
Manchester Utd
Aston Villa
3
1
L
12.03.26
EL
Lille
Aston Villa
0
1
W
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Expert Analysis

The atmosphere at the City Ground will be electric as Nottingham Forest hosts Aston Villa in this highly anticipated Europa League clash. Forest has been on a remarkable run recently, easing their domestic worries with a massive victory over Sunderland, which completely shifted the mood around the club. Manager Vítor Pereira has them playing with extreme confidence, and they look incredibly dangerous moving the ball quickly through the middle of the park. They know that to have any chance of advancing to the final, they must capitalize on their home crowd and take a definitive lead to Villa Park.

Aston Villa arrives with serious pedigree, guided by Unai Emery, a manager who practically owns this competition. Villa has been scoring freely all season, boasting an impressive attacking lineup spearheaded by forwards who have been pulling the trigger at an incredible rate. Despite their offensive brilliance, Villa has occasionally shown moments of weakness on the road, conceding goals when put under sustained pressure by energetic home teams. The must-win factor here weighs heavily on Forest. They simply cannot afford a passive draw in the first leg.

Forest will likely come out swinging, looking to utilize their pace to pry open Villa’s defensive lines. However, leaving spaces in the midfield against a team like Villa is incredibly risky. Villa thrives in transitional moments, and they will not sit back and invite pressure for ninety minutes. Both teams possess a frightening amount of pace and finishing ability, making this a nightmare for the respective defensive units.

When you combine Forest’s absolute necessity to attack at home with Villa’s undeniable quality in the final third, the tactical setup screams goals. Neither side will be comfortable just defending, and a highly open, entertaining game is expected.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa?
Our top pick is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals at around 1.30. Confidence: 88%.
What is Nottingham Forest's recent form?
Nottingham Forest have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Aston Villa been performing?
Aston Villa: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa?
Nottingham Forest 2 wins vs Aston Villa's 5, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 80%.