Tip WON  ·  Man City W 1-0 Liverpool W
🏆 England WSL 📅 Sunday, 3rd May 2026
MC
Man City W
L W W W D
1-0
VS
LW
Liverpool W
L W W D W
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Man City W to win in this fixture.
Predicted Score
1-1
10.3% probability
Odds
1.17
9/53
-588
Confidence
67%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1  —  Man City W to win @1.17
H2H Over 2.5 90%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data and are secondary to the main selection above. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Man City W9W
Draw0
Liverpool W1W
Supports Tip Man City W won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Man City W wins7/10
Liverpool W wins6/10
Goals per game3.1
H2H avg goals3.9
Supports Tip Man City W: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games.
7-1-2
Man City W form
6-1-3
Liverpool W form
80%
H2H BTTS rate
3.9
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Man City W
Overall
7.3
Scoring
9.3
Defence
7.3
Liverpool W
Overall
6.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.7
Key Analytics
Man City W
2.8
Goals
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Liverpool W
1.5
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
1-1
10.3% probability
Alternative
2-1
9.8% probability
Alternative
1-0
9% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 24%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
Stake Calculator
Return
11.70
Net profit: 1.70
Match History
Head to Head
12.10.25
WSL
Liverpool W
Manchester City
1
2
W
16.02.25
WSL
Manchester City W
Liverpool
4
0
W
13.10.24
WSL
Liverpool W
Manchester City
1
2
W
07.09.24
CF
Liverpool W
Manchester City
1
2
W
30.03.24
WSL
Liverpool W
Manchester City
1
4
W
21.01.24
WSL
Manchester City W
Liverpool
5
1
W
08.11.23
CUP
Liverpool W
Manchester City
3
4
W
07.05.23
WSL
Liverpool W
Manchester City
2
1
W
07.12.22
CUP
Liverpool W
Manchester City
0
2
W
30.10.22
WSL
Manchester City W
Liverpool
2
1
W
Recent Results
Man City W
25.04.26
WSL
Brighton W
Manchester City W
3
2
L
06.04.26
FAC
Birmingham W
Manchester City W
0
1
W
28.03.26
WSL
Manchester Utd W
Manchester City W
0
3
W
21.03.26
WSL
Manchester City W
Tottenham W
5
2
W
15.03.26
WSL
Aston Villa W
Manchester City W
0
0
D
22.02.26
FAC
Manchester City W
Sheffield Utd W
4
0
W
13.02.26
WSL
Manchester City W
Leicester W
6
0
W
08.02.26
WSL
Arsenal W
Manchester City W
1
0
L
01.02.26
WSL
Manchester City W
Chelsea W
5
1
W
25.01.26
WSL
London City Lionesses W
Manchester City W
1
2
W
Liverpool W
26.04.26
WSL
Liverpool W
West Ham W
0
1
L
05.04.26
FAC
Charlton W
Liverpool W - W (aet)
0
1
28.03.26
WSL
Everton W
Liverpool W
2
3
W
22.03.26
WSL
Brighton W
Liverpool W
0
0
D
15.03.26
WSL
Liverpool W
Leicester W
2
0
W
22.02.26
FAC
Liverpool W
Everton W
2
1
W
15.02.26
WSL
Chelsea W
Liverpool W
2
0
L
08.02.26
WSL
Liverpool W
Aston Villa W
4
1
W
01.02.26
WSL
Manchester Utd W
Liverpool W
3
1
L
25.01.26
WSL
Liverpool W
Tottenham W
2
0
W
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Expert Analysis

The Women’s Super League is fiercely competitive, but the standard set by the top tier of teams is incredibly difficult to match, and that’s the reality Liverpool Women face as they travel to the Joie Stadium. Manchester City are locked in a relentless title race, constantly trading blows with the likes of Chelsea. In a league where dropping a single point can cost you the championship, City treats every single home game as a cup final. The urgency and focus they bring to these fixtures make them overwhelmingly dangerous.

Tactically, Gareth Taylor’s side is a possession juggernaut. With players like Khadija Shaw leading the line and Lauren Hemp terrorizing fullbacks on the wings, City’s attacking metrics are off the charts. They lead the league in expected goals (xG), touches in the opposition penalty box, and high turnovers. Liverpool is a solid, well-organized team under Matt Beard, but when they play away against the “Big Three,” they often find themselves suffocated. They simply don’t get enough of the ball to relieve the defensive pressure, leading to immense physical and mental fatigue as the game wears on.

Historically, Manchester City has thoroughly dominated this fixture, particularly on home turf. Liverpool’s defense is respectable, but containing City’s multi-faceted attack for 90 minutes is a puzzle very few teams can solve. If Liverpool tries to press, City plays through them; if they sit deep, City bombards the box with quality deliveries. Given the absolute necessity for City to secure all three points to keep their title hopes alive, there will be no complacency here. They will start fast, aim for an early goal to break Liverpool’s resistance, and manage the game with their superior technical quality.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Man City W vs Liverpool W?
Our top pick is 1 — Man City W to win at around 1.17. Confidence: 67%.
What is Man City W's recent form?
Man City W have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 — in very good form.
How has Liverpool W been performing?
Liverpool W: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record for Man City W vs Liverpool W?
Man City W 9 wins vs Liverpool W's 1, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.9 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 80%.