Tip LOST  ·  Shimal 1-0 Baku Sporting
🏆 Azerbaijan 1 Liqa 📅 Thursday, 23rd April 2026
S
Shimal
L L L D L
1-0
VS
BS
Baku Sporting
D W L D W
Today's Top Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
2
We're backing Baku Sporting to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.28
7/25
-357
Confidence
50%
Solid Pick
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⚔ Head to Head
Shimal0W
Draw0
Baku Sporting2W
Supports Tip Baku Sporting won 2 of 2 meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Shimal wins2/10
Baku Sporting wins2/10
Goals per game2.5
H2H avg goals3
Caution Baku Sporting: 2W 4D 4L from 10 games.
2-1-7
Shimal form
2-4-4
Baku Sporting form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Shimal
Overall
2.3
Scoring
2.7
Defence
2.7
Baku Sporting
Overall
3.2
Scoring
2.7
Defence
6.3
Key Analytics
Shimal
0.8
Goals
scored/game
2.2
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Baku Sporting
0.8
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 23%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 21%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
Stake Calculator
Return
12.80
Net profit: 2.80
Match History
Head to Head
17.12.25
1L
Shimal
Baku Sporting
0
1
25.09.25
1L
Baku Sporting
Shimal
4
1
Recent Results
Shimal
16.04.26
1L
Sabail
Shimal
4
0
L
09.04.26
1L
Shimal
Mingachevir
0
3
L
03.04.26
1L
Sahdag Qusar
Shimal
1
0
L
19.03.26
1L
Shimal
Zaqatala
0
0
D
11.03.26
1L
Shimal
Safa Baku
0
2
L
05.03.26
1L
Zaqatala
Shimal
3
4
W
24.02.26
1L
Shimal
Cebrayil
3
2
W
19.02.26
1L
Shimal
Sahdag Qusar
0
1
L
13.02.26
1L
Difai Agsu
Shimal
3
1
L
07.02.26
1L
Shimal
Mingachevir
0
3
L
Baku Sporting
16.04.26
1L
Baku Sporting
Safa Baku
0
0
D
08.04.26
1L
Baku Sporting
MOIK Baku
3
1
W
02.04.26
1L
Sabail
Baku Sporting
1
0
L
18.03.26
1L
Baku Sporting
Mingachevir
1
1
D
12.03.26
1L
Difai Agsu
Baku Sporting
1
3
W
05.03.26
1L
Baku Sporting
Mingachevir
0
1
L
24.02.26
1L
Sabail
Baku Sporting
0
0
D
18.02.26
1L
Cebrayil
Baku Sporting
1
2
W
12.02.26
1L
Baku Sporting
MOIK Baku
2
0
W
05.02.26
1L
Safa Baku
Baku Sporting
1
1
D
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Expert Analysis

This matchup in the Azerbaijan I Liqa features two teams heading in completely opposite directions. Baku Sporting is locked in a fierce battle at the top of the table, currently sitting in third place and chasing down the league leaders. They have built a solid foundation with a sturdy defense, conceding only 18 goals across 22 matches, and they have demonstrated a knack for grinding out critical victories when it matters most. Every single match is a cup final for them right now; any dropped points could severely damage their promotion ambitions. The pressure is entirely on them to perform.

On the flip side, Shimal’s season has been nothing short of a disaster. Rooted near the absolute bottom of the table in 10th place, they possess the worst defensive record in the league by a significant margin. Having conceded a staggering 57 goals with an abysmal goal difference of -39, their defensive structure is fundamentally broken. They routinely collapse under sustained pressure, and morale appears to be completely depleted following a string of heavy defeats, including a recent 4-0 thrashing by Sabail.

When these two met earlier in the campaign, Baku Sporting cruised to a convincing victory, exposing Shimal’s defensive flaws with ease. Baku Sporting’s attackers will be eager to pad their stats against a backline that offers very little resistance. The visitors know they just need to stay patient and maintain their structure, as Shimal inevitably makes unforced errors in dangerous areas. Given the drastic difference in quality, motivation, and defensive competence, the away side is perfectly positioned to dominate.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Shimal vs Baku Sporting?
Our top pick is 2 — Baku Sporting to win at around 1.28. Confidence: 50%.
What is Shimal's recent form?
Shimal have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 — poor form.
How has Baku Sporting been performing?
Baku Sporting: 2W 4D 4L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record for Shimal vs Baku Sporting?
Shimal 0 wins vs Baku Sporting's 2, with 0 draws in 2 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.