Tip WON  ·  Mingachevir 7-1 Zaqatala
🏆 Azerbaijan 1 Liqa 📅 Wednesday, 29th April 2026
M
Mingachevir
L W W W D
7-1
VS
Z
Zaqatala
L L L W D
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Mingachevir to win in this fixture.
Predicted Score
1-0
13.6% probability
Odds
1.35
7/20
-286
Confidence
45%
Solid Pick
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⚔ Head to Head
Mingachevir3W
Draw4
Zaqatala3W
Against Mingachevir won 3 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Mingachevir wins5/10
Zaqatala wins2/10
Goals per game2.4
H2H avg goals2.6
Mixed Mingachevir: 5W 3D 2L from 10 games.
5-3-2
Mingachevir form
2-2-6
Zaqatala form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
2.6
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Mingachevir
Overall
5.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.0
Zaqatala
Overall
2.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
5.7
Key Analytics
Mingachevir
1.7
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Zaqatala
0.9
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' recent goals-per-game averages. These are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
1-0
13.6% probability
Alternative
1-1
12.2% probability
Alternative
2-0
10.2% probability
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
Stake Calculator
Return
13.50
Net profit: 3.50
Match History
Head to Head
13.02.26
1L
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
0
0
23.10.25
1L
Zaqatala
Mingachevir
2
3
03.04.25
1L
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
2
2
31.01.25
1L
Zaqatala
Mingachevir
2
1
30.10.24
CUP
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
1
0
03.10.24
1L
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
2
3
09.05.24
1L
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
0
0
07.03.24
1L
Zaqatala
Mingachevir
1
2
23.11.23
1L
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
0
1
15.02.23
1L
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
2
2
Recent Results
Mingachevir
22.04.26
1L
Cebrayil
Mingachevir
2
1
L
16.04.26
1L
Mingachevir
Difai Agsu
2
1
W
09.04.26
1L
Shimal
Mingachevir
0
3
W
03.04.26
1L
Mingachevir
Safa Baku
5
2
W
18.03.26
1L
Baku Sporting
Mingachevir
1
1
D
12.03.26
1L
Mingachevir
Sabail
0
1
L
05.03.26
1L
Baku Sporting
Mingachevir
0
1
W
25.02.26
1L
Mingachevir
MOIK Baku
2
0
W
19.02.26
1L
Safa Baku
Mingachevir
2
2
D
13.02.26
1L
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
0
0
D
Zaqatala
22.04.26
1L
Zaqatala
Sahdag Qusar
0
1
L
15.04.26
1L
MOIK Baku
Zaqatala
2
1
L
08.04.26
1L
Cebrayil
Zaqatala
3
2
L
02.04.26
1L
Zaqatala
Difai Agsu
1
0
W
19.03.26
1L
Shimal
Zaqatala
0
0
D
13.03.26
1L
Cebrayil
Zaqatala
1
0
L
05.03.26
1L
Zaqatala
Shimal
3
4
L
25.02.26
1L
Sahdag Qusar
Zaqatala
1
0
L
19.02.26
1L
Zaqatala
Difai Agsu
2
1
W
13.02.26
1L
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
0
0
D
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Expert Analysis

An intriguing clash in the Azerbaijani First Division is set to unfold as Mingachevir takes on Zaqatala. For the hosts, this fixture represents a critical juncture in their season. Playing in front of their home supporters, Mingachevir faces a distinct “must-win” scenario to improve their standing and prove their credentials. They have shown flashes of strong tactical organization this season but need to convert those performances into consistent points. Zaqatala comes into the match knowing they are in for a grueling physical battle. They have struggled with their away form, often looking disjointed when separated from their home comforts. They will need to show immense resilience to handle the aggressive, high-energy approach that the hosts are expected to bring.

Analyzing the recent head-to-head records reveals a tight rivalry, but one where home advantage usually tips the scales. In closely fought encounters, Mingachevir has shown the grit necessary to edge out Zaqatala, particularly by dominating the central midfield areas and winning the crucial second balls. Zaqatala often finds it difficult to build out from the back when under pressure in this specific stadium, leading to turnovers that Mingachevir is quick to exploit.

The statistical breakdown highlights Mingachevir’s strength in set-piece situations and quick transitions. They generate a significant portion of their goals from corners and wide free-kicks, an area where Zaqatala has historically shown vulnerability. The visitors will likely try to slow the game down and frustrate the home crowd, but Mingachevir’s relentless pressing should eventually force a breakthrough. Driven by the necessity to secure a vital home victory, and backed by a favorable historical dynamic on their own turf, the hosts possess the tactical tools and the sheer determination required to outlast their opponents and claim all three points.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Mingachevir vs Zaqatala?
Our top pick is 1 — Mingachevir to win at around 1.35. Confidence: 45%.
What is Mingachevir's recent form?
Mingachevir have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Zaqatala been performing?
Zaqatala: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record for Mingachevir vs Zaqatala?
Mingachevir 3 wins vs Zaqatala's 3, with 4 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.6 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.